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Fitchburg State Falcons (5-9)

Conference: NEWLA

Region: New England

State: MA

Coach: Rick Terrio

Elms Falls to Fitchburg State

CHICOPEE, MA, March 27, 2008 � Elms College freshman attack Jennifer Lough (Feeding Hills, MA) and senior defender Caitlin Childs (Hingham, MA) each netted a pair of goals, but Fitchburg State sophomore attack Emily Swan (Franklin, MA) erupted for a game-high five goals to help the Falcons post an 11-7 win over Elms College in the New England Women's Lacrosse Alliance (NEWLA) opener for both teams at Leary Field. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Score*
3/13	at Keene State (13-8)	Little East	70.6	L	1-	16
3/15	at Maritime (1-12)	Skyline	44.9	W	20-	2
3/16	at King's (3-13)	Middle Atlant	67.5	L	5-	16
3/27	at Elms (4-9)	NEWLA	51.2	W	11-	7
3/30	at Emerson (13-4)	Great Northea	63.8	L	4-	16
4/06	THOMAS (1-8)	NEWLA	46.0	W	15-	8
4/08	at Worcester State (9-6)	NEWLA	61.7	L	3-	15
4/12	WESTFIELD STATE (8-7)	NEWLA	61.4	L	5-	12
4/14	NICHOLS (4-11)	Comm. Coast	58.2	W	11-	9
4/15	BECKER (2-10)	NEWLA	46.6	W	11-	9
4/17	at Mass.-Dartmouth (9-6)	Little East	66.7	L	0-	16
4/19	BRIDGEWATER STATE (15-5)	NEWLA	71.6	L	3-	22
4/24	FRAMINGHAM STATE (4-6)	Little East	56.5	L	7-	10
4/26	at Castleton State (10-8)	NEWLA	63.5	L	5-	23
* Click the score for the game story.			59.3

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	A	Keene State	1-	16	-15	-18	+	1.63	3.37
3/15	A	Maritime	20-	2	18	7	+++	1.63	10.68
3/16	A	King's	5-	16	-11	-15	++	1.63	4.30
3/27	A	Elms	11-	7	4	1	+	1.63	2.92
3/30	A	Emerson	4-	16	-12	-12		1.63	-0.40
4/06	H	Thomas	15-	8	7	9	–	-1.63	-2.49
4/08	A	Worcester State	3-	15	-12	-9	–	1.63	-2.57
4/12	H	Westfield State	5-	12	-7	-6		-1.63	-1.09
4/14	H	Nichols	11-	9	2	-3	++	-1.63	4.71
4/15	H	Becker	11-	9	2	9	–––	-1.63	-6.88
4/17	A	Mass.-Dartmouth	0-	16	-16	-14		1.63	-1.59
4/19	H	Bridgewater State	3-	22	-19	-16	–	-1.63	-2.87
4/24	H	Framingham State	7-	10	-3	-1		-1.63	-1.98
4/26	A	Castleton State	5-	23	-18	-11	–––	1.63	-6.70
									-0.59	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/13	A	Keene State	1-	16	-3.37
3/15	A	Maritime	20-	2	-8.00
3/16	A	King's	5-	16	-4.30
3/30	A	Emerson	4-	16	0.40
4/08	A	Worcester State	3-	15	2.00
4/17	A	Mass.-Dartmouth	0-	16	1.59
4/19	H	Bridgewater State	3-	22	2.87
4/26	A	Castleton State	5-	23	6.70
10-goal correction: -0.15

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	466.00	Local TSI Rank	158
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	53.87	Local Power Rank	161
Local SOS Rating	59.28	Local SOS Rank	161
Local RPI Rating	0.39	Local RPI Rank	139
Local Trend Rating	4.00	Local Trend Rank	129
Local Quality Win Rating	n/a	Local Quality Win Rank	n/a
Local Loss Rating	1.80	Local Loss Rank	116
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-9	Ave Goal diff (all )	-5.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-13.3


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