| State: NY | Coach: Craig Chamberlain |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/22 | H | Cazenovia | 17- | 2 | 15 | 23 | | -1.34 | | -8.13 |
3/27 | H | Finger Lakes | 21- | 2 | 19 | 20 | | -1.06 | -0.63 | |
3/29 | H | Herkimer | 12- | 1 | 11 | 6 | ++ | -1.06 | 4.83 | |
4/02 | H | Mercyhurst-North East | 22- | 4 | 18 | 19 | | -1.06 | -0.56 | |
4/05 | A | Herkimer | 10- | 5 | 5 | 4 | | 1.06 | 0.96 | |
4/06 | H | Jefferson | 20- | 5 | 15 | 13 | | -1.06 | 1.59 | |
4/09 | H | Broome | 10- | 2 | 8 | 14 | | -1.06 | -5.91 | |
4/12 | H | Erie | 16- | 2 | 14 | 24 | | -1.06 | -9.58 | |
4/16 | A | Anne Arundel | 10- | 7 | 3 | 1 | + | 1.06 | 2.13 | |
4/18 | A | Catonsville | 4- | 9 | -5 | -6 | | 1.06 | 1.18 | |
4/19 | A | Harford | 10- | 11 | -1 | -1 | | 1.06 | -0.34 | |
4/24 | A | Mercyhurst-North East | 24- | 4 | 20 | 16 | + | 1.06 | 3.57 | |
4/27 | A | Jefferson | 11- | 2 | 9 | 11 | | 1.06 | -2.29 | |
5/03 | N | Mercyhurst-North East | 23- | 2 | 21 | 17 | + | 0.00 | 3.50 | |
5/04 | A | Herkimer | 11- | 2 | 9 | 4 | ++ | 1.06 | 4.96 | |
5/10 | N | Harford | 8- | 11 | -3 | 0 | | 0.00 | -3.40 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -8.13 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/22 | H | Cazenovia | 17- | 2 | 8.13 |
3/27 | H | Finger Lakes | 21- | 2 | 0.63 |
3/29 | H | Herkimer | 12- | 1 | -1.00 |
4/02 | H | Mercyhurst-North East | 22- | 4 | 0.56 |
4/06 | H | Jefferson | 20- | 5 | -1.59 |
4/12 | H | Erie | 16- | 2 | 9.58 |
4/24 | A | Mercyhurst-North East | 24- | 4 | -3.57 |
5/03 | N | Mercyhurst-North East | 23- | 2 | -3.50 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.58 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 13.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 3 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 76.98 | | Local Power Rank | 2 |
| Local SOS Rating | 66.39 | | Local SOS Rank | 7 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.61 | | Local RPI Rank | 4 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 4 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -inf | | Local Quality Win Rank | 14 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.60 | | Local Loss Rank | 4 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 13-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 9.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 4-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 2.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 10-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 8.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 12-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 9.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 9.0 |
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