| Conference: Atlantic Coast | Region: South | State: VA | Coach: Katrina Silva |
#11 Duke Advances in ACC Tourney over Virginia Tech
CHARLOTTESVILLE, Va. -- No. 11 Duke (10-6) showed up for the ACC Tournament in a big way on Thursday afternoon, securing a 19-6 win over Virginia Tech in the first round at Scott Stadium. The Blue Devils were paced by four goals from junior attacker Carolyn Davis and saw all 28 available players earn time on the field. The 19 goals scored tied the second-most ever scored in an ACC Tournament contest. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
2/16 | H | Drexel | 10- | 13 | -3 | 1 | | -1.38 | -3.80 | |
2/20 | H | Virginia | 6- | 14 | -8 | -9 | | -1.38 | 0.68 | |
2/22 | H | Oregon | 13- | 14 | -1 | -1 | | -1.38 | 0.05 | |
2/27 | H | William & Mary | 11- | 7 | 4 | 0 | + | -1.38 | 3.93 | |
3/01 | A | George Mason | 5- | 11 | -6 | -6 | | 1.38 | -0.09 | |
3/04 | A | Vanderbilt | 8- | 12 | -4 | -7 | + | 1.38 | 3.40 | |
3/08 | H | Richmond | 16- | 15 | 1 | 1 | | -1.38 | 0.37 | |
3/12 | A | James Madison | 8- | 12 | -4 | -4 | | 1.38 | 0.42 | |
3/15 | A | Boston College | 9- | 10 | -1 | -3 | + | 1.38 | 2.21 | |
3/21 | H | Louisville | 9- | 10 | -1 | 4 | | -1.38 | -4.82 | |
3/23 | H | Delaware | 7- | 8 | -1 | -1 | | -1.38 | -0.10 | |
3/26 | A | North Carolina | 6- | 16 | -10 | -9 | | 1.38 | -0.98 | |
3/30 | H | Ohio State | 9- | 12 | -3 | -1 | | -1.38 | -2.46 | |
4/05 | H | American | 14- | 11 | 3 | 5 | | -1.38 | -1.89 | |
4/09 | A | Longwood | 22- | 12 | 10 | 7 | + | 1.38 | 3.02 | |
4/14 | H | Duke | 11- | 18 | -7 | -7 | | -1.38 | 0.33 | |
4/19 | A | Maryland | 3- | 20 | -17 | -12 | | 1.38 | -4.76 | |
4/24 | N | Duke | 6- | 19 | -13 | -9 | | 0.00 | -4.29 | |
| | | | | | | | | | -8.78 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/26 | A | North Carolina | 6- | 16 | 0.00 |
4/09 | A | Longwood | 22- | 12 | 0.00 |
4/19 | A | Maryland | 3- | 20 | 4.76 |
4/24 | N | Duke | 6- | 19 | 3.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.43 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 108.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 33 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 87.05 | | Local Power Rank | 38 |
| Local SOS Rating | 89.18 | | Local SOS Rank | 15 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.48 | | Local RPI Rank | 50 |
| Local Trend Rating | 3.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 64 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -0.10 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 36 |
| Local Loss Rating | 2.80 | | Local Loss Rank | 81 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 4-14 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -3.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -12.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -11.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -7.6 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -12.3 |
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