High School Computer Ratings

Arapahoe Warriors (16-3)

Region: CO Centenn

State: CO

Coach: Guy Cerasoli

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/12	at Kent Denver (12-3)	CO FRange	97.6	3	L	7-	8		-0.300
3/21	at Smoky Hill (8-7)	CO Centenn	90.4		W	16-	2		0.000
3/23	at LaSalle College HS (21-4)	PA Cath-No	99.7		L	7-	9		-0.200
3/24	at Malvern Prep (11-9)	PA IAC	96.8		L	6-	7	2ot	-0.275
3/26	at Archbishop Ryan (7-10)	PA Cath-No	84.8		W	11-	1		0.000
4/06	REGIS JESUIT (11-6)	CO So-Sub	95.5	7	W	6-	5		0.075
4/08	MULLEN (14-3)	CO Centenn	97.9	2	W	16-	6		0.225
4/10	at Eaglecrest (5-8)	CO Centenn	81.8		W	18-	1		0.000
4/15	at Cherokee Trail (4-9)	CO Centenn	85.5		W	16-	3		0.000
4/16	OVERLAND (4-7)	CO Centenn	80.6		W	16-	1		0.000
4/20	vs. Heritage # (13-2)	CO So-Sub	96.4	4	W	10-	4		0.075
4/22	at Cherry Creek (11-7)	CO Centenn	96.0	5	W	14-	6		0.175
4/24	GRANDVIEW (8-9)	CO Centenn	91.7		W	17-	2		0.000
4/27	vs. Littleton # (6-9)	CO So-Sub	87.1		W	15-	2		0.000
4/28	at Denver East (7-8)	CO FRange	90.6		W	13-	9		0.025
5/06	WHEAT RIDGE (8-9)	CO Foothil	90.6		W	19-	6		0.000
5/09	vs. Chatfield # (12-6)	CO Foothil	95.0	9	W	17-	5		0.075
5/13	vs. Regis Jesuit # (11-6)	CO So-Sub	95.5	7	W	11-	5		0.075
5/16	vs. Mullen # (14-3)	CO Centenn	97.9	2	W	7-	6		1.250
# Neutral site			92.2						1.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/12	A	Kent Denver	7-	8	-1	2	–	0.49	-2.70
3/21	A	Smoky Hill	16-	2	14	11	+	0.49	3.39
3/23	A	LaSalle College HS	7-	9	-2	-2		0.86		-0.23
3/24	A	Malvern Prep	6-	7	-1	1	–	0.62		-2.30
3/26	A	Archbishop Ryan	11-	1	10	13	–	0.86		-3.12
4/06	H	Regis Jesuit	6-	5	1	7	–––	-0.49	-6.47
4/08	H	Mullen	16-	6	10	1	+++	-0.49	9.36
4/10	A	Eaglecrest	18-	1	17	21	––	0.49	-4.39
4/15	A	Cherokee Trail	16-	3	13	15		0.49	-1.60
4/16	H	Overland	16-	1	15	23	–––	-0.49	-7.69
4/20	N	Heritage	10-	4	6	7		0.00	-0.97
4/22	A	Cherry Creek	14-	6	8	3	++	0.49	5.06
4/24	H	Grandview	17-	2	15	10	++	-0.49	4.73
4/27	N	Littleton	15-	2	13	14		0.00	-0.75
4/28	A	Denver East	13-	9	4	9	––	0.49	-5.00
5/06	H	Wheat Ridge	19-	6	13	11		-0.49	1.94
5/09	N	Chatfield	17-	5	12	7	++	0.00	5.22
5/13	N	Regis Jesuit	11-	5	6	7		0.00	-0.98
5/16	N	Mullen	7-	6	1	0		0.00	0.85
									0.00	-5.64