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Tufts Jumbos (10-5)

Conference: NESCAC

Region: New England

State: MA

Coach: Carol Rappoli

#18 Colby Outguns #16 Tufts to Make NESCAC Semis

MEDFORD, Mass. -- The fifth-seeded Colby College women's lacrosse team set a New England Small College Athletic Conference Championship record for goals in a game in a 22-14 victory over fourth-seeded Tufts University on Sunday in a league quarterfinal game. Colby will play at top-seeded Middlebury College in a NESCAC semifinal game this Saturday at noon. Amherst College, the second seed, takes on third-seeded Trinity College in the other game at 2:30 p.m. at Middlebury. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*			QWF
3/12	at Wellesley (10-8)	NEWMAC	76.0		W	17-	3	0.00
3/15	at Williams (4-8)	NESCAC	80.4		L	13-	14	0.00
3/18	WHEATON (7-10)	NEWMAC	73.1		W	21-	6	0.00
3/22	at Wesleyan (CT) (7-9)	NESCAC	80.9		W	9-	7	0.00
3/26	at Connecticut College (7-8)	NESCAC	77.7		L	7-	14	0.00
3/29	TRINITY (CT) (11-7)	NESCAC	83.9	10	L	11-	12	0.00
4/03	at Bridgewater State (15-5)	NEWLA	71.4		W	19-	6	0.00
4/05	COLBY (13-6)	NESCAC	85.2	9	W	15-	14	-0.60
4/10	at Endicott (15-5)	Comm. Coast	76.4		W	17-	7	0.00
4/12	at Bowdoin (9-7)	NESCAC	83.0	19	W	11-	7	-0.10
4/17	BABSON (16-3)	NEWMAC	84.3	12	W	14-	9	-0.45
4/19	BATES (7-7)	NESCAC	82.0		W	13-	12	0.00
4/22	at Amherst (15-4)	NESCAC	83.8	11	L	7-	14	0.00
4/26	MIDDLEBURY (12-5)	NESCAC	87.4	7	W	15-	7	-0.70
4/27	COLBY (13-6)	NESCAC	85.2	9	L	14-	22	0.00
* Click the score for the game story.			80.6					-1.85

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/12	A	Wellesley	17-	3	14	7	+++	1.64	7.23
3/15	A	Williams	13-	14	-1	2	–	1.64	-3.08
3/18	H	Wheaton	21-	6	15	13	+	-1.64	2.20
3/22	A	Wesleyan (CT)	9-	7	2	2		1.64	0.26
3/26	A	Connecticut College	7-	14	-7	5	–––	1.64	12.08
3/29	H	Trinity (CT)	11-	12	-1	2	–	-1.64	-2.77
4/03	A	Bridgewater State	19-	6	13	11	+	1.64	2.45
4/05	H	Colby	15-	14	1	1		-1.64	0.35
4/10	A	Endicott	17-	7	10	6	+	1.64	3.76
4/12	A	Bowdoin	11-	7	4	-1	++	1.64	5.26
4/17	H	Babson	14-	9	5	2	+	-1.64	3.03
4/19	H	Bates	13-	12	1	4	–	-1.64	-2.58
4/22	A	Amherst	7-	14	-7	-1	––	1.64	-5.55
4/26	H	Middlebury	15-	7	8	-2	+++	-1.64	10.17
4/27	H	Colby	14-	22	-8	1	–––	-1.64	-8.65
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/12	A	Wellesley	17-	3	-4.00
3/18	H	Wheaton	21-	6	-2.20
4/03	A	Bridgewater State	19-	6	-2.45
4/10	A	Endicott	17-	7	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.58

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	35.00	Local TSI Rank	11
Local Poll Vote	84.	Local Poll Rank	16
Local Power Rating	83.58	Local Power Rank	13
Local SOS Rating	80.64	Local SOS Rank	6
Local RPI Rating	0.62	Local RPI Rank	20
Local Trend Rating	2.00	Local Trend Rank	66
Local Quality Win Rating	-1.85	Local Quality Win Rank	8
Local Loss Rating	1.00	Local Loss Rank	39
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-5	Ave Goal diff (all )	3.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-2	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-3	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.3


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