| Region: MN 1 Lake | State: MN | Coach: Tim Roche |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
4/15 | at Lakeville North (1-12) | MN 1 Lake | 80.3 | | W | 10- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/17 | at Rosemount (7-8) | MN 1 Lake | 86.1 | | W | 11- | 2 | | 0.050 |
4/20 | at Eden Prairie (13-2) | MN 1 Lake | 93.3 | 3 | L | 8- | 10 | | -0.150 |
4/22 | BLOOM KENNEDY (1-13) | MN 1 Lake | 77.9 | | W | 15- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/24 | at Apple Valley (7-8) | MN 1 Lake | 86.3 | | W | 15- | 8 | | 0.075 |
4/27 | MINNETONKA (18-0) | MN 1 Classic | 95.0 | 1 | L | 8- | 11 | | -0.200 |
4/29 | BURNSVILLE (9-6) | MN 1 Lake | 88.4 | | W | 14- | 7 | | 0.100 |
5/01 | at Eagan (12-4) | MN 1 Lake | 91.2 | 9 | W | 13- | 4 | | 0.225 |
5/04 | BLOOM JEFFERSON (13-2) | MN 1 Lake | 93.5 | 2 | L | 8- | 14 | | -0.225 |
5/06 | BENILDE ST. MARGARET (6-7) | MN 1 Private | 89.8 | | L | 6- | 7 | | -0.325 |
5/08 | CHASKA (10-5) | MN 1 Lake | 89.1 | | W | 16- | 2 | | 0.100 |
5/13 | LAKEVILLE SOUTH (4-10) | MN 1 Lake | 84.0 | | W | 10- | 5 | | 0.000 |
5/16 | BLAKE (10-7) | MN 1 Private | 91.2 | 8 | W | 7- | 6 | | 0.200 |
5/21 | LAKEVILLE SOUTH (4-10) | MN 1 Lake | 84.0 | | W | 13- | 6 | | 0.000 |
5/26 | ROSEMOUNT (7-8) | MN 1 Lake | 86.1 | | W | 15- | 7 | | 0.000 |
5/28 | EAGAN (12-4) | MN 1 Lake | 91.2 | 9 | W | 12- | 6 | | 0.175 |
6/03 | vs. Blake # (10-7) | MN 1 Private | 91.2 | 8 | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.225 |
6/05 | vs. Minnetonka # (18-0) | MN 1 Classic | 95.0 | 1 | L | 10- | 12 | | -0.175 |
| # Neutral site | | 88.5 | | | | | | 0.08 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/15 | A | Lakeville North | 10- | 1 | 9 | 10 | | 1.20 | -0.73 | |
4/17 | A | Rosemount | 11- | 2 | 9 | 8 | | 1.20 | 1.49 | |
4/20 | A | Eden Prairie | 8- | 10 | -2 | -4 | | 1.20 | 1.54 | |
4/22 | H | Bloom Kennedy | 15- | 1 | 14 | 15 | | -1.20 | -0.70 | |
4/24 | A | Apple Valley | 15- | 8 | 7 | 7 | | 1.20 | -0.14 | |
4/27 | H | Minnetonka | 8- | 11 | -3 | -2 | | -1.20 | -1.02 | |
4/29 | H | Burnsville | 14- | 7 | 7 | 6 | | -1.20 | 1.02 | |
5/01 | A | Eagan | 13- | 4 | 9 | 1 | +++ | 1.20 | 8.06 | |
5/04 | H | Bloom Jefferson | 8- | 14 | -6 | -1 | –– | -1.20 | -4.76 | |
5/06 | H | Benilde St. Margaret | 6- | 7 | -1 | 3 | – | -1.20 | -3.95 | |
5/08 | H | Chaska | 16- | 2 | 14 | 6 | +++ | -1.20 | 8.28 | |
5/13 | H | Lakeville South | 10- | 5 | 5 | 11 | –– | -1.20 | -5.92 | |
5/16 | H | Blake | 7- | 6 | 1 | 2 | | -1.20 | -1.19 | |
5/21 | H | Lakeville South | 13- | 6 | 7 | 11 | – | -1.20 | -3.92 | |
5/26 | H | Rosemount | 15- | 7 | 8 | 10 | | -1.20 | -1.91 | |
5/28 | H | Eagan | 12- | 6 | 6 | 3 | + | -1.20 | 2.66 | |
6/03 | N | Blake | 8- | 7 | 1 | 1 | | 0.00 | 0.01 | |
6/05 | N | Minnetonka | 10- | 12 | -2 | -3 | | 0.00 | 1.18 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/22 | H | Bloom Kennedy | 15- | 1 | 0.70 |
5/08 | H | Chaska | 16- | 2 | -4.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.18 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 92. | | Natl CCR Rank | 553 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 91.63 | | Natl Power Rank | 553 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 88.60 | | Natl SOS Rank | 683 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.08 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1290 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.72 | | W-L Pct Rank | 527 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 13-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -3.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 4-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 0.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 6-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 2.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.7 |
| 
