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2009
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2005

Ursinus Bears (8-9)

Conference: Centennial

Region: Metro

State: PA

Coach: Erin Stroble

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

No. 13 Red Devils Barely Survive Bear Attack

COLLEGEVILLE, Pa. – Needing a win to get into the Centennial Conference, the Ursinus College Women's Lacrosse team didn't go down without a fight on Saturday, rallying from eight goals down at the half, before falling to Dickinson 14-13 Saturday afternoon. [full story]

[ more stories ]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score*
3/05	at Lycoming (9-8)	Middle Atlant	76.7		W	15-	14	ot
3/10	at Claremont-Mudd-Scripps (13-3)	Independent	78.3		L	9-	11
3/13	at Redlands (9-6)	Independent	72.1		W	12-	5
3/20	DREW (10-8)	Landmark	76.6		L	6-	7
3/22	at Muhlenberg (11-5)	Centennial	79.1		L	8-	13
3/25	ROWAN (13-5)	Independent	79.6	17	L	11-	12
3/27	at College of New Jersey (17-2)	Independent	88.1	4	L	0-	15
3/29	MCDANIEL (10-7)	Centennial	79.3		W	11-	10
4/01	at Salisbury (22-1)	Capital	89.9	3	L	8-	20
4/03	at Bryn Mawr (4-11)	Centennial	66.9		W	15-	6
4/05	FRANKLIN & MARSHALL (19-2)	Centennial	88.9	2	L	3-	19
4/08	HAVERFORD (5-11)	Centennial	70.4		W	12-	8
4/10	at Cabrini (13-6)	Penn. (PAC)	74.0		W	16-	12
4/12	at Gettysburg (17-4)	Centennial	86.3	7	L	6-	13
4/15	at Washington College (7-8)	Centennial	75.5		W	16-	8
4/17	SWARTHMORE (6-11)	Centennial	71.1		W	14-	5
4/19	DICKINSON (12-6)	Centennial	82.7	16	L	13-	14
* Click the score for the game story.			78.4

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/05	A	Lycoming	15-	14	1	0		1.63	0.99
3/10	A	Claremont-Mudd-Scripps	9-	11	-2	-2		1.63	-0.34
3/13	A	Redlands	12-	5	7	5	+	1.63	2.46
3/20	H	Drew	6-	7	-1	3	––	-1.63	-4.32
3/22	A	Muhlenberg	8-	13	-5	-2	–	1.63	-2.55
3/25	H	Rowan	11-	12	-1	0		-1.63	-1.31
3/27	A	College of New Jersey	0-	15	-15	-11	–	1.63	-3.58
3/29	H	McDaniel	11-	10	1	1		-1.63	0.40
4/01	A	Salisbury	8-	20	-12	-13		1.63	1.21
4/03	A	Bryn Mawr	15-	6	9	10		1.63	-0.80
4/05	H	Franklin & Marshall	3-	19	-16	-9	–––	-1.63	-7.04
4/08	H	Haverford	12-	8	4	10	––	-1.63	-5.54
4/10	A	Cabrini	16-	12	4	3		1.63	1.29
4/12	A	Gettysburg	6-	13	-7	-10	+	1.63	2.63
4/15	A	Washington College	16-	8	8	1	+++	1.63	6.83
4/17	H	Swarthmore	14-	5	9	9		-1.63	0.13
4/19	H	Dickinson	13-	14	-1	-3		-1.63	1.79
									-7.77	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	A	College of New Jersey	0-	15	3.58
4/01	A	Salisbury	8-	20	-1.21
4/05	H	Franklin & Marshall	3-	19	6.00
10-goal correction: 0.49

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	86.00	Local TSI Rank	26
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	78.32	Local Power Rank	37
Local SOS Rating	78.42	Local SOS Rank	17
Local RPI Rating	0.59	Local RPI Rank	29
Local Trend Rating	2.00	Local Trend Rank	69
Local Quality Win Rating	n/a	Local Quality Win Rank	n/a
Local Loss Rating	1.80	Local Loss Rank	124
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-9	Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-14.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-6	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.3