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Fredonia Lady Blue Devils (11-6)

Conference: SUNYAC

Region: New York

State: NY

Coach: Chris Case

#19 Cortland Runs by Fredonia in SUNYAC Semifinals

Senior Rachel Cornwell (Fairport) and sophomore Jessie Fritz (Baldwinsville/C.W. Baker) each scored four goals to lead the nationally 19th-ranked Red Dragons to a 16-7 win versus Fredonia St. Cortland won its 10th consecutive game and improved to 13-5 on the season, while the Blue Devils, making their first-ever SUNYAC Tournament appearance, fell to 11-6. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*
3/15	ELMIRA (7-9)	Empire Eight	70.6		W	11-	9
3/24	vs. MIT # (5-7)	NEWMAC	76.0		L	8-	13
3/26	vs. Wellesley # (10-8)	NEWMAC	76.2		W	10-	3
3/29	at Wooster (10-6)	North Coast	72.9		W	11-	7
4/01	at Geneseo (10-5)	SUNYAC	78.4		L	10-	11
4/03	OBERLIN (3-11)	North Coast	63.4		W	17-	2
4/05	at Cortland (14-6)	SUNYAC	82.6	13	L	4-	14
4/08	OSWEGO (5-11)	SUNYAC	68.1		W	16-	5
4/10	ALLEGHENY (7-9)	North Coast	71.3		W	15-	7
4/12	at Oneonta (10-7)	SUNYAC	74.6		W	12-	8
4/15	BROCKPORT (14-4)	SUNYAC	82.3		L	8-	10
4/18	TRI-STATE (0-10)	Independent	52.9		W	19-	0
4/19	at Morrisville (4-10)	SUNYAC	62.0		W	19-	8
4/22	ROCHESTER INST OF TECH (6-8)	Empire Eight	74.7		W	11-	10
4/26	POTSDAM (5-9)	SUNYAC	68.8		W	10-	5
4/29	BUFFALO STATE (9-4)	SUNYAC	80.3		L	9-	10	3ot
5/02	at Cortland (14-6)	SUNYAC	82.6	13	L	7-	16
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			72.7

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/15	H	Elmira	11-	9	2	7	––	-1.63	-5.46
3/24	N	MIT	8-	13	-5	0	––	0.00	-4.70
3/26	N	Wellesley	10-	3	7	0	+++	0.00	6.95
3/29	A	Wooster	11-	7	4	1	+	1.63	2.98
4/01	A	Geneseo	10-	11	-1	-5	+	1.63	3.82
4/03	H	Oberlin	17-	2	15	15		-1.63	-0.08
4/05	A	Cortland	4-	14	-10	-8		1.63	-1.88
4/08	H	Oswego	16-	5	11	10		-1.63	0.95
4/10	H	Allegheny	15-	7	8	7		-1.63	1.26
4/12	A	Oneonta	12-	8	4	0	++	1.63	4.15
4/15	H	Brockport	8-	10	-2	-5	+	-1.63	2.82
4/18	H	Tri-State	19-	0	19	25	––	-1.63	-5.55
4/19	A	Morrisville	19-	8	11	12		1.63	-0.61
4/22	H	Rochester Inst of Tech	11-	10	1	3		-1.63	-1.66
4/26	H	Potsdam	10-	5	5	9	–	-1.63	-3.85
4/29	H	Buffalo State	9-	10	-1	-3		-1.63	1.72
5/02	A	Cortland	7-	16	-9	-8		1.63	-0.88
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/03	H	Oberlin	17-	2	0.08
4/05	A	Cortland	4-	14	0.00
4/08	H	Oswego	16-	5	-0.95
4/18	H	Tri-State	19-	0	5.55
4/19	A	Morrisville	19-	8	0.61
10-goal correction: 0.31

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	179.00	Local TSI Rank	59
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	76.36	Local Power Rank	51
Local SOS Rating	72.67	Local SOS Rank	66
Local RPI Rating	0.54	Local RPI Rank	59
Local Trend Rating	2.00	Local Trend Rank	39
Local Quality Win Rating	n/a	Local Quality Win Rank	n/a
Local Loss Rating	1.20	Local Loss Rank	51
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-6	Ave Goal diff (all )	3.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.7


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