| Conference: Middle Atlantic | Region: Metro | State: NJ | Coach: Adrienne Booth |
#14 St. Mary's Escapes FDU to Reach NCAA Regional
St. Mary's City, Md. – Junior attacker Emily Norris (Timonium, Md./Dulaney) netted the game-winner with 3:45 left in regulation, advancing No. 14 St. Mary's College of Maryland to Saturday's NCAA Division III Women's Lacrosse Regional Semifinal as the Seahawks posted a 16-15 triumph over Fairleigh Dickinson University, College at Florham Wednesday afternoon in NCAA first round action. [full story]
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| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score* | | QWF |
|---|
3/01 | NEUMANN (6-10) | Penn. (PAC) | 64.3 | | W | 19- | 3 | | 0.00 |
3/10 | COLLEGE OF NEW JERSEY (17-2) | Independent | 88.1 | 4 | L | 4- | 20 | | 0.00 |
3/11 | at Kean (14-6) | Skyline | 69.1 | | W | 23- | 8 | | 0.00 |
3/18 | vs. Gordon # (12-6) | Comm. Coast | 74.5 | | W | 13- | 8 | | 0.00 |
3/19 | vs. Allegheny # (7-9) | North Coast | 71.3 | | W | 21- | 10 | | 0.00 |
3/25 | at Montclair State (9-8) | Skyline | 75.6 | | W | 17- | 9 | | 0.00 |
3/27 | MOUNT SAINT VINCENT (7-9) | Skyline | 70.2 | | W | 21- | 9 | | 0.00 |
3/29 | at Elizabethtown (11-5) | Middle Atlant | 81.0 | | W | 10- | 7 | | 0.00 |
4/02 | at Manhattanville (9-8) | Middle Atlant | 69.9 | | W | 17- | 13 | | 0.00 |
4/05 | MESSIAH (10-7) | Middle Atlant | 76.7 | | W | 16- | 9 | | 0.00 |
4/10 | WILKES (6-10) | Middle Atlant | 66.8 | | W | 24- | 12 | | 0.00 |
4/12 | at Rowan (13-5) | Independent | 79.6 | 17 | L | 11- | 12 | | 0.00 |
4/16 | at King's (3-13) | Middle Atlant | 67.5 | | W | 20- | 10 | | 0.00 |
4/19 | LYCOMING (9-8) | Middle Atlant | 76.7 | | W | 20- | 12 | | 0.00 |
4/22 | at Arcadia (4-10) | Middle Atlant | 63.5 | | W | 18- | 4 | | 0.00 |
4/26 | WIDENER (5-10) | Middle Atlant | 69.4 | | W | 21- | 9 | | 0.00 |
4/30 | LYCOMING (9-8) | Middle Atlant | 76.7 | | W | 15- | 13 | | 0.00 |
5/03 | ELIZABETHTOWN (11-5) | Middle Atlant | 81.0 | | W | 15- | 14 | | 0.00 |
5/07 | at St. Mary's (MD) (15-6) | Capital | 81.2 | 14 | L | 15- | 16 | | 0.00 |
* Click the score for the game story.
# Neutral site | | 73.7 | | | | | | 0.00 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/01 | H | Neumann | 19- | 3 | 16 | 18 | | -1.63 | -1.83 | |
3/10 | H | College of New Jersey | 4- | 20 | -16 | -6 | ––– | -1.63 | -10.05 | |
3/11 | A | Kean | 23- | 8 | 15 | 10 | ++ | 1.63 | 5.23 | |
3/18 | N | Gordon | 13- | 8 | 5 | 6 | | 0.00 | -1.03 | |
3/19 | N | Allegheny | 21- | 10 | 11 | 9 | | 0.00 | 1.80 | |
3/25 | A | Montclair State | 17- | 9 | 8 | 3 | ++ | 1.63 | 4.65 | |
3/27 | H | Mount Saint Vincent | 21- | 9 | 12 | 12 | | -1.63 | 0.04 | |
3/29 | A | Elizabethtown | 10- | 7 | 3 | -2 | ++ | 1.63 | 5.07 | |
4/02 | A | Manhattanville | 17- | 13 | 4 | 9 | –– | 1.63 | -5.01 | |
4/05 | H | Messiah | 16- | 9 | 7 | 5 | | -1.63 | 1.52 | |
4/10 | H | Wilkes | 24- | 12 | 12 | 15 | – | -1.63 | -3.38 | |
4/12 | A | Rowan | 11- | 12 | -1 | -1 | | 1.63 | -0.28 | |
4/16 | A | King's | 20- | 10 | 10 | 11 | | 1.63 | -1.37 | |
4/19 | H | Lycoming | 20- | 12 | 8 | 5 | + | -1.63 | 2.52 | |
4/22 | A | Arcadia | 18- | 4 | 14 | 15 | | 1.63 | -1.41 | |
4/26 | H | Widener | 21- | 9 | 12 | 13 | | -1.63 | -0.77 | |
4/30 | H | Lycoming | 15- | 13 | 2 | 5 | – | -1.63 | -3.48 | |
5/03 | H | Elizabethtown | 15- | 14 | 1 | 1 | | -1.63 | -0.18 | |
5/07 | A | St. Mary's (MD) | 15- | 16 | -1 | -2 | | 1.63 | 1.32 | |
| | | | | | | | | | -6.65 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/01 | H | Neumann | 19- | 3 | 1.83 |
3/10 | H | College of New Jersey | 4- | 20 | 6.00 |
3/11 | A | Kean | 23- | 8 | -5.23 |
3/19 | N | Allegheny | 21- | 10 | -1.00 |
3/27 | H | Mount Saint Vincent | 21- | 9 | -0.04 |
4/10 | H | Wilkes | 24- | 12 | 3.38 |
4/16 | A | King's | 20- | 10 | 1.37 |
4/22 | A | Arcadia | 18- | 4 | 1.41 |
4/26 | H | Widener | 21- | 9 | 0.77 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.45 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 102.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 30 |
| Local Poll Vote | 44. | | Local Poll Rank | 20 |
| Local Power Rating | 80.53 | | Local Power Rank | 25 |
| Local SOS Rating | 73.66 | | Local SOS Rank | 60 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.63 | | Local RPI Rank | 17 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 17 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | n/a | | Local Quality Win Rank | n/a |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.60 | | Local Loss Rank | 8 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 16-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 6.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -16.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -16.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -6.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.7 |
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