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Conf. Standings

Union Dutchwomen (15-4)

Conference: Liberty League

Region: New York

State: NY

Coach: Jessica Critchlow

#2 C. of New Jersey Scores at 0:03 to Edge #8 Union

Ewing NJ -- Senior Karen Doane (Bridgewater, NJ/Bridgewater-Raritan) scored with 3.4 seconds left on a free-position shot to send The College of New Jersey to the NCAA Division III Women's Lacrosse Semifinals as the Lions edged Union College (NY) 9-8 on Sunday at TCNJ's Soccer Complex. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*				QWF
3/02	CORTLAND (14-6)	SUNYAC	82.3	18	W	9-	8		-0.15
3/23	vs. Williams # (4-8)	NESCAC	80.4		W	16-	7		0.00
3/25	vs. Colby # (13-6)	NESCAC	85.2	9	W	17-	5		-0.60
3/28	CLARKSON (2-12)	Liberty Leagu	68.6		W	18-	6		0.00
3/29	ST. LAWRENCE (11-5)	Liberty Leagu	75.3		W	17-	7		0.00
4/04	VASSAR (10-5)	Liberty Leagu	76.9		W	19-	3		0.00
4/05	RENSSELAER (7-7)	Liberty Leagu	75.6		W	19-	5		0.00
4/11	at Rochester (5-9)	Liberty Leagu	75.2		W	17-	7		0.00
4/12	at Hamilton (19-1)	Liberty Leagu	88.1	4	L	7-	10		0.00
4/16	at Middlebury (12-5)	NESCAC	87.4	7	L	10-	16		0.00
4/18	at Skidmore (3-14)	Liberty Leagu	70.6		W	21-	10		0.00
4/20	ST. JOHN FISHER (11-8)	Empire Eight	79.4		W	19-	15		0.00
4/22	at Nazareth (10-5)	Empire Eight	77.7		W	8-	3		0.00
4/25	at William Smith (13-4)	Liberty Leagu	79.8	17	W	15-	8		-0.20
5/02	vs. William Smith # (13-4)	Liberty Leagu	79.8	17	W	10-	5		-0.20
5/03	at Hamilton (19-1)	Liberty Leagu	88.1	4	L	10-	11		0.00
5/07	EASTERN (14-5)	Penn. (PAC)	74.8		W	15-	4		0.00
5/10	vs. Cortland # (14-6)	SUNYAC	82.3	18	W	13-	12		-0.15
5/11	at College of New Jersey (17-1)	Independent	88.0	2	L	8-	9		0.00
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			79.6						-1.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/02	H	Cortland	9-	8	1	5	––	-1.64	-4.39
3/23	N	Williams	16-	7	9	6	+	0.00	3.44
3/25	N	Colby	17-	5	12	1	+++	0.00	11.15
3/28	H	Clarkson	18-	6	12	19	–––	-1.64	-6.80
3/29	H	St. Lawrence	17-	7	10	13	–	-1.64	-2.53
4/04	H	Vassar	19-	3	16	12	++	-1.64	4.45
4/05	H	Rensselaer	19-	5	14	12		-1.64	1.75
4/11	A	Rochester	17-	7	10	9		1.64	1.04
4/12	A	Hamilton	7-	10	-3	-4		1.64	0.76
4/16	A	Middlebury	10-	16	-6	-4	–	1.64	-2.39
4/18	A	Skidmore	21-	10	11	14	–	1.64	-2.55
4/20	H	St. John Fisher	19-	15	4	8	––	-1.64	-4.27
4/22	A	Nazareth	8-	3	5	7		1.64	-1.99
4/25	A	William Smith	15-	8	7	4	+	1.64	2.59
5/02	N	William Smith	10-	5	5	6		0.00	-1.05
5/03	A	Hamilton	10-	11	-1	-4	+	1.64	2.76
5/07	H	Eastern	15-	4	11	13	–	-1.64	-2.27
5/10	N	Cortland	13-	12	1	4	–	0.00	-2.75
5/11	A	College of New Jersey	8-	9	-1	-4	+	1.64	3.03
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/25	N	Colby	17-	5	-2.00
3/28	H	Clarkson	18-	6	6.80
3/29	H	St. Lawrence	17-	7	2.53
4/04	H	Vassar	19-	3	-4.45
4/05	H	Rensselaer	19-	5	-1.75
4/11	A	Rochester	17-	7	0.00
4/18	A	Skidmore	21-	10	2.55
5/07	H	Eastern	15-	4	2.27
10-goal correction: 0.31

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	9.00		Local TSI Rank	6
Local Poll Vote	239.		Local Poll Rank	8
Local Power Rating	86.31		Local Power Rank	6
Local SOS Rating	79.61		Local SOS Rank	10
Local RPI Rating	0.68		Local RPI Rank	5
Local Trend Rating	2.00		Local Trend Rank	67
Local Quality Win Rating	-1.30		Local Quality Win Rank	12
Local Loss Rating	0.80		Local Loss Rank	21
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-1.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.7


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