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Ithaca Bombers (9-8)

Conference: Empire Eight

Region: New York

State: NY

Coach: Karen Hollands

#7 Middlebury Defuses Bombers in NCAA First Round

MIDDLEBURY, Vt. � Middlebury jumped out to a 11-0 lead and never looked back, on its way to a 19-3 win over Ithaca in an NCAA Tournament first-round game on Kohn Field. The Panthers advance to an NCAA Regional at Hamilton on Saturday, where they will meet Gettysburg at 2:30 p.m. Ithaca ends its season with a 9-8 mark. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*				QWF
3/11	vs. Vassar # (10-5)	Liberty Leagu	76.9		L	12-	14		0.00
3/14	vs. Rensselaer # (7-7)	Liberty Leagu	75.6		W	18-	8		0.00
3/20	at Cortland (14-6)	SUNYAC	82.3	18	L	11-	12	ot	0.00
3/30	UTICA (9-8)	Empire Eight	74.0		W	11-	8		0.00
3/31	STEVENS (14-6)	Empire Eight	81.3		L	10-	16		0.00
4/02	ELMIRA (7-9)	Empire Eight	70.3		W	21-	6		0.00
4/05	at St. John Fisher (11-8)	Empire Eight	79.4		L	13-	16		0.00
4/06	at Nazareth (10-5)	Empire Eight	77.7		L	9-	12		0.00
4/12	at Rochester Inst of Tech (6-8)	Empire Eight	74.4		W	15-	10		0.00
4/13	ALFRED (2-11)	Empire Eight	64.0		W	21-	1		0.00
4/16	at Hamilton (19-1)	Liberty Leagu	88.1	4	L	8-	20		0.00
4/19	at Hartwick (3-11)	Empire Eight	68.0		W	16-	15		0.00
4/22	WILLIAM SMITH (13-4)	Liberty Leagu	79.8	17	W	16-	8		-0.20
4/26	at Nazareth (10-5)	Empire Eight	77.7		W	8-	5		0.00
4/27	vs. Stevens # (14-6)	Empire Eight	81.3		W	12-	11		0.00
4/30	at Rochester (5-9)	Liberty Leagu	75.2		L	12-	13		0.00
5/07	at Middlebury (12-5)	NESCAC	87.4	7	L	3-	19		0.00
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			77.1						-0.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/11	N	Vassar	12-	14	-2	3	––	0.00	-4.80
3/14	N	Rensselaer	18-	8	10	4	+++	0.00	6.50
3/20	A	Cortland	11-	12	-1	-5	+	1.64	4.00
3/30	H	Utica	11-	8	3	7	–	-1.64	-3.84
3/31	H	Stevens	10-	16	-6	-1	––	-1.64	-4.99
4/02	H	Elmira	21-	6	15	11	++	-1.64	4.41
4/05	A	St. John Fisher	13-	16	-3	-2		1.64	-0.88
4/06	A	Nazareth	9-	12	-3	0	–	1.64	-2.87
4/12	A	Rochester Inst of Tech	15-	10	5	3	+	1.64	2.47
4/13	H	Alfred	21-	1	20	16	++	-1.64	4.01
4/16	A	Hamilton	8-	20	-12	-11		1.64	-1.12
4/19	A	Hartwick	16-	15	1	10	–––	1.64	-8.97
4/22	H	William Smith	16-	8	8	1	+++	-1.64	7.43
4/26	A	Nazareth	8-	5	3	0	+	1.64	3.13
4/27	N	Stevens	12-	11	1	-3	+	0.00	3.65
4/30	A	Rochester	12-	13	-1	2	–	1.64	-2.84
5/07	A	Middlebury	3-	19	-16	-11	––	1.64	-5.27
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/14	N	Rensselaer	18-	8	0.00
4/02	H	Elmira	21-	6	-4.41
4/13	H	Alfred	21-	1	-4.01
4/16	A	Hamilton	8-	20	1.12
5/07	A	Middlebury	3-	19	5.27
10-goal correction: -0.12

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	106.00	Local TSI Rank	33
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	78.76	Local Power Rank	34
Local SOS Rating	77.06	Local SOS Rank	26
Local RPI Rating	0.56	Local RPI Rank	43
Local Trend Rating	2.00	Local Trend Rank	46
Local Quality Win Rating	-0.20	Local Quality Win Rank	23
Local Loss Rating	1.60	Local Loss Rank	89
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-8	Ave Goal diff (all )	1.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-3	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.3


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