| Region: NY A Sec 2 | State: NY | Coach: Kevin Dayton |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/28 | at Fox Lane (5-12) | NY B Sec 1 | 83.9 | | L | 5- | 10 | | -0.175 |
4/04 | at LaSalle Institute (10-8) | NY A Sec 2 | 84.7 | 9 | W | 9- | 8 | | 0.350 |
4/07 | CHRISTIAN BROS-ALBANY (14-6) | NY A Sec 2 | 90.4 | 3 | L | 1- | 13 | | -0.100 |
4/09 | at Shenendehowa (11-9) | NY A Sec 2 | 89.2 | 5 | L | 4- | 15 | | -0.075 |
4/13 | at Colonie (11-7) | NY A Sec 2 | 88.1 | 6 | L | 5- | 12 | | -0.100 |
4/15 | BETHLEHEM (6-14) | NY A Sec 2 | 82.6 | | L | 2- | 13 | | -0.200 |
4/17 | SARATOGA SPGS (6-14) | NY A Sec 2 | 83.0 | 10 | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.250 |
4/21 | at Burnt Hills (6-14) | NY B Sec 2 | 78.2 | | W | 14- | 8 | | 0.250 |
4/23 | at Columbia (11-8) | NY A Sec 2 | 86.3 | 8 | L | 4- | 12 | | -0.125 |
4/25 | at Schenectady (12-7) | NY A Sec 2 | 87.2 | 7 | L | 3- | 11 | | -0.100 |
4/28 | at Shaker (12-7) | NY A Sec 2 | 90.4 | 4 | W | 9- | 5 | | 0.425 |
5/02 | COLONIE (11-7) | NY A Sec 2 | 88.1 | 6 | L | 6- | 9 | | -0.150 |
5/05 | NISKAYUNA (24-1) | NY B Sec 2 | 99.4 | 1 | L | 1- | 16 | | 0.000 |
5/07 | at Guilderland (20-3) | NY A Sec 2 | 95.6 | 2 | L | 3- | 12 | | 0.000 |
5/12 | at Bethlehem (6-14) | NY A Sec 2 | 82.6 | | W | 10- | 6 | | 0.350 |
5/14 | BURNT HILLS (6-14) | NY B Sec 2 | 78.2 | | W | 13- | 7 | | 0.200 |
5/16 | VALLEY CENTRAL (16-4) | NY A Sec 9 | 89.8 | | L | 5- | 13 | | -0.100 |
5/19 | COLUMBIA (11-8) | NY A Sec 2 | 86.3 | 8 | L | 2- | 13 | | -0.175 |
| | 86.9 | | | | | | 0.52 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/28 | A | Fox Lane | 5- | 10 | -5 | -3 | – | 1.17 | | -2.13 |
4/04 | A | LaSalle Institute | 9- | 8 | 1 | -4 | ++ | 1.01 | 5.42 | |
4/07 | H | Christian Bros-Albany | 1- | 13 | -12 | -6 | ––– | -1.01 | -6.49 | |
4/09 | A | Shenendehowa | 4- | 15 | -11 | -7 | –– | 1.01 | -4.21 | |
4/13 | A | Colonie | 5- | 12 | -7 | -6 | | 1.01 | -1.47 | |
4/15 | H | Bethlehem | 2- | 13 | -11 | -2 | ––– | -1.01 | -8.59 | |
4/17 | H | Saratoga Spgs | 8- | 7 | 1 | 0 | | -1.01 | 1.27 | |
4/21 | A | Burnt Hills | 14- | 8 | 6 | 0 | ++ | 1.01 | 5.62 | |
4/23 | A | Columbia | 4- | 12 | -8 | -5 | – | 1.01 | -3.36 | |
4/25 | A | Schenectady | 3- | 11 | -8 | -6 | – | 1.01 | -2.45 | |
4/28 | A | Shaker | 9- | 5 | 4 | -7 | +++ | 1.01 | 10.62 | |
5/02 | H | Colonie | 6- | 9 | -3 | -4 | | -1.01 | 0.51 | |
5/05 | H | Niskayuna | 1- | 16 | -15 | -13 | – | -1.01 | -2.09 | |
5/07 | A | Guilderland | 3- | 12 | -9 | -11 | | 1.01 | 1.59 | |
5/12 | A | Bethlehem | 10- | 6 | 4 | -4 | +++ | 1.01 | 8.44 | |
5/14 | H | Burnt Hills | 13- | 7 | 6 | 2 | + | -1.01 | 3.59 | |
5/16 | H | Valley Central | 5- | 13 | -8 | -6 | | -1.21 | | -1.60 |
5/19 | H | Columbia | 2- | 13 | -11 | -3 | ––– | -1.01 | -8.39 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -3.73 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/07 | H | Christian Bros-Albany | 1- | 13 | 2.00 |
4/09 | A | Shenendehowa | 4- | 15 | 1.00 |
4/15 | H | Bethlehem | 2- | 13 | 1.00 |
5/05 | H | Niskayuna | 1- | 16 | 2.09 |
5/19 | H | Columbia | 2- | 13 | 1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.39 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 82. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1691 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 82.15 | | Natl Power Rank | 1691 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 86.87 | | Natl SOS Rank | 940 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.52 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 584 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.33 | | W-L Pct Rank | 2083 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 6-12 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -4.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -8.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 3-9 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -6.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 6-10 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -4.6 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -4.3 |
| 
