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Oregon Ducks (13-7)

Conference: MPSFRegion: West/MidwestState: ORCoach: Jen Larsen

Cal Edged by Oregon in MPSF Third-Place Game

BERKELEY, Calif. - California held an 8-7 lead over Oregon in the 46th minute of their MPSF Championship third-place game on an overcast Friday afternoon at Memorial Stadium, but the fourth-seeded Ducks scored the game's last two goals to claim victory over the second-seeded host. The Golden Bears, who are not expected to receive an at-large bid to the 16-team NCAA Tournament, likely ended their season with a 9-9 record. Oregon, which is also not a strong contender to receive an at-large NCAA Tournament berth, likely ended its year with a 13-7 record.   [full story]

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score* QWF
2/08at Stanford (12-8)MPSF90.818L7- 8 0.00  
2/10at UC Davis (7-11)MPSF80.3W15- 5 0.00  
2/22at Virginia Tech (4-14)Atlantic Coas87.5W14-13 0.00  
2/24at Richmond (9-9)Atlantic 1088.3W17- 5 0.00  
3/01LE MOYNE (12-5)Independent85.2W15- 7 0.00  
3/06vs. Notre Dame # (12-7)Big East93.810W14-13 -0.55  
3/08vs. Temple # (13-7)Atlantic 1088.2W10- 9 0.00  
3/11NORTH CAROLINA (13-6)Atlantic Coas94.911L9-14 0.00  
3/16COLUMBIA (5-10)Ivy League84.6W17-10 0.00  
3/22vs. Johns Hopkins # (8-9)Amer. Lac. Co92.920L9-10 0.00  
3/26at St. Bonaventure (4-10)Atlantic 1084.9W11-10ot0.00  
3/30at Colgate (11-10)Patriot Leagu85.7W11- 9 0.00  
4/05DENVER (13-6)MPSF91.319L12-13 0.00  
4/12CALIFORNIA (9-9)MPSF88.0L8-12 0.00  
4/13ST. MARY'S (CA) (2-16)MPSF74.8W20- 3 0.00  
4/18at Vermont (8-9)America East87.7W12-11ot0.00  
4/20at New Hampshire (13-6)America East92.313L12-132ot0.00  
4/30vs. UC Davis # (7-11)MPSF80.3W14- 9 0.00  
5/01vs. Denver # (13-6)MPSF91.319L12-18 0.00  
5/02at California (9-9)MPSF88.0W9- 8 0.00  
* Click the score for the game story.
# Neutral site
 86.1     -0.55  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/08AStanford7-8-1   -2       1.36       1.03
2/10AUC Davis15-510   8       1.36       1.61
2/22AVirginia Tech14-131   2       1.36       -0.55
2/24ARichmond17-512   0       +++1.36       11.64
3/01HLe Moyne15-78   6       -1.36       1.64
3/06NNotre Dame14-131   -4       ++0.00       4.64
3/08NTemple10-91   2       0.00       -0.85
3/11HNorth Carolina9-14-5   -3       -1.36       -1.51
3/16HColumbia17-107   7       -1.36       -0.20
3/22NJohns Hopkins9-10-1   -3       0.00       1.77
3/26ASt. Bonaventure11-101   4       1.36       -2.81
3/30AColgate11-92   3       1.36       -1.31
4/05HDenver12-13-1   0       -1.36       -1.24
4/12HCalifornia8-12-4   3       –––-1.36       -7.33
4/13HSt. Mary's (CA)20-317   17       -1.36       0.22
4/18AVermont12-111   1       1.36       -0.30
4/20ANew Hampshire12-13-1   -4       +1.36       2.78
4/30NUC Davis14-95   10       ––0.00       -4.76
5/01NDenver12-18-6   -1       ––0.00       -4.88
5/02ACalifornia9-81   1       1.36       0.39
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
2/10AUC Davis15-50.00
2/24ARichmond17-5-2.00
4/13HSt. Mary's (CA)20-3-0.22
10-goal correction: -0.11

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating 91.00   Local TSI Rank 29
Local Poll Vote n/a   Local Poll Rank n/a
Local Power Rating 89.93   Local Power Rank 24
Local SOS Rating 86.08   Local SOS Rank 41
Local RPI Rating 0.55   Local RPI Rank 24
Local Trend Rating 2.00   Local Trend Rank 32
Local Quality Win Rating -0.55   Local Quality Win Rank 21
Local Loss Rating 1.40   Local Loss Rank 33
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 13-7   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-0   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 1.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 1-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -2.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 0.0



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