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TSI Poll Computer Rating  RPI  Strength of Schedule Quality Wins Losses Trend

NCAA Selection Criteria Conf. Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy


North Carolina Tar Heels (13-6)

Conference: Atlantic CoastRegion: SouthState: NCCoach: Jenny Levy

#11 Tar Heels Upset #3 Virginia in NCAA First Round

CHARLOTTESVILLE, Va. – The Virginia women's lacrosse team struggled to fight off a pesky North Carolina team Sunday afternoon in Klöckner Stadium, falling 11-7 to the Tar Heels in the first round of the NCAA Tournament.   [full story]

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score* QWF
2/15LOYOLA (6-10)Big East88.9W13- 9 0.00  
2/17DENVER (13-6)MPSF91.319W15- 9 -0.10  
2/23ALBANY (8-9)America East85.6W18- 6 0.00  
2/28BROWN (6-10)Ivy League87.2W12- 8 0.00  
3/01PENN (15-1)Ivy League95.41L7- 8 0.00  
3/08VANDERBILT (13-6)Amer. Lac. Co93.59W12- 5 -0.60  
3/11at Oregon (13-7)MPSF89.9W14- 9 0.00  
3/16at Virginia (14-4)Atlantic Coas97.63L5-16 0.00  
3/22DUKE (12-7)Atlantic Coas95.912W16-14 -0.45  
3/26VIRGINIA TECH (4-14)Atlantic Coas87.5W16- 6 0.00  
3/29at Boston College (7-10)Atlantic Coas89.3L4- 52ot0.00  
4/04OHIO STATE (10-8)Amer. Lac. Co89.4W22-12 0.00  
4/06PENN STATE (5-12)Amer. Lac. Co91.8W14- 9 0.00  
4/12MARYLAND (18-2)Atlantic Coas98.63L8-10 0.00  
4/16at Old Dominion (4-9)Colonial84.4W19- 7 0.00  
4/20at Northwestern (18-1)Amer. Lac. Co99.91L3-16 0.00  
4/24vs. Boston College # (7-10)Atlantic Coas89.3W12- 8 0.00  
4/25vs. Maryland # (18-2)Atlantic Coas98.63L4- 6 0.00  
5/11at Virginia (14-4)Atlantic Coas97.63W11- 7 -0.90  
5/17at Syracuse (17-2)Big East99.55-    
* Click the score for the game story.
# Neutral site		 91.4     -2.05  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/15HLoyola13-94   8       –-1.36       -3.64
2/17HDenver15-96   5       -1.36       0.91
2/23HAlbany18-612   11       -1.36       1.28
2/28HBrown12-84   9       ––-1.36       -5.36
3/01HPenn7-8-1   1       -1.36       -1.75
3/08HVanderbilt12-57   3       ++-1.36       4.10
3/11AOregon14-95   3       1.36       1.51
3/16AVirginia5-16-11   -4       –––1.36       -6.82
3/22HDuke16-142   0       +-1.36       2.09
3/26HVirginia Tech16-610   9       -1.36       0.88
3/29ABoston College4-5-1   4       ––1.36       -5.07
4/04HOhio State22-1210   7       +-1.36       3.01
4/06HPenn State14-95   4       -1.36       0.81
4/12HMaryland8-10-2   -3       -1.36       1.24
4/16AOld Dominion19-712   9       +1.36       2.76
4/20ANorthwestern3-16-13   -8       ––1.36       -5.28
4/24NBoston College12-84   5       0.00       -1.43
4/25NMaryland4-6-2   -5       +0.00       2.60
5/11AVirginia11-74   -4       +++1.36       8.18
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
2/23HAlbany18-6-1.28
3/16AVirginia5-161.00
3/26HVirginia Tech16-60.00
4/04HOhio State22-120.00
4/16AOld Dominion19-7-2.00
4/20ANorthwestern3-163.00
10-goal correction: 0.04

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating 13.00   Local TSI Rank 8
Local Poll Vote 196.   Local Poll Rank 11
Local Power Rating 94.93   Local Power Rank 9
Local SOS Rating 91.39   Local SOS Rank 4
Local RPI Rating 0.62   Local RPI Rank 9
Local Trend Rating 2.00   Local Trend Rank 30
Local Quality Win Rating -2.05   Local Quality Win Rank 11
Local Loss Rating 1.20   Local Loss Rank 21
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 13-6   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.9
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-5   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -4.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 2-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -2.6
Wins/Losses (top 20) 4-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -1.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 2.0

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