| Region: MN 1 Lake | State: MN | Coach: Joe Gaston |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
4/08 | at Edina (11-4) | MN 1 Classic | 91.5 | 7 | L | 0- | 15 | | -0.025 |
4/09 | at Rosemount (7-8) | MN 1 Lake | 86.1 | | W | 6- | 4 | | 0.275 |
4/13 | LAKEVILLE NORTH (1-12) | MN 1 Lake | 80.3 | | W | 7- | 5 | | 0.150 |
4/15 | at Chaska (10-5) | MN 1 Lake | 89.1 | | L | 4- | 9 | | -0.125 |
4/22 | at Eden Prairie (13-2) | MN 1 Lake | 93.3 | 3 | L | 2- | 14 | | 0.000 |
4/24 | EASTVIEW (13-5) | MN 1 Lake | 91.6 | 6 | L | 8- | 15 | | -0.075 |
4/29 | EAGAN (12-4) | MN 1 Lake | 91.2 | 9 | L | 10- | 14 | | -0.125 |
5/01 | at Burnsville (9-6) | MN 1 Lake | 88.4 | | L | 2- | 13 | | -0.125 |
5/06 | LAKEVILLE SOUTH (4-10) | MN 1 Lake | 84.0 | | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.175 |
5/08 | at Bloom Jefferson (13-2) | MN 1 Lake | 93.5 | 2 | L | 8- | 11 | | 0.000 |
5/11 | at Prior Lake (8-7) | MN 1 Indep | 84.5 | | W | 8- | 6 | | 0.225 |
5/13 | BLOOM KENNEDY (1-13) | MN 1 Lake | 77.9 | | W | 13- | 3 | | 0.100 |
5/15 | OWATONNA (9-7) | MN 1 Big9 | 83.9 | | W | 10- | 9 | | 0.150 |
5/19 | ROCHESTER CENTURY (0-11) | MN 1 Big9 | 71.8 | | W | 17- | 3 | | 0.000 |
5/21 | vs. Rosemount # (7-8) | MN 1 Lake | 86.1 | | L | 7- | 8 | ot | -0.250 |
| # Neutral site | | 86.2 | | | | | | 0.35 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/08 | A | Edina | 0- | 15 | -15 | -9 | –– | 1.20 | -5.58 | |
4/09 | A | Rosemount | 6- | 4 | 2 | -1 | + | 1.20 | 2.83 | |
4/13 | H | Lakeville North | 7- | 5 | 2 | 4 | | -1.20 | -1.79 | |
4/15 | A | Chaska | 4- | 9 | -5 | -5 | | 1.20 | 0.02 | |
4/22 | A | Eden Prairie | 2- | 14 | -12 | -12 | | 1.20 | -0.11 | |
4/24 | H | Eastview | 8- | 15 | -7 | -7 | | -1.20 | 0.14 | |
4/29 | H | Eagan | 10- | 14 | -4 | -5 | | -1.20 | 1.00 | |
5/01 | A | Burnsville | 2- | 13 | -11 | -5 | ––– | 1.20 | -6.24 | |
5/06 | H | Lakeville South | 8- | 7 | 1 | 3 | | -1.20 | -1.58 | |
5/08 | A | Bloom Jefferson | 8- | 11 | -3 | -12 | +++ | 1.20 | 8.98 | |
5/11 | A | Prior Lake | 8- | 6 | 2 | 1 | | 1.20 | 1.15 | |
5/13 | H | Bloom Kennedy | 13- | 3 | 10 | 6 | + | -1.20 | 3.64 | |
5/15 | H | Owatonna | 10- | 9 | 1 | 4 | – | -1.20 | -2.85 | |
5/19 | H | Rochester Century | 17- | 3 | 14 | 12 | | -1.20 | 1.76 | |
5/21 | N | Rosemount | 7- | 8 | -1 | 0 | | 0.00 | -1.37 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/08 | A | Edina | 0- | 15 | 5.00 |
4/22 | A | Eden Prairie | 2- | 14 | 0.11 |
5/01 | A | Burnsville | 2- | 13 | 1.00 |
5/13 | H | Bloom Kennedy | 13- | 3 | 0.00 |
5/19 | H | Rochester Century | 17- | 3 | -1.76 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.29 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 86. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1151 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 86.33 | | Natl Power Rank | 1151 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 86.26 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1023 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.35 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 842 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.47 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1626 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 7-8 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -1.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -7.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -8.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -8.1 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 4.7 |
|
