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Computer Rating

Strength of Schedule

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Conf. Standings

Worcester State Lancers (9-6)

Conference: NEWLA

Region: New England

State: MA

Coach: Deb Draper

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/25	WESTERN CONNECTICUT (4-14)	Little East	61.3		W	9-	7		0.00
3/27	at Emerson (13-4)	Great Northea	63.8		W	10-	9		0.00
3/29	BECKER (2-10)	NEWLA	46.6		W	20-	1		0.00
4/01	CASTLETON STATE (10-8)	NEWLA	63.5		L	5-	12		0.00
4/03	ELMS (4-9)	NEWLA	51.2		W	17-	2		0.00
4/08	FITCHBURG STATE (5-9)	NEWLA	53.9		W	15-	3		0.00
4/10	ROGER WILLIAMS (14-5)	Comm. Coast	74.7		L	4-	16		0.00
4/12	at Thomas (1-8)	NEWLA	46.0		W	23-	2		0.00
4/15	at Bridgewater State (15-5)	NEWLA	71.6		L	6-	21		0.00
4/19	WESTFIELD STATE (8-7)	NEWLA	61.4		W	15-	11		0.00
4/22	at Rhode Island College (3-12)	Little East	59.7		W	9-	8		0.00
4/24	MASS.-DARTMOUTH (9-6)	Little East	66.7		L	9-	13		0.00
4/26	at Framingham State (4-6)	Little East	56.5		W	11-	9		0.00
4/30	at Castleton State (10-8)	NEWLA	63.5		L	6-	12		0.00
5/08	at Roger Williams (14-5)	Comm. Coast	74.7		L	2-	17		0.00
			60.9						0.00

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/25	H	Western Connecticut	9-	7	2	3		-1.63	-0.53
3/27	A	Emerson	10-	9	1	-4	++	1.63	4.92
3/29	H	Becker	20-	1	19	17		-1.63	1.83
4/01	H	Castleton State	5-	12	-7	1	–––	-1.63	-7.71
4/03	H	Elms	17-	2	15	13		-1.63	1.87
4/08	H	Fitchburg State	15-	3	12	10	+	-1.63	2.18
4/10	H	Roger Williams	4-	16	-12	-11		-1.63	-0.80
4/12	A	Thomas	23-	2	21	14	+++	1.63	6.66
4/15	A	Bridgewater State	6-	21	-15	-12	–	1.63	-3.36
4/19	H	Westfield State	15-	11	4	2		-1.63	1.72
4/22	A	Rhode Island College	9-	8	1	1		1.63	0.17
4/24	H	Mass.-Dartmouth	9-	13	-4	-2		-1.63	-1.81
4/26	A	Framingham State	11-	9	2	3		1.63	-1.13
4/30	A	Castleton State	6-	12	-6	-3	–	1.63	-3.46
5/08	A	Roger Williams	2-	17	-15	-14		1.63	-0.55
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/29	H	Becker	20-	1	-1.83
4/03	H	Elms	17-	2	-1.87
4/08	H	Fitchburg State	15-	3	-2.18
4/10	H	Roger Williams	4-	16	0.80
4/12	A	Thomas	23-	2	-6.66
4/15	A	Bridgewater State	6-	21	3.36
5/08	A	Roger Williams	2-	17	0.55
10-goal correction: -0.52

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	378.00		Local TSI Rank	129
Local Poll Vote	n/a		Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	61.67		Local Power Rank	135
Local SOS Rating	60.90		Local SOS Rank	154
Local RPI Rating	0.49		Local RPI Rank	85
Local Trend Rating	3.00		Local Trend Rank	123
Local Quality Win Rating	n/a		Local Quality Win Rank	n/a
Local Loss Rating	1.20		Local Loss Rank	62
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.3


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