High School Computer Ratings

Andover HS Golden Warriors (12-8)

Conference: Merrimack

Region: MA 1

State: MA

Coach: Wayne Puglisi

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/31	at Haverhill (12-5)	MA 1	95.9		W	11-	3		0.150
4/02	at Dracut (7-11)	MA 2	91.2		W	11-	1		0.025
4/04	LOWELL (3-15)	MA 1	89.9		W	7-	3		0.000
4/07	TEWKSBURY MEMORIAL (8-11)	MA 2	92.7		W	10-	7		0.050
4/11	at Chelmsford (11-8)	MA 1	96.1		W	12-	6		0.200
4/17	BILLERICA (16-4)	MA 1	97.8	8	L	9-	10	3ot	-0.200
4/20	at North Andover (17-6)	MA 2	96.7		L	9-	11		-0.275
4/23	at Lexington HS (12-10)	MA 1	95.9		W	9-	8		0.175
4/25	HINGHAM (16-7)	MA 2	97.2		L	7-	10		-0.250
4/27	CENTRAL CATHOLIC (7-9)	MA 2	94.4		W	9-	6		0.100
4/29	at Exeter HS (14-5)	NH 1	95.5		L	10-	11	ot	-0.250
5/02	at Xaverian Bros (13-8)	MA 1	97.4	10	W	9-	6		0.325
5/04	MASCONOMET (14-8)	MA 2	95.7		W	12-	4		0.150
5/08	CHELMSFORD (11-8)	MA 1	96.1		W	17-	5		0.150
5/12	BISHOP GUERTIN (18-3)	NH 1	97.5		L	10-	13		-0.250
5/15	at Billerica (16-4)	MA 1	97.8	8	L	10-	13		-0.150
5/18	at Waltham (4-12)	MA 1	93.6		W	10-	8		0.150
5/20	at Lincoln-Sudbury (16-3)	MA 1	97.9	6	L	8-	15		-0.100
5/27	NEW BEDFORD (7-10)	MA 1	86.2		W	16-	2		0.000
5/30	at Xaverian Bros (13-8)	MA 1	97.4	10	L	5-	11		-0.175
			95.1						-0.18

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/31	A	Haverhill	11-	3	8	4	+	0.91	3.76
4/02	A	Dracut	11-	1	10	9		0.91	1.33
4/04	H	Lowell	7-	3	4	10	––	-0.91	-5.61
4/07	H	Tewksbury Memorial	10-	7	3	8	––	-0.91	-4.80
4/11	A	Chelmsford	12-	6	6	2	++	0.91	4.31
4/17	H	Billerica	9-	10	-1	-2		-0.91	1.12
4/20	A	North Andover	9-	11	-2	1	–	0.91	-3.45
4/23	A	Lexington HS	9-	8	1	3		0.91	-1.80
4/25	H	Hingham	7-	10	-3	0	–	-0.91	-3.00
4/27	H	Central Catholic	9-	6	3	6	–	-0.91	-3.40
4/29	A	Exeter HS	10-	11	-1	0		1.00		-1.27
5/02	A	Xaverian Bros	9-	6	3	-3	+++	0.91	6.27
5/04	H	Masconomet	12-	4	8	4	+	-0.91	3.62
5/08	H	Chelmsford	17-	5	12	4	+++	-0.91	8.49
5/12	H	Bishop Guertin	10-	13	-3	0	–	-1.00		-3.22
5/15	A	Billerica	10-	13	-3	-4		0.91	0.94
5/18	A	Waltham	10-	8	2	4		0.91	-1.78
5/20	A	Lincoln-Sudbury	8-	15	-7	-6		0.91	-1.35
5/27	H	New Bedford	16-	2	14	16		-0.91	-1.91
5/30	A	Xaverian Bros	5-	11	-6	-3	–	0.91	-2.73
									0.00	-4.49