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Mon Jun 2 16:20:27 EDT 2008


    The accuracy is listed for each league or region. The average
    Goal error is a measure in goals how close the power ratings
    predicted the actual goal margin. 3.01 goals means that for 
    all games played in a region, the power ratings predicted on
    average within 3.01 goals. The number of times the power rat-
    ings predicted within one, two, three, etc. goals is shown  
    under the columns <1, <2, etc. So for the number 25, this   
    means that 25 out of 84 (total games) or about 30% of the   
    games, the power rating error was within 1 goal.


    Regional          Average    No       Measuring (goals) how close the PR
     Team           Goal error Games      predicted actual goal difference 
                                          <1     <2     <3     <4     <5     >5  

    WD1                 2.90     729     140    170    121    104     74    120
    WD2                 3.53     374      77     58     52     51     45     91
    WD3                 3.26    1288     256    229    206    180    132    285
    WJUCO               3.18      63      11     14     11      7     10     10
    WDIA                2.86     487     111     97     80     64     60     75

    TOTAL               3.09    2888     592    562    466    400    316    552

     total games...............  =   2888
     ave error (goals).........  =   3.09
     total upsets..............  =    310
     % of games within 1 goal..  =  20.50
     % of games within 2 goals.  =  39.96
     % of games within 3 goals.  =  56.09
     % of games within 4 goals.  =  69.94
     % of games within 5 goals.  =  80.89
     % of games    >   5 goals.  =  19.11

 


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