| Conference: Capital | Region: So. Atlantic | State: PA | Coach: Jennifer Dragoni |
Villa Julie Kocks off York in CAC Tournament
York, Pa - The number 5 seeded Villa Julie College Women's Lacrosse Team traveled to #4 York College in the CAC First Round. The Mustangs made history by producing a stunning display to win 13-11. With the win, they recorded the most wins in a season (12) and the most wins in a row (7). The Mustangs will now meet the number one team in the country, Salisbury University, in the CAC Semi-finals on Tuesday. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
2/20 | A | St. Mary's (MD) | 8- | 16 | -8 | -6 | | 1.63 | -2.14 | |
2/27 | A | Greensboro | 12- | 3 | 9 | 8 | | 1.63 | 1.05 | |
3/02 | H | Salisbury | 4- | 22 | -18 | -11 | | -1.63 | -6.72 | |
3/05 | A | Chestnut Hill | 18- | 7 | 11 | 16 | | 1.43 | | -4.50 |
3/08 | A | Messiah | 12- | 14 | -2 | -1 | | 1.63 | -0.69 | |
3/11 | A | Hood | 23- | 3 | 20 | 17 | + | 1.63 | 2.88 | |
3/14 | A | Susquehanna | 10- | 8 | 2 | 3 | | 1.63 | -1.31 | |
3/19 | A | Marymount | 14- | 8 | 6 | 4 | | 1.63 | 1.72 | |
3/22 | H | Mary Washington | 11- | 16 | -5 | -1 | | -1.63 | -3.51 | |
3/26 | H | Villa Julie | 16- | 12 | 4 | -1 | ++ | -1.63 | 4.69 | |
3/29 | H | Frostburg State | 17- | 3 | 14 | 12 | + | -1.63 | 2.35 | |
4/03 | H | Misericordia | 20- | 9 | 11 | 13 | | -1.63 | -2.03 | |
4/05 | H | Farmingdale | 17- | 6 | 11 | 13 | | -1.63 | -1.69 | |
4/10 | A | Wesley | 21- | 9 | 12 | 9 | + | 1.63 | 3.33 | |
4/15 | A | Notre Dame (MD) | 21- | 7 | 14 | 5 | +++ | 1.63 | 8.76 | |
4/17 | H | Muhlenberg | 12- | 16 | -4 | -1 | | -1.63 | -3.48 | |
4/20 | H | Villa Julie | 11- | 13 | -2 | -1 | | -1.63 | -1.31 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 1.90 | -4.50 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/02 | H | Salisbury | 4- | 22 | 6.72 |
3/05 | A | Chestnut Hill | 18- | 7 | 4.50 |
3/11 | A | Hood | 23- | 3 | -2.88 |
3/29 | H | Frostburg State | 17- | 3 | -2.35 |
4/03 | H | Misericordia | 20- | 9 | 2.03 |
4/05 | H | Farmingdale | 17- | 6 | 1.69 |
4/10 | A | Wesley | 21- | 9 | -2.00 |
4/15 | A | Notre Dame (MD) | 21- | 7 | -4.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.22 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 163.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 55 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 76.99 | | Local Power Rank | 44 |
| Local SOS Rating | 72.13 | | Local SOS Rank | 70 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.56 | | Local RPI Rank | 46 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 76 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | n/a | | Local Quality Win Rank | n/a |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.20 | | Local Loss Rank | 63 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -18.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -18.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -13.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 2.7 |
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