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TSI Poll Computer Rating  RPI  Strength of Schedule Quality Wins Losses Trend

NCAA Selection Criteria Conf. Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy


Virginia Cavaliers (14-4)

Conference: Atlantic CoastRegion: SouthState: VACoach: Julie Myers

#11 Tar Heels Upset #3 Virginia in NCAA First Round

CHARLOTTESVILLE, Va. – The Virginia women's lacrosse team struggled to fight off a pesky North Carolina team Sunday afternoon in Klöckner Stadium, falling 11-7 to the Tar Heels in the first round of the NCAA Tournament.   [full story]

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score* QWF
2/20at Virginia Tech (4-14)Atlantic Coas87.0W14- 6 0.00  
2/27at Richmond (9-9)Atlantic 1087.8W16- 7 0.00  
3/01SYRACUSE (18-3)Big East98.34W13- 8 -0.86  
3/04at Maryland (18-3)Atlantic Coas97.95L5- 8 0.00  
3/07at Penn State (5-12)Amer. Lac. Co91.4W13- 7 0.00  
3/12at William & Mary (10-9)Colonial88.420W14-11 -0.10  
3/16NORTH CAROLINA (13-7)Atlantic Coas94.79W16- 5 -0.62  
3/22at Princeton (13-5)Ivy League94.98L7- 8 0.00  
3/26JAMES MADISON (7-9)Colonial90.1W11- 9 0.00  
3/29at Duke (13-8)Atlantic Coas95.83W13- 9 -0.90  
4/02OLD DOMINION (4-9)Colonial83.9W15- 3 0.00  
4/05BOSTON COLLEGE (7-10)Atlantic Coas88.9W12- 4 0.00  
4/09at Georgetown (12-7)Big East93.610L7- 8 0.00  
4/13JOHNS HOPKINS (8-9)Amer. Lac. Co92.520W17- 6 -0.10  
4/16GEORGE MASON (12-5)Colonial91.616W16- 3 -0.29  
4/25DUKE (13-8)Atlantic Coas95.83W10- 9 -0.90  
4/27MARYLAND (18-3)Atlantic Coas97.95W10- 9ot-0.81  
5/11NORTH CAROLINA (13-7)Atlantic Coas94.79L7-11 0.00  
* Click the score for the game story.
 91.5     -4.57  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/20AVirginia Tech14-68   9       1.38       -0.68
2/27ARichmond16-79   8       1.38       1.07
3/01HSyracuse13-85   0       ++-1.38       4.79
3/04AMaryland5-8-3   -2       1.38       -0.82
3/07APenn State13-76   4       1.38       1.70
3/12AWilliam & Mary14-113   7       ––1.38       -4.37
3/16HNorth Carolina16-511   4       +++-1.38       7.21
3/22APrinceton7-8-1   1       1.38       -1.80
3/26HJames Madison11-92   8       –––-1.38       -6.39
3/29ADuke13-94   0       ++1.38       4.03
4/02HOld Dominion15-312   15       –-1.38       -2.57
4/05HBoston College12-48   10       -1.38       -1.61
4/09AGeorgetown7-8-1   2       –1.38       -3.13
4/13HJohns Hopkins17-611   6       ++-1.38       4.99
4/16HGeorge Mason16-313   7       +++-1.38       6.10
4/25HDuke10-91   3       -1.38       -1.73
4/27HMaryland10-91   1       -1.38       0.42
5/11HNorth Carolina7-11-4   4       –––-1.38       -7.79
         -0.590.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/16HNorth Carolina16-5-1.00
4/02HOld Dominion15-32.57
4/13HJohns Hopkins17-6-1.00
4/16HGeorge Mason16-3-3.00
10-goal correction: -0.13

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating -6.00   Local TSI Rank 2
Local Poll Vote 280.   Local Poll Rank 6
Local Power Rating 97.10   Local Power Rank 4
Local SOS Rating 91.54   Local SOS Rank 2
Local RPI Rating 0.64   Local RPI Rank 6
Local Trend Rating 1.00   Local Trend Rank 15
Local Quality Win Rating -4.57   Local Quality Win Rank 3
Local Loss Rating 0.80   Local Loss Rank 10
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 14-4   Ave Goal diff (all ) 4.7
Wins/Losses (top 5) 4-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 1.6
Wins/Losses (top 10) 5-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 1.4
Wins/Losses (top 20) 8-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 3.3
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -0.7

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