High School Computer Ratings

Avon HS Falcons (13-5)

Conference: NWCIAC

Region: CT M

State: CT

Coach: Scott Kossbiel

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Score			COR
4/09	FARMINGTON (7-10)	CT M	87.6	W	11-	4	0.125
4/14	at Granby (15-3)	CT S	93.8	L	3-	10	-0.200
4/16	SOMERS (11-8)	CT S	90.1	W	12-	9	0.225
4/18	CONARD-WEST HARTFORD (11-8)	CT M	94.3	L	6-	10	-0.175
4/23	at Tolland (4-11)	CT S	83.7	W	13-	3	0.150
4/25	at Ellington (7-10)	CT S	85.8	W	12-	2	0.175
4/28	at Fitch-Groton (6-10)	CT M	83.7	W	14-	5	0.100
5/01	at Suffield HS (9-9)	CT S	89.1	W	7-	6	0.250
5/12	TOLLAND (4-11)	CT S	83.7	W	9-	7	0.100
5/14	WINDSOR (1-15)	CT L	80.7	W	13-	6	0.025
5/16	ELLINGTON (7-10)	CT S	85.8	W	6-	3	0.125
5/19	at Somers (11-8)	CT S	90.1	W	7-	6	0.275
5/22	SUFFIELD HS (9-9)	CT S	89.1	L	6-	10	-0.325
5/27	GRANBY (15-3)	CT S	93.8	L	8-	9	-0.250
5/28	at Newington (3-13)	CT M	83.9	W	13-	10	0.150
6/02	SOMERS (11-8)	CT S	90.1	W	11-	4	0.225
6/04	SUFFIELD HS (9-9)	CT S	89.1	W	13-	8	0.175
6/06	FAIRFIELD-LUDLOWE (9-9)	CT M	94.6	L	5-	17	-0.125
			88.3				1.02

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/09	H	Farmington	11-	4	7	5	+	-1.16	2.43
4/14	A	Granby	3-	10	-7	-2	––	1.16	-5.18
4/16	H	Somers	12-	9	3	1		-1.16	1.60
4/18	H	Conard-West Hartford	6-	10	-4	-3		-1.16	-1.45
4/23	A	Tolland	13-	3	10	4	+++	1.16	6.26
4/25	A	Ellington	12-	2	10	3	+++	1.16	7.01
4/28	A	Fitch-Groton	14-	5	9	6	+	1.16	2.66
5/01	A	Suffield HS	7-	6	1	0		1.16	0.81
5/12	H	Tolland	9-	7	2	6	––	-1.16	-4.06
5/14	H	Windsor	13-	6	7	9		-1.16	-1.60
5/16	H	Ellington	6-	3	3	5	–	-1.16	-2.31
5/19	A	Somers	7-	6	1	-1		1.16	1.91
5/22	H	Suffield HS	6-	10	-4	3	–––	-1.16	-6.51
5/27	H	Granby	8-	9	-1	0		-1.16	-1.50
5/28	A	Newington	13-	10	3	4		1.16	-0.71
6/02	H	Somers	11-	4	7	1	++	-1.16	5.60
6/04	H	Suffield HS	13-	8	5	3	+	-1.16	2.49
6/06	H	Fairfield-Ludlowe	5-	17	-12	-5	–––	-1.16	-7.46
									0.00	0.00