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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Butler Area Tornadoes (9-6)

Region: PA Div2-S2

State: PA

Coach: Ed Swierczyk

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/20	BETHEL PARK (12-6)	PA Div1-S1	94.4	4	L	4-	6		-0.175
3/25	at Erie-McDowell (5-12)	PA Div2-S2	76.6		W	11-	1		0.000
3/27	NORTH ALLEGHENY (18-4)	PA Div1-S2	96.4	2	L	7-	9		-0.125
3/30	at Fox Chapel (6-9)	PA Div1-S2	86.8		L	6-	9		-0.275
4/01	SHALER AREA (7-10)	PA Div2-S2	83.5		W	11-	5		0.075
4/06	at Central Catholic (1-13)	PA Div1-S2	82.5		W	13-	3		0.175
4/15	NORTH HILLS (5-9)	PA Div2-S2	79.0		W	13-	3		0.000
4/20	at Shaler Area (7-10)	PA Div2-S2	83.5		W	7-	1		0.150
4/22	at Hampton (16-5)	PA Div2-S2	93.8	7	L	8-	11		-0.150
4/24	at Vincentian Academy (4-13)	PA Div2-S2	75.6		W	16-	2		0.000
4/27	at North Hills (5-9)	PA Div2-S2	79.0		W	14-	4		0.025
4/29	CATHEDRAL PREP (8-10)	PA Div2-S2	81.9		W	9-	5		0.075
5/06	at Seneca Valley (14-5)	PA Div1-S2	96.8	1	L	5-	11		-0.025
5/14	TRINITY (9-6)	PA Div2-S1	82.9		W	10-	3		0.000
5/20	vs. Greensburg Cath Cent # (14-5)	PA Div2-S1	91.0	9	L	3-	11		-0.225
# Neutral site			85.6						-0.48

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	H	Bethel Park	4-	6	-2	-3		-1.16	0.90
3/25	A	Erie-McDowell	11-	1	10	10		1.16	-0.22
3/27	H	North Allegheny	7-	9	-2	-5	+	-1.16	3.30
3/30	A	Fox Chapel	6-	9	-3	1	–	1.16	-3.72
4/01	H	Shaler Area	11-	5	6	7		-1.16	-0.62
4/06	A	Central Catholic	13-	3	10	3	+++	1.16	6.70
4/15	H	North Hills	13-	3	10	11		-1.16	-1.22
4/20	A	Shaler Area	7-	1	6	4		1.16	1.70
4/22	A	Hampton	8-	11	-3	-4		1.16	0.52
4/24	A	Vincentian Academy	16-	2	14	13		1.16	1.24
4/27	A	North Hills	14-	4	10	9		1.16	1.10
4/29	H	Cathedral Prep	9-	5	4	7	–	-1.16	-3.03
5/06	A	Seneca Valley	5-	11	-6	-9	+	1.16	2.80
5/14	H	Trinity	10-	3	7	10	–	-1.16	-2.64
5/20	N	Greensburg Cath Cent	3-	11	-8	-1	–––	0.00	-6.82
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/25	A	Erie-McDowell	11-	1	0.22
4/06	A	Central Catholic	13-	3	0.00
4/15	H	North Hills	13-	3	1.22
4/24	A	Vincentian Academy	16-	2	-1.24
4/27	A	North Hills	14-	4	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.01

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	852
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	89.39		Natl Power Rank	852
Natl SOS Rating	85.06		Natl SOS Rank	1229
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.48		Natl Quality Win Rank	2430
W-L Pct Rating	0.60		W-L Pct Rank	1041
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.3

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