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Elizabethtown Blue Jays (11-5)

Conference: Middle Atlantic

Region: Metro

State: PA

Coach: Mike Faith

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Manhattanville Hammered at Home by Elizabethtown

PURCHASE, N.Y. -- Visiting Elizabethtown scored 16 second half goals to break open a competitive game and roll to a fifth straight win with a 25-8 victory over Manhattanville Saturday afternoon at GoValiants.com Field. [full story]

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Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score*
2/28	MCDANIEL (10-7)	Centennial	79.3		L	11-	12
3/04	vs. Mary Washington # (10-8)	Capital	80.1		W	16-	15
3/12	SUSQUEHANNA (6-10)	Landmark	72.1		W	18-	4
3/18	VILLA JULIE (12-5)	Capital	79.3		L	14-	17
3/26	at Goucher (6-10)	Landmark	74.7		W	20-	10
3/29	FDU-FLORHAM (16-3)	Middle Atlant	80.5	20	L	7-	10
4/02	ARCADIA (4-10)	Middle Atlant	63.5		W	24-	3
4/04	at Dickinson (12-6)	Centennial	82.7	16	L	8-	9	2ot
4/05	at Wilkes (6-10)	Middle Atlant	66.8		W	21-	6
4/10	at Lycoming (9-8)	Middle Atlant	76.7		W	17-	12
4/12	KING'S (3-13)	Middle Atlant	67.5		W	20-	4
4/17	MESSIAH (10-7)	Middle Atlant	76.7		W	14-	7
4/19	at Manhattanville (9-8)	Middle Atlant	69.9		W	25-	8
4/22	at Widener (5-10)	Middle Atlant	69.4		W	17-	4
4/30	MESSIAH (10-7)	Middle Atlant	76.7		W	15-	9
5/03	at FDU-Florham (16-3)	Middle Atlant	80.5	20	L	14-	15
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			74.5

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/28	H	McDaniel	11-	12	-1	3	––	-1.63	-4.26
3/04	N	Mary Washington	16-	15	1	1		0.00	0.13
3/12	H	Susquehanna	18-	4	14	11	+	-1.63	3.45
3/18	H	Villa Julie	14-	17	-3	3	–––	-1.63	-6.30
3/26	A	Goucher	20-	10	10	5	++	1.63	5.35
3/29	H	FDU-Florham	7-	10	-3	2	––	-1.63	-5.07
4/02	H	Arcadia	24-	3	21	19		-1.63	1.89
4/04	A	Dickinson	8-	9	-1	-3	+	1.63	2.38
4/05	A	Wilkes	21-	6	15	13	+	1.63	2.43
4/10	A	Lycoming	17-	12	5	3	+	1.63	2.33
4/12	H	King's	20-	4	16	15		-1.63	0.93
4/17	H	Messiah	14-	7	7	6		-1.63	1.07
4/19	A	Manhattanville	25-	8	17	9	+++	1.63	7.55
4/22	A	Widener	17-	4	13	10	+	1.63	3.03
4/30	H	Messiah	15-	9	6	6		-1.63	0.07
5/03	A	FDU-Florham	14-	15	-1	-1		1.63	0.18
									15.16	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/12	H	Susquehanna	18-	4	-3.45
3/26	A	Goucher	20-	10	0.00
4/02	H	Arcadia	24-	3	-1.89
4/05	A	Wilkes	21-	6	-2.43
4/12	H	King's	20-	4	-0.93
4/19	A	Manhattanville	25-	8	-7.00
4/22	A	Widener	17-	4	-3.03
10-goal correction: -1.17

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	114.00	Local TSI Rank	34
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	80.98	Local Power Rank	23
Local SOS Rating	74.46	Local SOS Rank	53
Local RPI Rating	0.58	Local RPI Rank	36
Local Trend Rating	1.00	Local Trend Rank	14
Local Quality Win Rating	n/a	Local Quality Win Rank	n/a
Local Loss Rating	1.00	Local Loss Rank	26
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-5	Ave Goal diff (all )	7.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	6.0