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Mon Jun 2 16:20:27 EDT 2008
The accuracy is listed for each league or region. The average
Goal error is a measure in goals how close the power ratings
predicted the actual goal margin. 3.01 goals means that for
all games played in a region, the power ratings predicted on
average within 3.01 goals. The number of times the power rat-
ings predicted within one, two, three, etc. goals is shown
under the columns <1, <2, etc. So for the number 25, this
means that 25 out of 84 (total games) or about 30% of the
games, the power rating error was within 1 goal.
Regional Average No Measuring (goals) how close the PR
Team Goal error Games predicted actual goal difference
<1 <2 <3 <4 <5 >5
WD1 2.90 729 140 170 121 104 74 120
WD2 3.53 374 77 58 52 51 45 91
WD3 3.26 1288 256 229 206 180 132 285
WJUCO 3.18 63 11 14 11 7 10 10
WDIA 2.86 487 111 97 80 64 60 75
TOTAL 3.09 2888 592 562 466 400 316 552
total games............... = 2888
ave error (goals)......... = 3.09
total upsets.............. = 310
% of games within 1 goal.. = 20.50
% of games within 2 goals. = 39.96
% of games within 3 goals. = 56.09
% of games within 4 goals. = 69.94
% of games within 5 goals. = 80.89
% of games > 5 goals. = 19.11
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