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2009
2008
2007
2006

Briar Woods Falcons (7-9)

Region: VA Dulles

State: VA

Coach: Steve Sheetz

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/13	FREEDOM-SOUTH RIDING (7-8)	VA Dulles	86.4	9	W	15-	6		0.100
3/18	PAUL VI (13-7)	DC WCAC	94.6		L	2-	17		-0.200
3/21	vs. Brooks School # (7-12)	NE ISL	92.0		W	14-	9		0.300
3/21	vs. Calverton # (12-3)	MD MILL	98.3		L	5-	18		-0.050
3/25	TRINITY-MEADOW VIEW (7-4)	VA 3 Indep	83.4		W	19-	6		0.025
3/27	at Georgetown Prep (20-3)	DC IAC	99.6		L	7-	26		0.000
3/31	at Boys' Latin (14-4)	MD A MIAA	98.9		L	6-	27		0.000
4/02	at Park View (0-12)	VA Dulles	69.0		W	19-	1		0.000
4/13	at Loudoun County (4-8)	VA Dulles	85.9	10	W	15-	7		0.150
4/16	DOMINION HS (11-7)	VA Dulles	90.8	4	L	14-	17		-0.250
4/23	HERITAGE-LEESBURG (7-6)	VA Dulles	89.0	7	L	12-	13	ot	-0.350
4/25	at Broad Run (16-4)	VA Dulles	96.2	1	L	6-	20		-0.050
4/29	POTOMAC FALLS (2-8)	VA Dulles	83.7		W	15-	6		0.075
5/04	GEORGE MASON (13-3)	VA Dulles	93.2	2	L	10-	14		-0.275
5/11	at Heritage-Leesburg (7-6)	VA Dulles	89.0	7	W	11-	9		0.250
5/13	at Broad Run (16-4)	VA Dulles	96.2	1	L	11-	12		-0.050
# Neutral site			90.4						-0.32

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	H	Freedom-South Riding	15-	6	9	6	+	-1.70	3.37
3/18	H	Paul VI	2-	17	-15	-2	–––	-1.75		-12.57
3/21	N	Brooks School	14-	9	5	-2	+++	0.00		6.59
3/21	N	Calverton	5-	18	-13	-8	––	0.00		-5.10
3/25	H	Trinity-Meadow View	19-	6	13	9	++	-1.57		4.39
3/27	A	Georgetown Prep	7-	26	-19	-11	–––	1.56		-8.30
3/31	A	Boys' Latin	6-	27	-21	-10	–––	1.56		-10.99
4/02	A	Park View	19-	1	18	18		1.70	0.12
4/13	A	Loudoun County	15-	7	8	4	++	1.70	4.30
4/16	H	Dominion HS	14-	17	-3	0	–	-1.70	-2.82
4/23	H	Heritage-Leesburg	12-	13	-1	4	––	-1.70	-4.67
4/25	A	Broad Run	6-	20	-14	-8	––	1.70	-5.92
4/29	H	Potomac Falls	15-	6	9	7		-1.70	1.76
5/04	H	George Mason	10-	14	-4	1	––	-1.70	-4.95
5/11	A	Heritage-Leesburg	11-	9	2	0		1.70	1.73
5/13	A	Broad Run	11-	12	-1	-8	+++	1.70	7.08
									0.00	-25.98

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/18	H	Paul VI	2-	17	5.00
3/21	N	Calverton	5-	18	3.00
3/25	H	Trinity-Meadow View	19-	6	-3.00
3/27	A	Georgetown Prep	7-	26	8.30
3/31	A	Boys' Latin	6-	27	11.00
4/02	A	Park View	19-	1	-0.12
4/25	A	Broad Run	6-	20	4.00
10-goal correction: 1.76

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	90.		Natl CCR Rank	686
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	90.45		Natl Power Rank	686
Natl SOS Rating	90.41		Natl SOS Rank	421
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.32		Natl Quality Win Rank	2057
W-L Pct Rating	0.44		W-L Pct Rank	1740
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.0

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