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St. Mary's (MD) Seahawks (15-6)

Conference: CapitalRegion: So. AtlanticState: MDCoach: Carol Schmoeller

#1 Salisbury Flies by #14 St. Mary's in Second Round

SALISBURY, Md.- Two weeks ago, No. 1 Salisbury University and St. Mary's (Md.) College met for the Capital Athletic Conference women's lacrosse championship. The top-ranked Sea Gulls came away with their sixth straight title and the right to serve as a 2008 NCAA Division III regional host. The two teams crossed paths again on Saturday at Sea Gull Stadium in the regional semifinals. The result ended in SU's favor for a third time this season as the maroon and gold took down No. 14 St. Mary's, 22-9, to advance to Sunday's regional final.   [full story]

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score* QWF
2/20YORK (11-6)Capital76.8W16- 8 0.00  
2/24WASHINGTON & LEE (17-3)Old Dominion84.46L7- 8 0.00  
2/27at Washington College (7-8)Centennial75.4W10- 8 0.00  
3/01at Dickinson (12-6)Centennial82.613L9-17 0.00  
3/05HOOD (4-12)Capital58.1W23- 5 0.00  
3/08VIRGINIA WESLEYAN (12-6)Old Dominion76.6W13-12 0.00  
3/12vs. Swarthmore # (6-11)Centennial70.9W21-16 0.00  
3/16COLLEGE OF NEW JERSEY (17-1)Independent88.02L9-13 0.00  
3/20CATHOLIC (DC) (17-5)Landmark81.715W15-14 -0.30  
3/29at Villa Julie (12-5)Capital79.2W13-10 0.00  
4/02at Marymount (8-8)Capital70.9W20-13 0.00  
4/05SALISBURY (22-0)Capital89.91L11-18 0.00  
4/12MARY WASHINGTON (10-8)Capital80.0W19-12 0.00  
4/15at Goucher (6-10)Landmark74.5W18-12 0.00  
4/17at Wesley (5-11)Capital66.5W20- 2 0.00  
4/20WESLEY (5-11)Capital66.5W25- 5 0.00  
4/22MARY WASHINGTON (10-8)Capital80.0W20-10 0.00  
4/25at Salisbury (22-0)Capital89.91L7-18 0.00  
4/29at Randolph-Macon (6-11)Old Dominion75.7W19-13 0.00  
5/07FDU-FLORHAM (16-3)Middle Atlant80.3W16-15 0.00  
5/10at Salisbury (22-0)Capital89.91L9-22 0.00  
* Click the score for the game story.
# Neutral site
 77.8     -0.30  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/20HYork16-88   6       +-1.64       2.27
2/24HWashington & Lee7-8-1   -1       -1.64       -0.13
2/27AWashington College10-82   4       1.64       -1.94
3/01ADickinson9-17-8   -3       ––1.64       -4.90
3/05HHood23-518   24       ––-1.64       -5.87
3/08HVirginia Wesleyan13-121   7       –––-1.64       -6.09
3/12NSwarthmore21-165   10       ––0.00       -5.33
3/16HCollege of New Jersey9-13-4   -6       -1.64       1.72
3/20HCatholic (DC)15-141   1       -1.64       0.33
3/29AVilla Julie13-103   0       +1.64       2.92
4/02AMarymount20-137   8       1.64       -0.64
4/05HSalisbury11-18-7   -7       -1.64       0.38
4/12HMary Washington19-127   3       +-1.64       3.99
4/15AGoucher18-126   5       1.64       1.01
4/17AWesley20-218   14       ++1.64       4.44
4/20HWesley25-520   17       +-1.64       3.16
4/22HMary Washington20-1010   3       +++-1.64       6.99
4/25ASalisbury7-18-11   -11       1.64       -0.35
4/29ARandolph-Macon19-136   4       +1.64       2.04
5/07HFDU-Florham16-151   3       -1.64       -1.66
5/10ASalisbury9-22-13   -11       1.64       -2.35
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/05HHood23-55.87
4/17AWesley20-2-4.44
4/20HWesley25-5-3.16
4/22HMary Washington20-100.00
4/25ASalisbury7-180.35
5/10ASalisbury9-222.35
10-goal correction: 0.05

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating 49.00   Local TSI Rank 16
Local Poll Vote 125.   Local Poll Rank 14
Local Power Rating 81.08   Local Power Rank 21
Local SOS Rating 77.76   Local SOS Rank 23
Local RPI Rating 0.65   Local RPI Rank 10
Local Trend Rating 2.00   Local Trend Rank 63
Local Quality Win Rating -0.30   Local Quality Win Rank 21
Local Loss Rating 1.20   Local Loss Rank 57
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 15-6   Ave Goal diff (all ) 3.3
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -8.8
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -7.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 1-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -6.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -2.0



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