| Conference: NESCAC | Region: New England | State: MA | Coach: Carol Rappoli |
#18 Colby Outguns #16 Tufts to Make NESCAC Semis
MEDFORD, Mass. -- The fifth-seeded Colby College women's lacrosse team set a New England Small College Athletic Conference Championship record for goals in a game in a 22-14 victory over fourth-seeded Tufts University on Sunday in a league quarterfinal game. Colby will play at top-seeded Middlebury College in a NESCAC semifinal game this Saturday at noon. Amherst College, the second seed, takes on third-seeded Trinity College in the other game at 2:30 p.m. at Middlebury. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/12 | A | Wellesley | 17- | 3 | 14 | 6 | +++ | 1.63 | 8.00 | |
3/15 | A | Williams | 13- | 14 | -1 | 2 | | 1.63 | -2.57 | |
3/18 | H | Wheaton | 21- | 6 | 15 | 12 | + | -1.63 | 2.91 | |
3/22 | A | Wesleyan (CT) | 9- | 7 | 2 | 1 | | 1.63 | 0.92 | |
3/26 | A | Connecticut College | 7- | 14 | -7 | 4 | | 1.63 | -11.26 | |
3/29 | H | Trinity (CT) | 11- | 12 | -1 | 1 | | -1.63 | -2.27 | |
4/03 | A | Bridgewater State | 19- | 6 | 13 | 11 | + | 1.63 | 2.42 | |
4/05 | H | Colby | 15- | 14 | 1 | 0 | | -1.63 | 0.99 | |
4/10 | A | Endicott | 17- | 7 | 10 | 6 | ++ | 1.63 | 4.43 | |
4/12 | A | Bowdoin | 11- | 7 | 4 | -1 | ++ | 1.63 | 5.04 | |
4/17 | H | Babson | 14- | 9 | 5 | 1 | ++ | -1.63 | 4.07 | |
4/19 | H | Bates | 13- | 12 | 1 | 3 | | -1.63 | -2.20 | |
4/22 | A | Amherst | 7- | 14 | -7 | -2 | | 1.63 | -5.23 | |
4/26 | H | Middlebury | 15- | 7 | 8 | -2 | +++ | -1.63 | 10.24 | |
4/27 | H | Colby | 14- | 22 | -8 | 0 | | -1.63 | -8.01 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 7.48 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/12 | A | Wellesley | 17- | 3 | -4.00 |
3/18 | H | Wheaton | 21- | 6 | -2.91 |
4/03 | A | Bridgewater State | 19- | 6 | -2.42 |
4/10 | A | Endicott | 17- | 7 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.62 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 38.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 11 |
| Local Poll Vote | 46. | | Local Poll Rank | 19 |
| Local Power Rating | 83.83 | | Local Power Rank | 13 |
| Local SOS Rating | 80.83 | | Local SOS Rank | 6 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.62 | | Local RPI Rank | 20 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 66 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -1.90 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 6 |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.00 | | Local Loss Rank | 39 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 10-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 2-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -1.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 3-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -0.3 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -2.3 |
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