High School Computer Ratings

Albemarle Patriots (16-4)

Region: VA Comw

State: VA

Coach: Pat McAdams

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/11	BROOKE POINT (14-7)	VA Comw	94.0	3	W	10-	5		0.225
3/18	at Stafford (3-11)	VA Comw	83.5		W	14-	3		0.025
3/20	ST CHRISTOPHER'S (8-9)	VA 1 VIP	88.1		L	5-	7		-0.450
3/25	at North Stafford (9-6)	VA Comw	92.9	4	L	2-	8		-0.225
3/30	at Mountain View (5-10)	VA Comw	86.0		W	9-	8		0.125
4/01	COLONIAL FORGE (10-5)	VA Comw	91.8	6	W	9-	6		0.175
4/04	at Langley (21-1)	VA Liberty	98.2		L	3-	10		-0.125
4/16	CARDINAL GIBBONS (18-4)	NC 3A/2A	89.1		W	6-	5		0.075
4/17	at Brooke Point (14-7)	VA Comw	94.0	3	W	10-	8		0.300
4/23	STAFFORD (3-11)	VA Comw	83.5		W	18-	4		0.000
4/24	at Monticello (4-8)	VA Jeffsn	85.7		W	10-	3		0.075
4/27	WESTERN ALBEMARLE (8-9)	VA Jeffsn	89.2		W	6-	2		0.075
4/29	NORTH STAFFORD (9-6)	VA Comw	92.9	4	W	8-	4		0.200
5/08	vs. Mountain View # (5-10)	VA Comw	86.0		W	11-	5		0.075
5/13	COLONIAL FORGE (10-5)	VA Comw	91.8	6	W	6-	5		0.175
5/14	BROOKE POINT (14-7)	VA Comw	94.0	3	W	6-	5		0.225
5/20	POTOMAC-DUMFRIES (7-9)	VA Card	79.2		W	17-	2		0.000
5/22	OSBOURN PARK (9-9)	VA Cedar	90.0	9	W	7-	6		0.125
5/26	LOUDOUN VALLEY (17-4)	VA Cedar	96.2	1	W	8-	3		0.275
5/30	CHANTILLY (16-3)	VA Concord	95.4		L	9-	10	ot	-0.275
# Neutral site			90.1						1.08

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/11	H	Brooke Point	10-	5	5	1	+	-1.67	3.78
3/18	A	Stafford	14-	3	11	9	+	1.67	2.07
3/20	H	St Christopher's	5-	7	-2	8	–––	-1.64		-9.99
3/25	A	North Stafford	2-	8	-6	-1	––	1.67	-5.00
3/30	A	Mountain View	9-	8	1	5	–	1.67	-3.85
4/01	H	Colonial Forge	9-	6	3	3		-1.67	-0.37
4/04	A	Langley	3-	10	-7	-5		1.49		-1.73
4/16	H	Cardinal Gibbons	6-	5	1	7	––	-1.31		-5.73
4/17	A	Brooke Point	10-	8	2	-2	++	1.67	4.12
4/23	H	Stafford	18-	4	14	12		-1.67	1.73
4/24	A	Monticello	10-	3	7	7		1.69		-0.06
4/27	H	Western Albemarle	6-	2	4	7	–	-1.69		-2.93
4/29	H	North Stafford	8-	4	4	2		-1.67	1.66
5/08	N	Mountain View	11-	5	6	7		0.00	-0.52
5/13	H	Colonial Forge	6-	5	1	3	–	-1.67	-2.37
5/14	H	Brooke Point	6-	5	1	1		-1.67	-0.22
5/20	H	Potomac-Dumfries	17-	2	15	18	–	-1.67	-2.94
5/22	H	Osbourn Park	7-	6	1	5	–	-1.67	-3.74
5/26	H	Loudoun Valley	8-	3	5	-1	++	-1.67	5.64
5/30	H	Chantilly	9-	10	-1	1		-1.49		-1.59
									0.00	-22.03