Sun Aug 17 11:19:57 EDT 2008
The accuracy is listed for each league or region. The average Goal error is a measure in goals how close the power ratings predicted the actual goal margin. 3.01 goals means that for all games played in a region, the power ratings predicted on average within 3.01 goals. The number of times the power rat- ings predicted within one, two, three, etc. goals is shown under the columns <1, <2, etc. So for the number 25, this means that 25 out of 84 (total games) or about 30% of the games, the power rating error was within 1 goal. Regional Average No Measuring (goals) how close the PR Team Goal error Games predicted actual goal difference <1 <2 <3 <4 <5 >5 WD1 2.90 729 140 170 121 104 74 120 WD2 3.53 374 77 58 52 51 45 91 WD3 3.26 1288 256 229 206 180 132 285 WJUCO 3.18 63 11 14 11 7 10 10 WDIA 2.86 487 111 97 80 64 60 75 TOTAL 3.09 2888 592 562 466 400 316 552 total games............... = 2888 ave error (goals)......... = 3.09 total upsets.............. = 285 % of games within 1 goal.. = 20.50 % of games within 2 goals. = 39.96 % of games within 3 goals. = 56.09 % of games within 4 goals. = 69.94 % of games within 5 goals. = 80.89 % of games > 5 goals. = 19.11Sponsored Links
