| Region: NY C Sec 6 | State: NY | Coach: Gary Sundown |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/24 | at Lockport (4-14) | NY A Sec 6 | 73.0 | | W | 8- | 4 | | 0.275 |
3/27 | WILLIAMSVILLE SOUTH (2-14) | NY B Sec 6 | 72.6 | | W | 15- | 6 | | 0.200 |
3/31 | IROQUOIS (6-12) | NY B Sec 6 | 76.7 | | W | 10- | 9 | | 0.300 |
4/01 | at Eden (10-10) | NY C Sec 6 | 76.6 | | L | 4- | 18 | | -0.150 |
4/03 | MEDINA (2-15) | NY C Sec 6 | 69.4 | | W | 10- | 3 | | 0.075 |
4/07 | SILVER CREEK (10-10) | NY C Sec 6 | 75.4 | | L | 7- | 8 | ot | -0.275 |
4/09 | at Wilson (3-14) | NY C Sec 6 | 70.5 | | W | 14- | 9 | | 0.200 |
4/21 | at Salamanca (13-5) | NY C Sec 6 | 80.9 | | L | 9- | 23 | | -0.050 |
4/22 | GOWANDA (15-5) | NY C Sec 6 | 80.8 | | L | 7- | 19 | | -0.150 |
4/28 | EAST AURORA (10-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 77.5 | | L | 5- | 14 | | -0.175 |
4/30 | SALAMANCA (13-5) | NY C Sec 6 | 80.9 | | L | 8- | 10 | | -0.125 |
5/04 | WILSON (3-14) | NY C Sec 6 | 70.5 | | W | 13- | 7 | | 0.125 |
5/06 | at Silver Creek (10-10) | NY C Sec 6 | 75.4 | | W | 21- | 11 | | 0.300 |
5/07 | at East Aurora (10-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 77.5 | | L | 4- | 9 | | -0.125 |
5/12 | at Medina (2-15) | NY C Sec 6 | 69.4 | | W | 10- | 3 | | 0.150 |
5/14 | at Gowanda (15-5) | NY C Sec 6 | 80.8 | | L | 9- | 14 | | -0.075 |
5/20 | EDEN (10-10) | NY C Sec 6 | 76.6 | | L | 7- | 12 | | -0.200 |
5/29 | at Eden (10-10) | NY C Sec 6 | 76.6 | | L | 9- | 16 | | -0.150 |
| | 75.6 | | | | | | 0.15 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/24 | A | Lockport | 8- | 4 | 4 | -1 | ++ | 1.35 | 4.64 | |
3/27 | H | Williamsville South | 15- | 6 | 9 | 2 | +++ | -1.35 | 7.16 | |
3/31 | H | Iroquois | 10- | 9 | 1 | -2 | + | -1.35 | 3.06 | |
4/01 | A | Eden | 4- | 18 | -14 | -4 | ––– | 1.35 | -9.71 | |
4/03 | H | Medina | 10- | 3 | 7 | 7 | | -1.35 | 0.35 | |
4/07 | H | Silver Creek | 7- | 8 | -1 | 1 | | -1.35 | -1.84 | |
4/09 | A | Wilson | 14- | 9 | 5 | 2 | + | 1.35 | 2.51 | |
4/21 | A | Salamanca | 9- | 23 | -14 | -8 | ––– | 1.35 | -6.16 | |
4/22 | H | Gowanda | 7- | 19 | -12 | -4 | ––– | -1.35 | -8.15 | |
4/28 | H | East Aurora | 5- | 14 | -9 | -3 | ––– | -1.35 | -6.41 | |
4/30 | H | Salamanca | 8- | 10 | -2 | -5 | + | -1.35 | 3.15 | |
5/04 | H | Wilson | 13- | 7 | 6 | 5 | | -1.35 | 0.81 | |
5/06 | A | Silver Creek | 21- | 11 | 10 | -2 | +++ | 1.35 | 11.86 | |
5/07 | A | East Aurora | 4- | 9 | -5 | -5 | | 1.35 | 0.29 | |
5/12 | A | Medina | 10- | 3 | 7 | 4 | + | 1.35 | 3.05 | |
5/14 | A | Gowanda | 9- | 14 | -5 | -7 | | 1.35 | 1.54 | |
5/20 | H | Eden | 7- | 12 | -5 | -2 | – | -1.35 | -3.41 | |
5/29 | A | Eden | 9- | 16 | -7 | -4 | – | 1.35 | -2.71 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/01 | A | Eden | 4- | 18 | 4.00 |
4/21 | A | Salamanca | 9- | 23 | 4.00 |
4/22 | H | Gowanda | 7- | 19 | 2.00 |
5/06 | A | Silver Creek | 21- | 11 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.56 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 74. | | Natl CCR Rank | 2425 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 74.85 | | Natl Power Rank | 2425 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 75.02 | | Natl SOS Rank | 2625 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.15 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1136 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.44 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1710 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-10 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -1.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -7.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -5.7 |
|
