| Conference: Empire Eight | Region: New York | State: NY | Coach: Karen Hollands |
#7 Middlebury Defuses Bombers in NCAA First Round
MIDDLEBURY, Vt. – Middlebury jumped out to a 11-0 lead and never looked back, on its way to a 19-3 win over Ithaca in an NCAA Tournament first-round game on Kohn Field. The Panthers advance to an NCAA Regional at Hamilton on Saturday, where they will meet Gettysburg at 2:30 p.m. Ithaca ends its season with a 9-8 mark. [full story]
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| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score* | | QWF |
|---|
3/11 | vs. Vassar # (10-5) | Liberty Leagu | 77.2 | | L | 12- | 14 | | 0.00 |
3/14 | vs. Rensselaer # (7-7) | Liberty Leagu | 76.0 | | W | 18- | 8 | | 0.00 |
3/20 | at Cortland (14-6) | SUNYAC | 82.6 | 13 | L | 11- | 12 | ot | 0.00 |
3/30 | UTICA (9-8) | Empire Eight | 74.3 | | W | 11- | 8 | | 0.00 |
3/31 | STEVENS (14-6) | Empire Eight | 81.6 | | L | 10- | 16 | | 0.00 |
4/02 | ELMIRA (7-9) | Empire Eight | 70.6 | | W | 21- | 6 | | 0.00 |
4/05 | at St. John Fisher (11-8) | Empire Eight | 79.7 | | L | 13- | 16 | | 0.00 |
4/06 | at Nazareth (10-5) | Empire Eight | 78.0 | | L | 9- | 12 | | 0.00 |
4/12 | at Rochester Inst of Tech (6-8) | Empire Eight | 74.7 | | W | 15- | 10 | | 0.00 |
4/13 | ALFRED (2-11) | Empire Eight | 64.3 | | W | 21- | 1 | | 0.00 |
4/16 | at Hamilton (21-1) | Liberty Leagu | 89.2 | 1 | L | 8- | 20 | | 0.00 |
4/19 | at Hartwick (3-11) | Empire Eight | 68.3 | | W | 16- | 15 | | 0.00 |
4/22 | WILLIAM SMITH (13-4) | Liberty Leagu | 80.2 | 18 | W | 16- | 8 | | -0.15 |
4/26 | at Nazareth (10-5) | Empire Eight | 78.0 | | W | 8- | 5 | | 0.00 |
4/27 | vs. Stevens # (14-6) | Empire Eight | 81.6 | | W | 12- | 11 | | 0.00 |
4/30 | at Rochester (5-9) | Liberty Leagu | 75.5 | | L | 12- | 13 | | 0.00 |
5/07 | at Middlebury (12-5) | NESCAC | 87.7 | 6 | L | 3- | 19 | | 0.00 |
* Click the score for the game story.
# Neutral site | | 77.3 | | | | | | -0.15 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/11 | N | Vassar | 12- | 14 | -2 | 2 | – | 0.00 | -3.86 | |
3/14 | N | Rensselaer | 18- | 8 | 10 | 3 | +++ | 0.00 | 6.88 | |
3/20 | A | Cortland | 11- | 12 | -1 | -5 | ++ | 1.63 | 4.10 | |
3/30 | H | Utica | 11- | 8 | 3 | 6 | – | -1.63 | -3.44 | |
3/31 | H | Stevens | 10- | 16 | -6 | -1 | –– | -1.63 | -5.13 | |
4/02 | H | Elmira | 21- | 6 | 15 | 10 | ++ | -1.63 | 4.85 | |
4/05 | A | St. John Fisher | 13- | 16 | -3 | -2 | | 1.63 | -0.75 | |
4/06 | A | Nazareth | 9- | 12 | -3 | -1 | – | 1.63 | -2.43 | |
4/12 | A | Rochester Inst of Tech | 15- | 10 | 5 | 3 | + | 1.63 | 2.23 | |
4/13 | H | Alfred | 21- | 1 | 20 | 16 | + | -1.63 | 3.58 | |
4/16 | A | Hamilton | 8- | 20 | -12 | -12 | | 1.63 | -0.31 | |
4/19 | A | Hartwick | 16- | 15 | 1 | 9 | ––– | 1.63 | -8.18 | |
4/22 | H | William Smith | 16- | 8 | 8 | 1 | +++ | -1.63 | 7.47 | |
4/26 | A | Nazareth | 8- | 5 | 3 | -1 | + | 1.63 | 3.57 | |
4/27 | N | Stevens | 12- | 11 | 1 | -2 | + | 0.00 | 3.49 | |
4/30 | A | Rochester | 12- | 13 | -1 | 2 | – | 1.63 | -2.96 | |
5/07 | A | Middlebury | 3- | 19 | -16 | -10 | –– | 1.63 | -5.77 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 3.35 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/14 | N | Rensselaer | 18- | 8 | 0.00 |
4/02 | H | Elmira | 21- | 6 | -4.85 |
4/13 | H | Alfred | 21- | 1 | -3.58 |
4/16 | A | Hamilton | 8- | 20 | 0.31 |
5/07 | A | Middlebury | 3- | 19 | 6.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.12 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 103.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 32 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 79.09 | | Local Power Rank | 34 |
| Local SOS Rating | 77.35 | | Local SOS Rank | 24 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.56 | | Local RPI Rank | 42 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 46 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -0.15 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 24 |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.60 | | Local Loss Rank | 89 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 9-8 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 1.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -12.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -14.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -5.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -5.3 |
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