High School Computer Ratings

Broad Run Spartans (16-4)

Region: VA Dulles

State: VA

Coach: Dave Forman

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score			COR
3/14	at Severn (13-10)	MD A MIAA	95.0		L	5-	15	-0.250
3/21	BROOKE POINT (14-7)	VA Comw	94.0		W	13-	12	0.150
3/25	STONE BRIDGE (8-5)	VA Liberty	90.2		W	10-	6	0.050
4/02	FREEDOM-SOUTH RIDING (7-8)	VA Dulles	86.4	9	W	19-	9	0.000
4/06	vs. Langley # (21-1)	VA Liberty	98.2		L	7-	12	-0.200
4/07	at West Springfield (14-4)	VA Patriot	92.3		L	8-	11	-0.300
4/13	at Dominion HS (11-7)	VA Dulles	90.8	4	W	11-	10	0.175
4/16	at George Mason (13-3)	VA Dulles	93.2	2	W	13-	6	0.150
4/18	at Bishop Ireton (7-13)	DC WCAC	88.5		W	15-	10	0.100
4/23	at Loudoun County (4-8)	VA Dulles	85.9	10	W	17-	6	0.000
4/25	BRIAR WOODS (7-9)	VA Dulles	90.5	5	W	20-	6	0.050
4/27	PARK VIEW (0-12)	VA Dulles	69.0		W	21-	0	0.000
4/30	at Heritage-Leesburg (7-6)	VA Dulles	89.0	7	W	19-	7	0.075
5/12	POTOMAC FALLS (2-8)	VA Dulles	83.7		W	15-	6	0.000
5/13	BRIAR WOODS (7-9)	VA Dulles	90.5	5	W	12-	11	0.050
5/15	vs. Dominion HS # (11-7)	VA Dulles	90.8	4	W	17-	16	0.125
5/18	WESTERN ALBEMARLE (8-9)	VA Jeffsn	89.2	6	W	14-	4	0.075
5/20	SALEM (12-6)	VA RivRdg	92.3	3	W	16-	3	0.125
5/30	LOUDOUN VALLEY (17-4)	VA Cedar	96.2		W	12-	10	0.200
6/03	vs. Langley # (21-1)	VA Liberty	98.2		L	9-	15	-0.200
# Neutral site			90.2					0.38

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/14	A	Severn	5-	15	-10	0	–––	1.56		-9.63
3/21	H	Brooke Point	13-	12	1	4	–	-1.69		-2.84
3/25	H	Stone Bridge	10-	6	4	8	–	-1.50		-3.54
4/02	H	Freedom-South Riding	19-	9	10	12	–	-1.70	-2.02
4/06	N	Langley	7-	12	-5	-2	–	0.00		-2.95
4/07	A	West Springfield	8-	11	-3	2	––	1.50		-5.41
4/13	A	Dominion HS	11-	10	1	3		1.70	-1.80
4/16	A	George Mason	13-	6	7	4	+	1.70	3.07
4/18	A	Bishop Ireton	15-	10	5	6		1.75		-0.98
4/23	A	Loudoun County	17-	6	11	10		1.70	0.92
4/25	H	Briar Woods	20-	6	14	8	++	-1.70	5.92
4/27	H	Park View	21-	0	21	28	–––	-1.70	-6.66
4/30	A	Heritage-Leesburg	19-	7	12	7	++	1.70	5.34
5/12	H	Potomac Falls	15-	6	9	14	––	-1.70	-4.62
5/13	H	Briar Woods	12-	11	1	8	–––	-1.70	-7.08
5/15	N	Dominion HS	17-	16	1	5	–	0.00	-3.50
5/18	H	Western Albemarle	14-	4	10	7	+	-1.70	2.72
5/20	H	Salem	16-	3	13	5	+++	-1.70	7.73
5/30	H	Loudoun Valley	12-	10	2	2		-1.69		0.26
6/03	N	Langley	9-	15	-6	-2	–	0.00		-3.95
									0.00	-29.04