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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Avon Old Farms Winged Beavers (10-5)

Conference: FND

Region: NE 1 West

State: CT

Coach: Bart Governanti

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
4/04	NORTHFIELD MT HERMON (6-10)	NE 1 West	89.7	9	W	13-	11		0.125
4/08	BERKSHIRE SCHOOL (9-7)	NE 2 West	93.1		W	12-	8		0.200
4/11	TABOR ACADEMY (7-8)	NE East-1	94.3		W	15-	9		0.250
4/15	CHAMINADE PREP (7-8)	CA Mission	83.7		W	20-	3		0.000
4/18	at Choate (7-9)	NE 1 West	89.3	10	W	10-	5		0.175
4/22	at Westminster School (8-6)	NE 1 West	92.2	7	L	7-	10		-0.250
4/25	at Kent School (7-10)	NE 1 West	88.8		W	9-	2		0.150
4/29	HOTCHKISS (10-3)	NE 1 West	96.4	4	L	9-	10		-0.250
5/02	TRINITY-PAWLING (7-9)	NE 1 West	90.2	8	W	13-	11		0.150
5/04	ST LUKE'S (8-12)	NE 2 FAA	88.3		W	17-	3		0.100
5/06	BRUNSWICK SCHOOL (14-4)	NE 1 West	97.0	3	W	13-	9		0.275
5/09	at Deerfield (15-1)	NE 1 West	99.6	1	L	7-	10		-0.100
5/13	at Taft School (10-5)	NE 1 West	93.6	5	L	5-	8		-0.200
5/16	SALISBURY SCHOOL (13-1)	NE 1 West	99.3	2	L	6-	16		-0.150
5/20	at Loomis Chaffee (4-12)	NE 1 West	87.9		W	10-	4		0.150
			92.2						0.62

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/04	H	Northfield Mt Hermon	13-	11	2	5	–	-1.30	-2.93
4/08	H	Berkshire School	12-	8	4	2	+	-1.27		2.32
4/11	H	Tabor Academy	15-	9	6	0	++	-1.32		5.53
4/15	H	Chaminade Prep	20-	3	17	11	++	-1.44		5.85
4/18	A	Choate	10-	5	5	3	+	1.30	2.08
4/22	A	Westminster School	7-	10	-3	0	–	1.30	-2.67
4/25	A	Kent School	9-	2	7	4	+	1.30	3.33
4/29	H	Hotchkiss	9-	10	-1	0		-1.30	-0.98
5/02	H	Trinity-Pawling	13-	11	2	4		-1.30	-1.62
5/04	H	St Luke's	17-	3	14	6	+++	-1.27		7.56
5/06	H	Brunswick School	13-	9	4	-1	++	-1.30	5.25
5/09	A	Deerfield	7-	10	-3	-6	+	1.30	3.10
5/13	A	Taft School	5-	8	-3	-2		1.30	-1.45
5/16	H	Salisbury School	6-	16	-10	-4	–––	-1.30	-6.16
5/20	A	Loomis Chaffee	10-	4	6	4	+	1.30	2.05
									0.00	21.27

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/15	H	Chaminade Prep	20-	3	-5.85
5/04	H	St Luke's	17-	3	-4.00
5/16	H	Salisbury School	6-	16	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.66

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	93.		Natl CCR Rank	393
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	93.46		Natl Power Rank	393
Natl SOS Rating	92.13		Natl SOS Rank	218
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.62		Natl Quality Win Rank	521
W-L Pct Rating	0.67		W-L Pct Rank	723
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.6
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.3

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