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Elms Blazers (4-9)

Conference: NEWLA

Region: New England

State: MA

Coach: Katie Grabiec

Elms Falls to Western Connecticut

CHICOPEE, MA, April 23, 2008 � Elms College senior attack Caitlin Childs (Hingham, MA) netted a pair of goals and added an assist, but Western Connecticut State University senior attack Ashley Caruso (Northport, NY) scored a game-high five goals and the Colonials scored seven of the game's first eight goals en route to a 19-4 win over the Blazers in Wednesday's non-conference women's lacrosse game at Leary Field. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Score*
3/17	at Emerson (13-4)	Great Northea	63.8	L	3-	24
3/25	PINE MANOR (0-11)	Great Northea	43.9	W	17-	2
3/27	FITCHBURG STATE (5-9)	NEWLA	53.9	L	7-	11
3/29	THOMAS (1-8)	NEWLA	46.0	W	19-	5
4/01	at Smith (5-10)	NEWMAC	69.8	L	2-	18
4/03	at Worcester State (9-6)	NEWLA	61.7	L	2-	17
4/06	CASTLETON STATE (10-8)	NEWLA	63.5	L	6-	16
4/08	at Lasell (7-8)	Great Northea	58.5	L	5-	16
4/12	BRIDGEWATER STATE (15-5)	NEWLA	71.6	L	3-	24
4/17	at Westfield State (8-7)	NEWLA	61.4	L	2-	20
4/19	at Becker (2-10)	NEWLA	46.6	W	21-	11
4/21	SAINT JOSEPH (2-7)	Great Northea	46.7	W	12-	9
4/23	WESTERN CONNECTICUT (4-14)	Little East	61.3	L	4-	19
* Click the score for the game story.			57.5

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/17	A	Emerson	3-	24	-21	-14	–––	1.63	-6.69
3/25	H	Pine Manor	17-	2	15	9	+++	-1.63	6.09
3/27	H	Fitchburg State	7-	11	-4	-1	–	-1.63	-2.92
3/29	H	Thomas	19-	5	14	7	+++	-1.63	7.21
4/01	A	Smith	2-	18	-16	-20	++	1.63	4.24
4/03	A	Worcester State	2-	17	-15	-12	–	1.63	-2.86
4/06	H	Castleton State	6-	16	-10	-11		-1.63	0.76
4/08	A	Lasell	5-	16	-11	-9	–	1.63	-2.02
4/12	H	Bridgewater State	3-	24	-21	-19	–	-1.63	-2.16
4/17	A	Westfield State	2-	20	-18	-12	–––	1.63	-6.13
4/19	A	Becker	21-	11	10	3	+++	1.63	7.08
4/21	H	Saint Joseph	12-	9	3	6	–	-1.63	-3.03
4/23	H	Western Connecticut	4-	19	-15	-9	–––	-1.63	-6.49
									-6.90	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/17	A	Emerson	3-	24	6.69
3/25	H	Pine Manor	17-	2	-5.00
3/29	H	Thomas	19-	5	-4.00
4/01	A	Smith	2-	18	-4.24
4/03	A	Worcester State	2-	17	2.86
4/06	H	Castleton State	6-	16	-0.76
4/08	A	Lasell	5-	16	1.00
4/12	H	Bridgewater State	3-	24	2.16
4/17	A	Westfield State	2-	20	6.13
4/19	A	Becker	21-	11	0.00
4/23	H	Western Connecticut	4-	19	5.00
10-goal correction: 0.76

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	479.00	Local TSI Rank	162
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	51.16	Local Power Rank	164
Local SOS Rating	57.47	Local SOS Rank	166
Local RPI Rating	0.37	Local RPI Rank	145
Local Trend Rating	3.00	Local Trend Rank	86
Local Quality Win Rating	n/a	Local Quality Win Rank	n/a
Local Loss Rating	1.80	Local Loss Rank	113
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-9	Ave Goal diff (all )	-6.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.7


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