| Region: MN 1 Lake | State: MN | Coach: Jesse Shelitsch |
| Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
4/09 | LAKEVILLE NORTH (1-12) | MN 1 Lake | 80.3 | | W | 12- | 7 | | 0.075 |
4/15 | at Eagan (12-4) | MN 1 Lake | 91.2 | 9 | L | 6- | 8 | | -0.150 |
4/17 | LAKEVILLE SOUTH (4-10) | MN 1 Lake | 84.0 | | W | 12- | 7 | | 0.100 |
4/18 | PRIOR LAKE (8-7) | MN 1 Indep | 84.5 | | W | 10- | 5 | | 0.075 |
4/24 | BLOOM JEFFERSON (13-2) | MN 1 Lake | 93.5 | 2 | L | 5- | 12 | | -0.100 |
4/29 | at Eastview (13-5) | MN 1 Lake | 91.6 | 6 | L | 7- | 14 | | -0.100 |
5/01 | APPLE VALLEY (7-8) | MN 1 Lake | 86.3 | | W | 13- | 2 | | 0.125 |
5/04 | ANDOVER (5-7) | MN 1 North | 81.7 | | W | 12- | 5 | | 0.025 |
5/06 | at Bloom Kennedy (1-13) | MN 1 Lake | 77.9 | | W | 10- | 3 | | 0.050 |
5/08 | ROSEMOUNT (7-8) | MN 1 Lake | 86.1 | | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.125 |
5/09 | at Owatonna (9-7) | MN 1 Big9 | 83.9 | | W | 12- | 6 | | 0.125 |
5/13 | at Chaska (10-5) | MN 1 Lake | 89.1 | | L | 10- | 12 | | -0.225 |
5/15 | at Eden Prairie (13-2) | MN 1 Lake | 93.3 | 3 | L | 5- | 13 | | -0.050 |
5/21 | vs. Owatonna # (9-7) | MN 1 Big9 | 83.9 | | W | 15- | 3 | | 0.100 |
5/26 | vs. Eagan # (12-4) | MN 1 Lake | 91.2 | 9 | L | 9- | 12 | | -0.175 |
| # Neutral site | | 86.6 | | | | | | 0.00 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
4/09 | H | Lakeville North | 12- | 7 | 5 | 7 | | -1.20 | -2.35 | |
4/15 | A | Eagan | 6- | 8 | -2 | -4 | | 1.20 | 1.83 | |
4/17 | H | Lakeville South | 12- | 7 | 5 | 6 | | -1.20 | -1.14 | |
4/18 | H | Prior Lake | 10- | 5 | 5 | 7 | | -1.20 | -1.81 | |
4/24 | H | Bloom Jefferson | 5- | 12 | -7 | -6 | | -1.20 | -0.98 | |
4/29 | A | Eastview | 7- | 14 | -7 | -6 | | 1.20 | -1.02 | |
5/01 | H | Apple Valley | 13- | 2 | 11 | 5 | +++ | -1.20 | 6.24 | |
5/04 | H | Andover | 12- | 5 | 7 | 9 | | -1.20 | -2.28 | |
5/06 | A | Bloom Kennedy | 10- | 3 | 7 | 8 | | 1.20 | -0.52 | |
5/08 | H | Rosemount | 8- | 7 | 1 | 5 | | -1.20 | -4.14 | |
5/09 | A | Owatonna | 12- | 6 | 6 | 5 | | 1.20 | 0.98 | |
5/13 | A | Chaska | 10- | 12 | -2 | -1 | | 1.20 | -0.54 | |
5/15 | A | Eden Prairie | 5- | 13 | -8 | -8 | | 1.20 | 0.32 | |
5/21 | N | Owatonna | 15- | 3 | 12 | 6 | ++ | 0.00 | 5.78 | |
5/26 | N | Eagan | 9- | 12 | -3 | -3 | | 0.00 | -0.37 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
5/01 | H | Apple Valley | 13- | 2 | -1.00 |
5/21 | N | Owatonna | 15- | 3 | -2.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.20 |
| National Rating |
| Natl CCR Rating | 88. | | Natl CCR Rank | 920 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 88.39 | | Natl Power Rank | 920 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 86.63 | | Natl SOS Rank | 971 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.00 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1413 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.60 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1025 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 9-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -7.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -5.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -4.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.3 |
|