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Fredonia Lady Blue Devils (11-6)

Conference: SUNYACRegion: New YorkState: NYCoach: Chris Case

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

#19 Cortland Runs by Fredonia in SUNYAC Semifinals

Senior Rachel Cornwell (Fairport) and sophomore Jessie Fritz (Baldwinsville/C.W. Baker) each scored four goals to lead the nationally 19th-ranked Red Dragons to a 16-7 win versus Fredonia St. Cortland won its 10th consecutive game and improved to 13-5 on the season, while the Blue Devils, making their first-ever SUNYAC Tournament appearance, fell to 11-6.   [full story]  

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore* QWF
3/15ELMIRA (7-9)Empire Eight70.6W11- 9 0.00  
3/24vs. MIT # (5-7)NEWMAC76.0L8-13 0.00  
3/26vs. Wellesley # (10-8)NEWMAC76.2W10- 3 0.00  
3/29at Wooster (10-6)North Coast72.9W11- 7 0.00  
4/01at Geneseo (10-5)SUNYAC78.4L10-11 0.00  
4/03OBERLIN (3-11)North Coast63.4W17- 2 0.00  
4/05at Cortland (14-6)SUNYAC82.613L4-14 0.00  
4/08OSWEGO (5-11)SUNYAC68.1W16- 5 0.00  
4/10ALLEGHENY (7-9)North Coast71.3W15- 7 0.00  
4/12at Oneonta (10-7)SUNYAC74.6W12- 8 0.00  
4/15BROCKPORT (14-4)SUNYAC82.3L8-10 0.00  
4/18TRI-STATE (0-10)Independent52.9W19- 0 0.00  
4/19at Morrisville (4-10)SUNYAC62.0W19- 8 0.00  
4/22ROCHESTER INST OF TECH (6-8)Empire Eight74.7W11-10 0.00  
4/26POTSDAM (5-9)SUNYAC68.8W10- 5 0.00  
4/29BUFFALO STATE (9-4)SUNYAC80.3L9-103ot0.00  
5/02at Cortland (14-6)SUNYAC82.613L7-16 0.00  
* Click the score for the game story.
# Neutral site
 72.7     0.00  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/15HElmira11-92   7       ––-1.63       -5.42
3/24NMIT8-13-5   0       ––0.00       -5.41
3/26NWellesley10-37   0       +++0.00       6.85
3/29AWooster11-74   2       +1.63       2.18
4/01AGeneseo10-11-1   -4       +1.63       2.68
4/03HOberlin17-215   15       -1.63       0.43
4/05ACortland4-14-10   -8       1.63       -2.17
4/08HOswego16-511   10       -1.63       1.13
4/10HAllegheny15-78   7       -1.63       1.35
4/12AOneonta12-84   0       +1.63       3.87
4/15HBrockport8-10-2   -4       +-1.63       2.35
4/18HTri-State19-019   25       –––-1.63       -6.09
4/19AMorrisville19-811   13       1.63       -1.73
4/22HRochester Inst of Tech11-101   3       -1.63       -2.29
4/26HPotsdam10-55   9       ––-1.63       -4.14
4/29HBuffalo State9-10-1   -2       -1.63       1.31
5/02ACortland7-16-9   -8       1.63       -1.17
         -6.290.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/03HOberlin17-2-0.43
4/05ACortland4-140.00
4/08HOswego16-5-1.13
4/18HTri-State19-06.09
4/19AMorrisville19-81.73
10-goal correction: 0.37

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating179.00   Local TSI Rank 59
Local Poll Vote n/a   Local Poll Rank n/a
Local Power Rating 76.36   Local Power Rank 51
Local SOS Rating 72.67   Local SOS Rank 66
Local RPI Rating 0.54   Local RPI Rank 59
Local Trend Rating 2.00   Local Trend Rank 39
Local Quality Win Rating n/a   Local Quality Win Rank n/a
Local Loss Rating 1.20   Local Loss Rank 51
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-6   Ave Goal diff (all ) 3.5
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -9.5
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -1.7



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