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Tufts Jumbos (10-5)

Conference: NESCACRegion: New EnglandState: MACoach: Carol Rappoli

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#18 Colby Outguns #16 Tufts to Make NESCAC Semis

MEDFORD, Mass. -- The fifth-seeded Colby College women's lacrosse team set a New England Small College Athletic Conference Championship record for goals in a game in a 22-14 victory over fourth-seeded Tufts University on Sunday in a league quarterfinal game. Colby will play at top-seeded Middlebury College in a NESCAC semifinal game this Saturday at noon. Amherst College, the second seed, takes on third-seeded Trinity College in the other game at 2:30 p.m. at Middlebury.   [full story]  

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore* QWF
3/12at Wellesley (10-8)NEWMAC76.2W17- 3 0.00  
3/15at Williams (4-8)NESCAC80.6L13-14 0.00  
3/18WHEATON (7-10)NEWMAC73.4W21- 6 0.00  
3/22at Wesleyan (CT) (7-9)NESCAC81.1W9- 7 0.00  
3/26at Connecticut College (7-8)NESCAC77.9L7-14 0.00  
3/29TRINITY (CT) (11-7)NESCAC84.212L11-12 0.00  
4/03at Bridgewater State (15-5)NEWLA71.6W19- 6 0.00  
4/05COLBY (13-6)NESCAC85.48W15-14 -0.65  
4/10at Endicott (15-5)Comm. Coast76.6W17- 7 0.00  
4/12at Bowdoin (9-7)NESCAC83.2W11- 7 0.00  
4/17BABSON (16-3)NEWMAC84.511W14- 9 -0.50  
4/19BATES (7-7)NESCAC82.3W13-12 0.00  
4/22at Amherst (15-4)NESCAC84.010L7-14 0.00  
4/26MIDDLEBURY (12-5)NESCAC87.76W15- 7 -0.75  
4/27COLBY (13-6)NESCAC85.48L14-22 0.00  
* Click the score for the game story.
 80.8     -1.90  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/12AWellesley17-314   6       +++1.63       8.00
3/15AWilliams13-14-1   2       1.63       -2.57
3/18HWheaton21-615   12       +-1.63       2.91
3/22AWesleyan (CT)9-72   1       1.63       0.92
3/26AConnecticut College7-14-7   4       –––1.63       -11.26
3/29HTrinity (CT)11-12-1   1       -1.63       -2.27
4/03ABridgewater State19-613   11       +1.63       2.42
4/05HColby15-141   0       -1.63       0.99
4/10AEndicott17-710   6       ++1.63       4.43
4/12ABowdoin11-74   -1       ++1.63       5.04
4/17HBabson14-95   1       ++-1.63       4.07
4/19HBates13-121   3       -1.63       -2.20
4/22AAmherst7-14-7   -2       ––1.63       -5.23
4/26HMiddlebury15-78   -2       +++-1.63       10.24
4/27HColby14-22-8   0       –––-1.63       -8.01
         7.480.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/12AWellesley17-3-4.00
3/18HWheaton21-6-2.91
4/03ABridgewater State19-6-2.42
4/10AEndicott17-70.00
10-goal correction: -0.62

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating 38.00   Local TSI Rank 11
Local Poll Vote 46.   Local Poll Rank 19
Local Power Rating 83.83   Local Power Rank 13
Local SOS Rating 80.83   Local SOS Rank 6
Local RPI Rating 0.62   Local RPI Rank 20
Local Trend Rating 2.00   Local Trend Rank 66
Local Quality Win Rating -1.90   Local Quality Win Rank 6
Local Loss Rating 1.00   Local Loss Rank 39
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 10-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 3.3
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 2-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -1.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 3-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -0.3
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -2.3



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