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St. Mary's (CA) Gaels (2-16)

Conference: MPSF

Region: West/Midwest

State: CA

Coach: Lauren Uhr

UC Davis Downs Saint Mary's in MPSF 5th-Place Game

BERKELEY, Calif. -- Sophomore attacker Olivia Jarem scored three goals while four other Aggies had two each to lead UC Davis to a 13-11 win over Saint Mary's in the fifth-place game of the Mountain Pacific Sports Federation women's lacrosse championship at Cal's Memorial Stadium Thursday. [full story]

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Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score*
2/29	MOUNT SAINT MARY'S (9-9)	Northeast	80.9		L	7-	16
3/02	BOSTON COLLEGE (7-10)	Atlantic Coas	88.9		L	3-	20
3/05	FAIRFIELD (17-2)	Metro Atlanti	86.4		L	5-	15
3/07	vs. Cincinnati # (2-14)	Independent	76.7		L	7-	12
3/09	at Navy (13-4)	Patriot Leagu	82.8		L	6-	18
3/11	TEMPLE (13-7)	Atlantic 10	87.8		L	4-	17
3/13	MONMOUTH (13-5)	Northeast	82.1		L	12-	18
3/15	LONG ISLAND U. (3-13)	Northeast	72.0		L	11-	15
3/17	GEORGE WASHINGTON (5-11)	Atlantic 10	85.9		L	10-	21
3/19	CENTRAL CONNECTICUT (1-13)	Northeast	69.1		W	18-	8
3/20	vs. Lafayette # (2-15)	Patriot Leagu	74.7		W	13-	11
4/02	CALIFORNIA (9-9)	MPSF	87.5		L	2-	15
4/04	at Stanford (12-8)	MPSF	90.3	18	L	3-	20
4/13	at Oregon (13-7)	MPSF	89.5		L	3-	20
4/20	at UC Davis (7-11)	MPSF	79.8		L	13-	14
4/27	DENVER (13-6)	MPSF	90.9	19	L	8-	20
4/30	vs. Stanford # (12-8)	MPSF	90.3	18	L	4-	19
5/01	vs. UC Davis # (7-11)	MPSF	79.8		L	11-	13
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			81.9

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/29	H	Mount Saint Mary's	7-	16	-9	-5	–	-1.38	-3.75
3/02	H	Boston College	3-	20	-17	-13	–	-1.38	-3.81
3/05	H	Fairfield	5-	15	-10	-11		-1.38	0.72
3/07	N	Cincinnati	7-	12	-5	-2	–	0.00	-2.56
3/09	A	Navy	6-	18	-12	-10	–	1.38	-2.13
3/11	H	Temple	4-	17	-13	-12		-1.38	-0.90
3/13	H	Monmouth	12-	18	-6	-6		-1.38	0.43
3/15	H	Long Island U.	11-	15	-4	4	–––	-1.38	-7.66
3/17	H	George Washington	10-	21	-11	-10		-1.38	-0.78
3/19	H	Central Connecticut	18-	8	10	7	+	-1.38	3.47
3/20	N	Lafayette	13-	11	2	0	+	0.00	2.41
4/02	H	California	2-	15	-13	-12		-1.38	-1.16
4/04	A	Stanford	3-	20	-17	-17		1.38	0.41
4/13	A	Oregon	3-	20	-17	-17		1.38	-0.44
4/20	A	UC Davis	13-	14	-1	-7	++	1.38	5.87
4/27	H	Denver	8-	20	-12	-15	+	-1.38	3.18
4/30	N	Stanford	4-	19	-15	-16		0.00	1.03
5/01	N	UC Davis	11-	13	-2	-5	+	0.00	3.49
									-2.16	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/02	H	Boston College	3-	20	3.81
3/05	H	Fairfield	5-	15	-0.72
3/09	A	Navy	6-	18	2.00
3/11	H	Temple	4-	17	0.90
3/17	H	George Washington	10-	21	1.00
3/19	H	Central Connecticut	18-	8	0.00
4/02	H	California	2-	15	1.16
4/04	A	Stanford	3-	20	-0.41
4/13	A	Oregon	3-	20	0.44
4/27	H	Denver	8-	20	-3.18
4/30	N	Stanford	4-	19	-1.03
10-goal correction: 0.22

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	219.00	Local TSI Rank	73
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	74.30	Local Power Rank	78
Local SOS Rating	81.93	Local SOS Rank	58
Local RPI Rating	0.36	Local RPI Rank	75
Local Trend Rating	5.00	Local Trend Rank	84
Local Quality Win Rating	n/a	Local Quality Win Rank	n/a
Local Loss Rating	3.20	Local Loss Rank	85
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-16	Ave Goal diff (all )	-8.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-14.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-9.7