| Conference: Liberty League | Region: New York | State: NY | Coach: Jessica Critchlow |
#2 C. of New Jersey Scores at 0:03 to Edge #8 Union
Ewing NJ -- Senior Karen Doane (Bridgewater, NJ/Bridgewater-Raritan) scored with 3.4 seconds left on a free-position shot to send The College of New Jersey to the NCAA Division III Women's Lacrosse Semifinals as the Lions edged Union College (NY) 9-8 on Sunday at TCNJ's Soccer Complex. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/02 | H | Cortland | 9- | 8 | 1 | 6 | | -1.63 | -4.74 | |
3/23 | N | Williams | 16- | 7 | 9 | 6 | + | 0.00 | 2.96 | |
3/25 | N | Colby | 17- | 5 | 12 | 1 | +++ | 0.00 | 10.77 | |
3/28 | H | Clarkson | 18- | 6 | 12 | 19 | | -1.63 | -7.41 | |
3/29 | H | St. Lawrence | 17- | 7 | 10 | 13 | | -1.63 | -2.69 | |
4/04 | H | Vassar | 19- | 3 | 16 | 11 | ++ | -1.63 | 4.92 | |
4/05 | H | Rensselaer | 19- | 5 | 14 | 12 | | -1.63 | 1.67 | |
4/11 | A | Rochester | 17- | 7 | 10 | 10 | | 1.63 | 0.46 | |
4/12 | A | Hamilton | 7- | 10 | -3 | -4 | | 1.63 | 1.10 | |
4/16 | A | Middlebury | 10- | 16 | -6 | -3 | | 1.63 | -3.36 | |
4/18 | A | Skidmore | 21- | 10 | 11 | 14 | | 1.63 | -3.12 | |
4/20 | H | St. John Fisher | 19- | 15 | 4 | 9 | | -1.63 | -4.59 | |
4/22 | A | Nazareth | 8- | 3 | 5 | 7 | | 1.63 | -2.02 | |
4/25 | A | William Smith | 15- | 8 | 7 | 5 | + | 1.63 | 2.13 | |
5/02 | N | William Smith | 10- | 5 | 5 | 6 | | 0.00 | -1.49 | |
5/03 | A | Hamilton | 10- | 11 | -1 | -4 | + | 1.63 | 3.10 | |
5/07 | H | Eastern | 15- | 4 | 11 | 13 | | -1.63 | -2.32 | |
5/10 | N | Cortland | 13- | 12 | 1 | 4 | | 0.00 | -3.11 | |
5/11 | A | College of New Jersey | 8- | 9 | -1 | -3 | + | 1.63 | 2.06 | |
| | | | | | | | | | -5.68 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/25 | N | Colby | 17- | 5 | -2.00 |
3/28 | H | Clarkson | 18- | 6 | 7.41 |
3/29 | H | St. Lawrence | 17- | 7 | 2.69 |
4/04 | H | Vassar | 19- | 3 | -4.92 |
4/05 | H | Rensselaer | 19- | 5 | -1.67 |
4/11 | A | Rochester | 17- | 7 | -0.46 |
4/18 | A | Skidmore | 21- | 10 | 3.12 |
5/07 | H | Eastern | 15- | 4 | 2.32 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.34 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 7.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 6 |
| Local Poll Vote | 298. | | Local Poll Rank | 5 |
| Local Power Rating | 86.68 | | Local Power Rank | 6 |
| Local SOS Rating | 79.91 | | Local SOS Rank | 11 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.68 | | Local RPI Rank | 5 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 67 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -1.75 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 8 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.80 | | Local Loss Rank | 21 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 15-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 6.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -1.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 0.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 5-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 1.7 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 3.7 |
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