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Gettysburg Bullets (17-4)

Conference: CentennialRegion: MetroState: PACoach: Carol Cantele

#7 Middlebury Ends #5 Gettysburg's Postseason Bid

CLINTON, N.Y. – For the first time in three seasons, the Gettysburg College women's lacrosse team will not be taking the field on the final weekend of the NCAA Division III Tournament as seventh-ranked Middlebury College downed the fifth-ranked Bullets 14-5 in the regional semifinals hosted by Hamilton College on Saturday. The Panthers, who avenged a regular season overtime loss to the Orange & Blue, advance to play host Hamilton in the regional finale on Sunday (May 11), while Gettysburg sees its season come to a close with a 17-4 overall record.   [full story]

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score* QWF
2/28at Mary Washington (10-8)Capital80.0W15-10 0.00  
3/03vs. Muhlenberg # (11-5)Centennial79.0W20- 4 0.00  
3/03GWYNEDD-MERCY (10-8)Penn. (PAC)70.3W21- 2 0.00  
3/05vs. Wittenberg # (6-7)North Coast69.2W17- 3 0.00  
3/05vs. Roanoke # (10-8)Old Dominion77.3W14- 2 0.00  
3/08ROWAN (13-5)Independent79.520W17- 6 -0.05  
3/12MESSIAH (10-7)Middle Atlant76.5W19- 4 0.00  
3/15at Washington College (7-8)Centennial75.4W18- 6 0.00  
3/22SWARTHMORE (6-11)Centennial70.9W21- 3 0.00  
3/27MIDDLEBURY (12-5)NESCAC87.47W19-17ot-0.70  
3/29BRYN MAWR (4-11)Centennial66.7W17- 0 0.00  
4/01at Dickinson (12-6)Centennial82.613W12- 7 -0.40  
4/04at College of New Jersey (17-1)Independent88.02L13-17 0.00  
4/05at Haverford (5-11)Centennial70.2W15- 3 0.00  
4/09MCDANIEL (10-7)Centennial79.2W19-10 0.00  
4/12URSINUS (8-9)Centennial78.2W13- 6 0.00  
4/19FRANKLIN & MARSHALL (18-1)Centennial89.13L8-10 0.00  
4/23at Cabrini (13-6)Penn. (PAC)73.8W20-11 0.00  
4/26vs. Dickinson # (12-6)Centennial82.613W12- 6 -0.40  
4/27at Franklin & Marshall (18-1)Centennial89.13L6-14 0.00  
5/10vs. Middlebury # (12-5)NESCAC87.47L5-14 0.00  
* Click the score for the game story.
# Neutral site
 78.6     -1.55  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/28AMary Washington15-105   5       1.64       -0.22
3/03NMuhlenberg20-416   8       +++0.00       8.32
3/03HGwynedd-Mercy21-219   18       -1.64       0.71
3/05NWittenberg17-314   17       0.00       -2.80
3/05NRoanoke14-212   8       +0.00       3.79
3/08HRowan17-611   9       +-1.64       2.27
3/12HMessiah19-415   12       +-1.64       3.29
3/15AWashington College18-612   9       +1.64       2.58
3/22HSwarthmore21-318   17       -1.64       0.55
3/27HMiddlebury19-172   0       -1.64       1.82
3/29HBryn Mawr17-017   21       -1.64       -3.98
4/01ADickinson12-75   2       +1.64       2.61
4/04ACollege of New Jersey13-17-4   -4       1.64       -0.49
4/05AHaverford15-312   14       1.64       -2.11
4/09HMcDaniel19-109   9       -1.64       -0.21
4/12HUrsinus13-67   10       -1.64       -3.37
4/19HFranklin & Marshall8-10-2   -1       -1.64       -0.82
4/23ACabrini20-119   12       1.64       -2.82
4/26NDickinson12-66   4       0.00       1.98
4/27AFranklin & Marshall6-14-8   -4       1.64       -3.55
5/10NMiddlebury5-14-9   -1       –––0.00       -7.54
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/03NMuhlenberg20-4-6.00
3/03HGwynedd-Mercy21-2-0.71
3/05NWittenberg17-32.80
3/05NRoanoke14-2-2.00
3/08HRowan17-6-1.00
3/12HMessiah19-4-3.29
3/15AWashington College18-6-2.00
3/22HSwarthmore21-3-0.55
3/29HBryn Mawr17-03.98
4/05AHaverford15-32.11
10-goal correction: -0.32

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating 15.00   Local TSI Rank 8
Local Poll Vote 325.   Local Poll Rank 5
Local Power Rating 86.20   Local Power Rank 7
Local SOS Rating 78.62   Local SOS Rank 16
Local RPI Rating 0.67   Local RPI Rank 6
Local Trend Rating 3.00   Local Trend Rank 88
Local Quality Win Rating -1.55   Local Quality Win Rank 10
Local Loss Rating 0.80   Local Loss Rank 15
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 17-4   Ave Goal diff (all ) 7.9
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -4.7
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -4.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 4-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 0.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -3.7



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