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Virginia Wesleyan Marlins (12-6)

Conference: Old Dominion

Region: So. Atlantic

State: VA

Coach: Fran Amasia

Roanoke Beats VWC, Weather to Advance in ODACs

Lexington, Va. --- The women's lacrosse team weathered the storm, literally and four delays to defeat Virginia Wesleyan, 15-11 in the ODAC Semifinals at Washington & Lee University. The game itself took over six hours to complete. The Maroons, who improved to 10-7 on the season, have now won six of the last seven games and are riding high heading into the rematch of the ODAC championship game last season. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*
2/27	SALISBURY (22-1)	Capital	89.9	3	L	8-	17
3/01	at Sweet Briar (5-7)	Old Dominion	66.2		W	15-	7
3/08	at St. Mary's (MD) (15-6)	Capital	81.2	14	L	12-	13
3/09	BRIDGEWATER (5-10)	Old Dominion	65.7		W	15-	5
3/11	EMERSON (13-4)	Great Northea	63.8		W	16-	4
3/15	at Redlands (9-6)	Independent	72.1		W	16-	9
3/18	vs. Stevens # (14-6)	Empire Eight	81.6		L	7-	18
3/21	at Lynchburg (8-9)	Old Dominion	70.0		W	15-	10
3/26	CHRISTOPHER NEWPORT (13-6)	USA South Atl	77.8		W	9-	6
3/29	at Guilford (9-7)	Old Dominion	74.0		W	15-	12
3/30	at Greensboro (5-12)	USA South Atl	67.4		W	17-	9
4/05	HOLLINS (1-10)	Old Dominion	54.2		W	20-	1
4/09	at Randolph-Macon (6-11)	Old Dominion	75.9		W	14-	11
4/12	ROANOKE (10-8)	Old Dominion	77.4		L	10-	15
4/13	SHENANDOAH (1-11)	USA South Atl	54.1		W	18-	3
4/18	WASHINGTON & LEE (17-3)	Old Dominion	84.5	9	L	6-	18
4/23	LYNCHBURG (8-9)	Old Dominion	70.0		W	21-	11
4/26	vs. Roanoke # (10-8)	Old Dominion	77.4		L	11-	15
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			72.4

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/27	H	Salisbury	8-	17	-9	-13	+	-1.63	3.72
3/01	A	Sweet Briar	15-	7	8	8		1.63	-0.08
3/08	A	St. Mary's (MD)	12-	13	-1	-7	+++	1.63	6.04
3/09	H	Bridgewater	15-	5	10	12		-1.63	-1.63
3/11	H	Emerson	16-	4	12	13		-1.63	-0.90
3/15	A	Redlands	16-	9	7	2	++	1.63	5.07
3/18	N	Stevens	7-	18	-11	-6	––	0.00	-4.98
3/21	A	Lynchburg	15-	10	5	4		1.63	1.25
3/26	H	Christopher Newport	9-	6	3	0	+	-1.63	3.02
3/29	A	Guilford	15-	12	3	0	+	1.63	3.00
3/30	A	Greensboro	17-	9	8	7		1.63	1.13
4/05	H	Hollins	20-	1	19	22	–	-1.63	-3.13
4/09	A	Randolph-Macon	14-	11	3	-1	++	1.63	4.47
4/12	H	Roanoke	10-	15	-5	-1	–	-1.63	-3.92
4/13	H	Shenandoah	18-	3	15	24	–––	-1.63	-9.09
4/18	H	Washington & Lee	6-	18	-12	-6	––	-1.63	-5.68
4/23	H	Lynchburg	21-	11	10	7	+	-1.63	3.00
4/26	N	Roanoke	11-	15	-4	-3		0.00	-1.29
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/09	H	Bridgewater	15-	5	1.63
3/11	H	Emerson	16-	4	0.90
3/18	N	Stevens	7-	18	1.00
4/05	H	Hollins	20-	1	3.13
4/13	H	Shenandoah	18-	3	9.09
4/18	H	Washington & Lee	6-	18	2.00
4/23	H	Lynchburg	21-	11	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.99

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	157.00	Local TSI Rank	50
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	76.74	Local Power Rank	45
Local SOS Rating	72.35	Local SOS Rank	68
Local RPI Rating	0.56	Local RPI Rank	40
Local Trend Rating	3.00	Local Trend Rank	115
Local Quality Win Rating	n/a	Local Quality Win Rank	n/a
Local Loss Rating	1.20	Local Loss Rank	59
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-6	Ave Goal diff (all )	3.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.0


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