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Strength of Schedule

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Conf. Standings

Messiah Falcons (10-7)

Conference: Middle Atlantic

Region: Metro

State: PA

Coach: Heather Greer

Manhattanville Women's Lacrosse Falls at Messiah

GRANTHAM, Pa. -- Messiah raced out to a 13-2 halftime lead that the Valiants could not overcome despite four more goals from senior Cory Alcorn (Orangeville, Ontario) and the Falcons went on to win 20-10 Saturday afternoon in a Middle Atlantic Conference game. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*				QWF
3/05	at McDaniel (10-7)	Centennial	79.3		L	7-	13		0.00
3/08	YORK (11-6)	Capital	77.0		W	14-	12		0.00
3/12	at Gettysburg (17-4)	Centennial	86.3	7	L	4-	19		0.00
3/20	vs. William Smith # (13-4)	Liberty Leagu	80.2	18	L	16-	20		0.00
3/26	DICKINSON (12-6)	Centennial	82.7	16	W	14-	13		-0.25
3/29	at Susquehanna (6-10)	Landmark	72.1		W	13-	11		0.00
4/03	WIDENER (5-10)	Middle Atlant	69.4		W	19-	8		0.00
4/05	at FDU-Florham (16-3)	Middle Atlant	80.5	20	L	9-	16		0.00
4/08	ROWAN (13-5)	Independent	79.6	17	L	8-	14		0.00
4/10	at Arcadia (4-10)	Middle Atlant	63.5		W	16-	4		0.00
4/12	MANHATTANVILLE (9-8)	Middle Atlant	69.9		W	20-	10		0.00
4/15	LYCOMING (9-8)	Middle Atlant	76.7		W	16-	15		0.00
4/17	at Elizabethtown (11-5)	Middle Atlant	81.0		L	7-	14		0.00
4/19	WILKES (6-10)	Middle Atlant	66.8		W	17-	7		0.00
4/24	FROSTBURG STATE (8-9)	Independent	67.0		W	17-	6		0.00
4/26	at King's (3-13)	Middle Atlant	67.5		W	17-	5		0.00
4/30	at Elizabethtown (11-5)	Middle Atlant	81.0		L	9-	15		0.00
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			75.2						-0.25

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/05	A	McDaniel	7-	13	-6	-4		1.63	-1.95
3/08	H	York	14-	12	2	1		-1.63	0.85
3/12	A	Gettysburg	4-	19	-15	-12	–	1.63	-3.35
3/20	N	William Smith	16-	20	-4	-4		0.00	-0.33
3/26	H	Dickinson	14-	13	1	-4	++	-1.63	5.38
3/29	A	Susquehanna	13-	11	2	4		1.63	-1.53
4/03	H	Widener	19-	8	11	9		-1.63	1.94
4/05	A	FDU-Florham	9-	16	-7	-5		1.63	-1.81
4/08	H	Rowan	8-	14	-6	-1	––	-1.63	-4.67
4/10	A	Arcadia	16-	4	12	12		1.63	0.50
4/12	H	Manhattanville	20-	10	10	9		-1.63	1.11
4/15	H	Lycoming	16-	15	1	1		-1.63	0.02
4/17	A	Elizabethtown	7-	14	-7	-7		1.63	-0.19
4/19	H	Wilkes	17-	7	10	11		-1.63	-0.88
4/24	H	Frostburg State	17-	6	11	11		-1.63	-0.11
4/26	A	King's	17-	5	12	8	++	1.63	4.23
4/30	A	Elizabethtown	9-	15	-6	-7		1.63	0.81
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/12	A	Gettysburg	4-	19	3.35
4/03	H	Widener	19-	8	-1.00
4/10	A	Arcadia	16-	4	-0.50
4/12	H	Manhattanville	20-	10	0.00
4/19	H	Wilkes	17-	7	0.88
4/24	H	Frostburg State	17-	6	0.11
4/26	A	King's	17-	5	-2.00
10-goal correction: 0.05

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	138.00		Local TSI Rank	42
Local Poll Vote	n/a		Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	76.68		Local Power Rank	47
Local SOS Rating	75.19		Local SOS Rank	44
Local RPI Rating	0.56		Local RPI Rank	44
Local Trend Rating	2.00		Local Trend Rank	53
Local Quality Win Rating	-0.25		Local Quality Win Rank	21
Local Loss Rating	1.40		Local Loss Rank	72
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-15.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.7


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