| Conference: Little East | Region: New England | State: CT | Coach: Jennifer Burrows |
Elms Falls to Western Connecticut
CHICOPEE, MA, April 23, 2008 – Elms College senior attack Caitlin Childs (Hingham, MA) netted a pair of goals and added an assist, but Western Connecticut State University senior attack Ashley Caruso (Northport, NY) scored a game-high five goals and the Colonials scored seven of the game's first eight goals en route to a 19-4 win over the Blazers in Wednesday's non-conference women's lacrosse game at Leary Field. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/08 | H | Morrisville | 8- | 10 | -2 | 1 | | -1.63 | -2.92 | |
3/11 | H | Farmingdale | 7- | 19 | -12 | -3 | | -1.63 | -8.99 | |
3/13 | A | Kean | 12- | 23 | -11 | -9 | | 1.63 | -1.54 | |
3/19 | H | Salve Regina | 12- | 13 | -1 | 1 | | -1.63 | -2.13 | |
3/25 | A | Worcester State | 7- | 9 | -2 | -2 | | 1.63 | 0.00 | |
3/28 | H | Plymouth State | 10- | 12 | -2 | 1 | | -1.63 | -2.81 | |
3/31 | A | Mount Saint Vincent | 11- | 20 | -9 | -11 | | 1.63 | 1.53 | |
4/02 | H | Eastern Connecticut | 8- | 22 | -14 | -11 | | -1.63 | -2.72 | |
4/05 | N | Southern Maine | 5- | 14 | -9 | -7 | | 0.00 | -1.86 | |
4/10 | H | Western New England | 11- | 25 | -14 | -12 | | -1.63 | -1.68 | |
4/12 | A | Keene State | 5- | 21 | -16 | -11 | | 1.63 | -5.06 | |
4/15 | H | Vassar | 4- | 14 | -10 | -14 | ++ | -1.63 | 4.31 | |
4/17 | H | Framingham State | 15- | 5 | 10 | 6 | + | -1.63 | 3.59 | |
4/19 | H | Rhode Island College | 23- | 10 | 13 | 3 | +++ | -1.63 | 9.76 | |
4/21 | A | Ramapo | 12- | 7 | 5 | 4 | | 1.63 | 0.91 | |
4/23 | A | Elms | 19- | 4 | 15 | 9 | +++ | 1.63 | 6.49 | |
4/26 | A | Mass.-Dartmouth | 11- | 15 | -4 | -7 | + | 1.63 | 2.98 | |
4/29 | A | Mass.-Dartmouth | 10- | 18 | -8 | -7 | | 1.63 | -1.02 | |
| | | | | | | | | | -1.17 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/11 | H | Farmingdale | 7- | 19 | 2.00 |
3/13 | A | Kean | 12- | 23 | 1.00 |
4/02 | H | Eastern Connecticut | 8- | 22 | 2.72 |
4/10 | H | Western New England | 11- | 25 | 1.68 |
4/12 | A | Keene State | 5- | 21 | 5.06 |
4/15 | H | Vassar | 4- | 14 | -4.31 |
4/17 | H | Framingham State | 15- | 5 | 0.00 |
4/19 | H | Rhode Island College | 23- | 10 | -3.00 |
4/23 | A | Elms | 19- | 4 | -5.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.01 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 423.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 139 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 61.30 | | Local Power Rank | 138 |
| Local SOS Rating | 65.12 | | Local SOS Rank | 137 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.38 | | Local RPI Rank | 144 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 71 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | n/a | | Local Quality Win Rank | n/a |
| Local Loss Rating | 2.80 | | Local Loss Rank | 174 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 4-14 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -3.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | |
| Wins/Losses (2nd 10) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.0 |
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