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Towson Tigers (13-6)

Conference: Colonial

Region: Mid-Atlantic

State: MD

Coach: Missy Doherty

#5 Syracuse Runs by #15 Towson in NCAA Opener

SYRACUSE, N.Y. � Returning to the NCAA Tournament for first time in three years, the Tigers got a three-goal effort from Colonial Athletic Association Player of the Year Hillary Fratzke in their first round against Syracuse on Sunday afternoon. However, the fifth-seeded Orange (17-2) used a strong shooting effort to advance to the NCAA quarter-finals with a 21-9 victory over Towson (13-6) at the Carrier Dome. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*			QWF
2/23	MOUNT SAINT MARY'S (9-9)	Northeast	80.9		W	17-	6	0.00
3/01	at Loyola (6-10)	Big East	88.4		W	14-	9	0.00
3/04	at American (8-10)	Patriot Leagu	83.5		W	17-	8	0.00
3/08	GEORGE WASHINGTON (5-11)	Atlantic 10	85.9		W	12-	9	0.00
3/12	at Johns Hopkins (8-9)	Amer. Lac. Co	92.5	20	L	10-	12	0.00
3/15	UMBC (4-12)	America East	84.0		W	19-	12	0.00
3/19	at Syracuse (18-3)	Big East	98.3	4	L	5-	22	0.00
3/22	at Richmond (9-9)	Atlantic 10	87.8		W	17-	12	0.00
3/26	at Maryland (18-3)	Atlantic Coas	97.9	5	L	10-	15	0.00
3/30	DELAWARE (11-6)	Colonial	89.3		W	15-	10	0.00
4/04	HOFSTRA (7-9)	Colonial	88.3		W	13-	12	0.00
4/06	at Drexel (10-7)	Colonial	87.6		W	11-	10	0.00
4/11	GEORGE MASON (12-5)	Colonial	91.6	16	L	10-	13	0.00
4/13	JAMES MADISON (7-9)	Colonial	90.1		W	12-	7	0.00
4/18	at William & Mary (10-9)	Colonial	88.4	20	L	13-	14	0.00
4/20	at Old Dominion (4-9)	Colonial	83.9		W	11-	8	0.00
5/02	vs. George Mason # (12-5)	Colonial	91.6	16	W	8-	7	-0.29
5/04	at William & Mary (10-9)	Colonial	88.4	20	W	16-	7	-0.10
5/11	at Syracuse (18-3)	Big East	98.3	4	L	9-	21	0.00
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			88.3					-0.38

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/23	H	Mount Saint Mary's	17-	6	11	12		-1.38	-0.93
3/01	A	Loyola	14-	9	5	2	+	1.38	3.28
3/04	A	American	17-	8	9	7	+	1.38	2.44
3/08	H	George Washington	12-	9	3	7	–	-1.38	-3.96
3/12	A	Johns Hopkins	10-	12	-2	-2		1.38	0.38
3/15	H	UMBC	19-	12	7	9		-1.38	-1.88
3/19	A	Syracuse	5-	22	-17	-8	–––	1.38	-8.83
3/22	A	Richmond	17-	12	5	2	+	1.38	2.70
3/26	A	Maryland	10-	15	-5	-8	+	1.38	2.80
3/30	H	Delaware	15-	10	5	4		-1.38	1.47
4/04	H	Hofstra	13-	12	1	5	–	-1.38	-3.58
4/06	A	Drexel	11-	10	1	2		1.38	-1.48
4/11	H	George Mason	10-	13	-3	1	––	-1.38	-4.28
4/13	H	James Madison	12-	7	5	3	+	-1.38	2.23
4/18	A	William & Mary	13-	14	-1	2	–	1.38	-2.74
4/20	A	Old Dominion	11-	8	3	6	–	1.38	-3.19
5/02	N	George Mason	8-	7	1	0		0.00	1.10
5/04	A	William & Mary	16-	7	9	2	+++	1.38	7.26
5/11	A	Syracuse	9-	21	-12	-8	–	1.38	-3.83
									-11.04	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/23	H	Mount Saint Mary's	17-	6	0.93
3/19	A	Syracuse	5-	22	7.00
5/11	A	Syracuse	9-	21	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.52

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	46.00	Local TSI Rank	15
Local Poll Vote	108.	Local Poll Rank	15
Local Power Rating	91.48	Local Power Rank	17
Local SOS Rating	88.27	Local SOS Rank	20
Local RPI Rating	0.58	Local RPI Rank	14
Local Trend Rating	2.00	Local Trend Rank	38
Local Quality Win Rating	-0.38	Local Quality Win Rank	27
Local Loss Rating	1.20	Local Loss Rank	23
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-6	Ave Goal diff (all )	1.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-6	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.7


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