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Arrowhead Warhawks (23-2)

Region: WI MAYLAState: WICoach: Mark Howard

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/06WAUKESHA (0-12)WI MAYLA62.0W17- 0 0.000  
4/08MILWAUKEE NORTHSHORE (4-10)WI MAYLA65.9W12- 0 0.000  
4/21MILWAUKEE WESTSIDE (1-10)WI MAYLA62.6W1- 0 0.000  
4/22KETTLE MORAINE (13-4)WI MAYLA80.95W13- 4 0.125  
4/25at Waunakee (20-2)WI MALAWht87.12W10- 7 0.275  
4/28HERITAGE CHRISTIAN (4-9)WI MAYLA67.3W18- 0 0.000  
4/29at Sun Prairie (14-8)WI MALAWht80.48W5- 2 0.175  
5/01at Milwaukee Eastside (5-10)WI MAYLA66.3W16- 1 0.000  
5/03at Culver Academy (17-4)IN Indep92.9L7-13 -0.100  
5/05at Waukesha (0-12)WI MAYLA62.0W14- 0 0.000  
5/06at Kettle Moraine (13-4)WI MAYLA80.95W16- 4 0.200  
5/08UNIVERSITY-MILWAUKEE (5-8)WI MAYLA70.2W14- 1 0.000  
5/09APPLETON (14-8)WI BayVal78.5W8- 7 0.025  
5/12at Brookfield (11-6)WI MAYLA77.2W12- 4 0.150  
5/14at Milwaukee Marquette (15-8)WI MAYLA81.44W13-11 0.225  
5/16vs. Waunakee # (20-2)WI MALAWht87.12W6- 4 0.250  
5/16vs. Madison Regents # (17-4)WI MALARed80.66W7- 3 0.125  
5/17vs. Sun Prairie # (14-8)WI MALAWht80.48W8- 6 0.125  
5/17at Verona (9-10)WI MALARed79.210W9- 3 0.175  
5/20at Milwaukee Northshore (4-10)WI MAYLA65.9W18- 6 0.000  
5/27MILWAUKEE NORTHSHORE (4-10)WI MAYLA65.9W13- 3 0.000  
5/29BROOKFIELD (11-6)WI MAYLA77.2W10- 3 0.075  
5/31vs. Milwaukee Marquette # (15-8)WI MAYLA81.44W11- 8 0.175  
6/04BAY PORT (14-7)WI BayVal79.69W9- 7 0.075  
6/06vs. Waunakee # (20-2)WI MALAWht87.12L5- 7 -0.250  
# Neutral site 76.0     1.83  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/06HWaukesha17-017   19       -1.65       -1.55
4/08HMilwaukee Northshore12-012   15       –-1.65       -3.48
4/22HKettle Moraine13-49   5       +-1.65       3.68
4/25AWaunakee10-73   -1       ++1.65       4.47
4/28HHeritage Christian18-018   17       -1.65       1.49
4/29ASun Prairie5-23   3       1.65       -0.28
5/01AMilwaukee Eastside16-115   14       1.65       1.34
5/03ACulver Academy7-13-6   -6       0.85       0.50
5/05AWaukesha14-014   15       1.65       -1.26
5/06AKettle Moraine16-412   2       +++1.65       9.97
5/08HUniversity-Milwaukee14-113   14       -1.65       -0.71
5/09HAppleton8-71   9       –––-1.65       -7.63
5/12ABrookfield12-48   4       ++1.65       4.33
5/14AMilwaukee Marquette13-112   1       1.65       1.03
5/16NWaunakee6-42   0       0.00       1.82
5/16NMadison Regents7-34   5       0.00       -1.08
5/17NSun Prairie8-62   5       –0.00       -2.93
5/17AVerona9-36   3       +1.65       3.48
5/20AMilwaukee Northshore18-612   12       1.65       -0.19
5/27HMilwaukee Northshore13-310   15       ––-1.65       -5.48
5/29HBrookfield10-37   7       -1.65       0.04
5/31NMilwaukee Marquette11-83   3       0.00       0.39
6/04HBay Port9-72   7       ––-1.65       -5.26
6/06NWaunakee5-7-2   0       –0.00       -2.18
         0.000.50

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/06HWaukesha17-01.55
4/08HMilwaukee Northshore12-03.48
4/28HHeritage Christian18-0-1.49
5/01AMilwaukee Eastside16-1-1.34
5/05AWaukesha14-01.26
5/06AKettle Moraine16-4-2.00
5/08HUniversity-Milwaukee14-10.71
5/20AMilwaukee Northshore18-60.19
5/27HMilwaukee Northshore13-35.48
10-goal correction: 0.33

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 87.   Natl CCR Rank 1070
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 87.25   Natl Power Rank 1070
Natl SOS Rating 75.89   Natl SOS Rank 2545
Natl Quality Win Rating 1.83   Natl Quality Win Rank 67
W-L Pct Rating 0.92   W-L Pct Rank 68
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 23-2   Ave Goal diff (all ) 7.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 6-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 4.1
Wins/Losses (top 10) 11-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 3.8
Wins/Losses (top 20) 16-1   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 5.5
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.0



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