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Middlebury Panthers (12-5)

Conference: NESCAC

Region: New England

State: VT

Coach: Missy Foote

#4 Hamilton Edges #7 Middlebury to Reach Semifinals

CLINTON, N.Y. -- Jen McGowan '08 scored two goals, including the eventual game-winner, as nationally ranked No. 4 Hamilton College edged Middlebury College, 9-7, in an NCAA Division III women's lacrosse championships quarterfinal at Campus Road Athletic Field on May 11. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*				QWF
3/07	at Bates (7-7)	NESCAC	82.0		W	16-	12		0.00
3/15	CONNECTICUT COLLEGE (7-8)	NESCAC	77.7		W	17-	4		0.00
3/22	BOWDOIN (9-7)	NESCAC	83.0	19	W	13-	6		-0.10
3/25	at Washington & Lee (17-3)	Old Dominion	84.4	6	L	8-	14		0.00
3/27	at Gettysburg (17-4)	Centennial	86.2	5	L	17-	19	ot	0.00
3/29	at Colby (13-6)	NESCAC	85.2	9	W	17-	11		-0.60
4/02	at Williams (4-8)	NESCAC	80.4		W	13-	10		0.00
4/05	AMHERST (15-4)	NESCAC	83.8	11	W	14-	3		-0.50
4/12	at Trinity (CT) (11-7)	NESCAC	83.9	10	W	13-	11		-0.55
4/16	UNION (15-4)	Liberty Leagu	86.3	8	W	16-	10		-0.65
4/19	WESLEYAN (CT) (7-9)	NESCAC	80.9		W	19-	6		0.00
4/22	SKIDMORE (3-14)	Liberty Leagu	70.6		W	19-	1		0.00
4/26	at Tufts (10-5)	NESCAC	83.6	16	L	7-	15		0.00
5/03	COLBY (13-6)	NESCAC	85.2	9	L	8-	10		0.00
5/07	ITHACA (9-8)	Empire Eight	78.8		W	19-	3		0.00
5/10	vs. Gettysburg # (17-4)	Centennial	86.2	5	W	14-	5		-0.80
5/11	at Hamilton (19-1)	Liberty Leagu	88.1	4	L	7-	9		0.00
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			82.6						-3.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/07	A	Bates	16-	12	4	4		1.64	-0.12
3/15	H	Connecticut College	17-	4	13	12		-1.64	0.84
3/22	H	Bowdoin	13-	6	7	6		-1.64	1.17
3/25	A	Washington & Lee	8-	14	-6	3	–––	1.64	-8.79
3/27	A	Gettysburg	17-	19	-2	0		1.64	-1.82
3/29	A	Colby	17-	11	6	1	++	1.64	4.82
4/02	A	Williams	13-	10	3	6	–	1.64	-2.89
4/05	H	Amherst	14-	3	11	6	++	-1.64	5.37
4/12	A	Trinity (CT)	13-	11	2	2		1.64	-0.31
4/16	H	Union	16-	10	6	4	+	-1.64	2.39
4/19	H	Wesleyan (CT)	19-	6	13	9	++	-1.64	4.17
4/22	H	Skidmore	19-	1	18	19		-1.64	-0.80
4/26	A	Tufts	7-	15	-8	2	–––	1.64	10.17
5/03	H	Colby	8-	10	-2	4	–––	-1.64	-6.46
5/07	H	Ithaca	19-	3	16	11	++	-1.64	5.27
5/10	N	Gettysburg	14-	5	9	1	+++	0.00	7.54
5/11	A	Hamilton	7-	9	-2	-2		1.64	-0.21
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/15	H	Connecticut College	17-	4	-0.84
4/05	H	Amherst	14-	3	-1.00
4/19	H	Wesleyan (CT)	19-	6	-3.00
4/22	H	Skidmore	19-	1	0.80
5/07	H	Ithaca	19-	3	-5.27
10-goal correction: -0.55

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	1.00	Local TSI Rank	5
Local Poll Vote	255.	Local Poll Rank	7
Local Power Rating	87.42	Local Power Rank	5
Local SOS Rating	82.65	Local SOS Rank	1
Local RPI Rating	0.65	Local RPI Rank	9
Local Trend Rating	3.00	Local Trend Rank	96
Local Quality Win Rating	-3.20	Local Quality Win Rank	4
Local Loss Rating	1.00	Local Loss Rank	32
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-5	Ave Goal diff (all )	5.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	1.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-4	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	1.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-5	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	7.7


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