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2009
2008
2007
2006

Brentsville Tigers (5-8)

Region: VA NoWest

State: VA

Coach: Carl Kielbasa

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/17	at Loudoun County (4-8)	VA Dulles	85.9	10	L	8-	15		-0.175
3/20	HERITAGE-LEESBURG (7-6)	VA Dulles	89.0	7	W	11-	10	ot	0.325
3/23	KETTLE RUN (3-8)	VA NoWest	77.3		W	14-	9		0.050
3/25	at Freedom-South Riding (7-8)	VA Dulles	86.4	9	L	7-	14		-0.150
3/28	ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY (8-5)	VA Valley	88.5	8	L	6-	9		-0.200
3/30	at Stonewall Jackson (9-5)	VA Cedar	89.5		L	4-	16		-0.100
3/31	FAUQUIER (7-7)	VA Cedar	84.6		L	9-	10		-0.325
4/17	JAMES RIVER (3-7)	VA Jeffsn	83.7		W	6-	5	ot	0.200
4/24	CHARLOTTESVILLE (2-11)	VA Jeffsn	79.2		W	13-	4		0.125
4/25	vs. Salem # (12-6)	VA RivRdg	92.3	3	L	5-	12		-0.025
5/02	MONTICELLO (4-8)	VA Jeffsn	85.8		W	9-	5		0.250
5/06	at Western Albemarle (8-9)	VA Jeffsn	89.2	6	L	5-	12		-0.025
5/12	vs. Salem # (12-6)	VA RivRdg	92.3	3	L	3-	14		-0.025
# Neutral site			86.4						-0.08

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/17	A	Loudoun County	8-	15	-7	-3	––	1.70	-4.39
3/20	H	Heritage-Leesburg	11-	10	1	-3	+	-1.70	3.64
3/23	H	Kettle Run	14-	9	5	8	–	-1.70	-3.32
3/25	A	Freedom-South Riding	7-	14	-7	-4	–	1.70	-2.92
3/28	H	Rockbridge County	6-	9	-3	-2		-1.70	-1.16
3/30	A	Stonewall Jackson	4-	16	-12	-6	–––	1.69		-6.27
3/31	H	Fauquier	9-	10	-1	3	–	-1.69		-3.50
4/17	H	James River	6-	5	1	2		-1.70	-1.28
4/24	H	Charlottesville	13-	4	9	5	+	-1.70	3.68
4/25	N	Salem	5-	12	-7	-9	+	0.00	2.12
5/02	H	Monticello	9-	5	4	0	+	-1.70	3.69
5/06	A	Western Albemarle	5-	12	-7	-9		1.70	1.82
5/12	N	Salem	3-	14	-11	-9		0.00	-1.88
									0.00	-9.78

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/30	A	Stonewall Jackson	4-	16	2.00
5/12	N	Salem	3-	14	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.23

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	85.		Natl CCR Rank	1276
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	85.44		Natl Power Rank	1276
Natl SOS Rating	86.43		Natl SOS Rank	999
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.08		Natl Quality Win Rank	1730
W-L Pct Rating	0.38		W-L Pct Rank	1934
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.7

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