| Conference: SUNYAC | Region: New York | State: NY | Coach: Chris Case |
#19 Cortland Runs by Fredonia in SUNYAC Semifinals
Senior Rachel Cornwell (Fairport) and sophomore Jessie Fritz (Baldwinsville/C.W. Baker) each scored four goals to lead the nationally 19th-ranked Red Dragons to a 16-7 win versus Fredonia St. Cortland won its 10th consecutive game and improved to 13-5 on the season, while the Blue Devils, making their first-ever SUNYAC Tournament appearance, fell to 11-6. [full story]
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| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score* | | QWF |
3/15 | ELMIRA (7-9) | Empire Eight | 70.6 | | W | 11- | 9 | | 0.00 |
3/24 | vs. MIT # (5-7) | NEWMAC | 76.0 | | L | 8- | 13 | | 0.00 |
3/26 | vs. Wellesley # (10-8) | NEWMAC | 76.2 | | W | 10- | 3 | | 0.00 |
3/29 | at Wooster (10-6) | North Coast | 72.9 | | W | 11- | 7 | | 0.00 |
4/01 | at Geneseo (10-5) | SUNYAC | 78.4 | | L | 10- | 11 | | 0.00 |
4/03 | OBERLIN (3-11) | North Coast | 63.4 | | W | 17- | 2 | | 0.00 |
4/05 | at Cortland (14-6) | SUNYAC | 82.6 | 13 | L | 4- | 14 | | 0.00 |
4/08 | OSWEGO (5-11) | SUNYAC | 68.1 | | W | 16- | 5 | | 0.00 |
4/10 | ALLEGHENY (7-9) | North Coast | 71.3 | | W | 15- | 7 | | 0.00 |
4/12 | at Oneonta (10-7) | SUNYAC | 74.6 | | W | 12- | 8 | | 0.00 |
4/15 | BROCKPORT (14-4) | SUNYAC | 82.3 | | L | 8- | 10 | | 0.00 |
4/18 | TRI-STATE (0-10) | Independent | 52.9 | | W | 19- | 0 | | 0.00 |
4/19 | at Morrisville (4-10) | SUNYAC | 62.0 | | W | 19- | 8 | | 0.00 |
4/22 | ROCHESTER INST OF TECH (6-8) | Empire Eight | 74.7 | | W | 11- | 10 | | 0.00 |
4/26 | POTSDAM (5-9) | SUNYAC | 68.8 | | W | 10- | 5 | | 0.00 |
4/29 | BUFFALO STATE (9-4) | SUNYAC | 80.3 | | L | 9- | 10 | 3ot | 0.00 |
5/02 | at Cortland (14-6) | SUNYAC | 82.6 | 13 | L | 7- | 16 | | 0.00 |
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site | | 72.7 | | | | | | 0.00 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/15 | H | Elmira | 11- | 9 | 2 | 7 | | -1.63 | -5.42 | |
3/24 | N | MIT | 8- | 13 | -5 | 0 | | 0.00 | -5.41 | |
3/26 | N | Wellesley | 10- | 3 | 7 | 0 | +++ | 0.00 | 6.85 | |
3/29 | A | Wooster | 11- | 7 | 4 | 2 | + | 1.63 | 2.18 | |
4/01 | A | Geneseo | 10- | 11 | -1 | -4 | + | 1.63 | 2.68 | |
4/03 | H | Oberlin | 17- | 2 | 15 | 15 | | -1.63 | 0.43 | |
4/05 | A | Cortland | 4- | 14 | -10 | -8 | | 1.63 | -2.17 | |
4/08 | H | Oswego | 16- | 5 | 11 | 10 | | -1.63 | 1.13 | |
4/10 | H | Allegheny | 15- | 7 | 8 | 7 | | -1.63 | 1.35 | |
4/12 | A | Oneonta | 12- | 8 | 4 | 0 | + | 1.63 | 3.87 | |
4/15 | H | Brockport | 8- | 10 | -2 | -4 | + | -1.63 | 2.35 | |
4/18 | H | Tri-State | 19- | 0 | 19 | 25 | | -1.63 | -6.09 | |
4/19 | A | Morrisville | 19- | 8 | 11 | 13 | | 1.63 | -1.73 | |
4/22 | H | Rochester Inst of Tech | 11- | 10 | 1 | 3 | | -1.63 | -2.29 | |
4/26 | H | Potsdam | 10- | 5 | 5 | 9 | | -1.63 | -4.14 | |
4/29 | H | Buffalo State | 9- | 10 | -1 | -2 | | -1.63 | 1.31 | |
5/02 | A | Cortland | 7- | 16 | -9 | -8 | | 1.63 | -1.17 | |
| | | | | | | | | | -6.29 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
4/03 | H | Oberlin | 17- | 2 | -0.43 |
4/05 | A | Cortland | 4- | 14 | 0.00 |
4/08 | H | Oswego | 16- | 5 | -1.13 |
4/18 | H | Tri-State | 19- | 0 | 6.09 |
4/19 | A | Morrisville | 19- | 8 | 1.73 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.37 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 179.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 59 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 76.36 | | Local Power Rank | 51 |
| Local SOS Rating | 72.67 | | Local SOS Rank | 66 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.54 | | Local RPI Rank | 59 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 39 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | n/a | | Local Quality Win Rank | n/a |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.20 | | Local Loss Rank | 51 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -9.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -1.7 |
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