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Computer Rating

Strength of Schedule

NCAA Selection Criteria

Conf. Standings

Michigan State Spartans (12-8)

Conference: WCLL A

State: MI

Coach: Bob Stevenson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/15	vs. Pittsburgh # (19-3)	WCLL A	67.8	7	W	4-	2		-0.76
2/16	at Arizona State (3-8)	WWLL South I	58.5		W	13-	6		0.00
2/16	vs. Minnesota # (12-6)	NCWLL-Plains	61.8	25	W	12-	4		-0.04
2/17	at Arizona State (3-8)	WWLL South I	58.5		W	11-	7		0.00
3/07	vs. Minnesota-Duluth # (7-6)	Independent	61.7		W	14-	4		0.00
3/15	CENTRAL MICHIGAN (10-6)	WCLL A	53.3		W	16-	2		0.00
3/15	TOLEDO (7-6)	WCLL A	53.5		W	16-	2		0.00
3/29	MICHIGAN (16-5)	WCLL A	70.2	5	L	10-	11		0.00
4/05	at Western Michigan (6-6)	WCLL B	51.4		W	21-	4		0.00
4/11	vs. Colorado # (15-4)	RMWLL	71.1	3	L	2-	13		0.00
4/12	vs. Colorado State # (23-1)	RMWLL	72.9	2	L	1-	14		0.00
4/12	vs. Georgia # (14-8)	SWLL	65.6	13	W	9-	6		-0.52
4/12	vs. Southern California # (3-16)	WWLL Central	56.9		W	9-	3		0.00
4/13	vs. Texas A&M # (12-11)	TWLL	61.4	12	L	7-	8		0.00
4/19	vs. Kentucky # (8-5)	WCLL A	54.8		W	12-	2		0.00
4/19	vs. Pittsburgh # (19-3)	WCLL A	67.8	7	L	2-	12		0.00
5/07	vs. Cal Poly SLO # (13-7)	WWLL North I	71.4	4	L	5-	16		0.00
5/08	vs. Georgia # (14-8)	SWLL	65.6	13	L	9-	14		0.00
5/09	vs. UCLA # (13-10)	WWLL Central	66.5	9	L	10-	16		0.00
5/09	vs. Texas A&M # (12-11)	TWLL	61.4	12	W	14-	10		-0.56
# Neutral site			62.6						-1.88

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/15	N	Pittsburgh	4-	2	2	-3	++	0.00	5.04
2/16	A	Arizona State	13-	6	7	3	+	2.33	3.52
2/16	N	Minnesota	12-	4	8	4	++	0.00	4.45
2/17	A	Arizona State	11-	7	4	3		2.33	0.52
3/07	N	Minnesota-Duluth	14-	4	10	2	+++	0.00	8.22
3/15	H	Central Michigan	16-	2	14	13		-2.33	0.70
3/15	H	Toledo	16-	2	14	14		-2.33	0.43
3/29	H	Michigan	10-	11	-1	-3		-2.33	1.81
4/05	A	Western Michigan	21-	4	17	11	++	2.33	5.89
4/11	N	Colorado	2-	13	-11	-6	––	0.00	-4.62
4/12	N	Colorado State	1-	14	-13	-8	––	0.00	-4.89
4/12	N	Georgia	9-	6	3	-1	++	0.00	4.25
4/12	N	Southern California	9-	3	6	8		0.00	-1.65
4/13	N	Texas A&M	7-	8	-1	4	––	0.00	-4.93
4/19	N	Kentucky	12-	2	10	10		0.00	0.18
4/19	N	Pittsburgh	2-	12	-10	-3	–––	0.00	-6.96
5/07	N	Cal Poly SLO	5-	16	-11	-7	––	0.00	-4.10
5/08	N	Georgia	9-	14	-5	-1	–	0.00	-3.75
5/09	N	UCLA	10-	16	-6	-2	––	0.00	-4.19
5/09	N	Texas A&M	14-	10	4	4		0.00	0.07
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/07	N	Minnesota-Duluth	14-	4	0.00
3/15	H	Central Michigan	16-	2	-0.70
3/15	H	Toledo	16-	2	-0.43
4/05	A	Western Michigan	21-	4	-5.89
4/11	N	Colorado	2-	13	1.00
4/12	N	Colorado State	1-	14	3.00
4/19	N	Kentucky	12-	2	-0.18
4/19	N	Pittsburgh	2-	12	0.00
5/07	N	Cal Poly SLO	5-	16	1.00
10-goal correction: -0.11

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	40.00		Local TSI Rank	11
Local Poll Vote	167.		Local Poll Rank	11
Local Power Rating	64.49		Local Power Rank	16
Local SOS Rating	62.60		Local SOS Rank	14
Local RPI Rating	0.61		Local RPI Rank	22
Local Trend Rating	4.00		Local Trend Rank	159
Local Quality Win Rating	-1.88		Local Quality Win Rank	9
Local Loss Rating	1.60		Local Loss Rank	187
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.1
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.3


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