High School Computer Ratings

Cape Fear Academy Hurricanes (15-8)

Region: NC Prvate

State: NC

Coach: Paul Gilbert

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
2/27	at A.C. Flora (6-8)	SC NoEast	76.7		W	15-	2		0.050
2/28	at Bolles (16-4)	FL 2B Centrl	93.2		L	4-	12		-0.025
3/02	vs. Stanton Prep # (4-9)	FL 2B Centrl	76.4		W	15-	1		0.000
3/03	at Oviedo (2-13)	FL 5B Centrl	78.9		W	13-	4		0.100
3/11	CARY ACADEMY (10-8)	NC Prvate	84.3	7	L	10-	13		-0.275
3/13	at Wilmington Ashley (7-9)	NC 4A	78.4		W	13-	7		0.075
3/14	CHARLOTTE LATIN (10-10)	NC Prvate	88.9	3	L	7-	10		-0.200
3/24	PROVIDENCE DAY (17-6)	NC Prvate	93.9	2	L	7-	11		-0.125
3/27	KISKI PREP (16-4)	PA Indep	92.1		L	13-	14	ot	-0.125
3/28	VIRGINIA EPISCOPAL (14-4)	VA 2 VIC	88.4		L	13-	14		-0.225
3/28	FORSYTH COU DAY (7-10)	NC Prvate	83.2	8	W	5-	3		0.150
4/01	WILMINGTON NEW HANOVER (4-13)	NC 4A	75.7		W	12-	3		0.000
4/09	RAVENSCROFT SCHOOL (3-10)	NC Prvate	78.9	10	W	15-	3		0.075
4/15	at Wilmington New Hanover (4-13)	NC 4A	75.7		W	17-	5		0.025
4/17	at Greensboro Day (4-11)	NC Prvate	73.8		W	16-	3		0.000
4/18	at Cannon School (6-10)	NC Prvate	82.4	9	W	13-	8		0.225
4/21	at Cary Academy (10-8)	NC Prvate	84.3	7	W	14-	10		0.275
4/23	DURHAM ACADEMY (10-6)	NC Prvate	88.8	4	L	7-	14		-0.250
4/25	CARY CHRISTIAN (3-6)	NC Prvate	74.7		W	17-	4		0.000
4/27	WILMINGTON HOGGARD (14-7)	NC 4A	87.4		W	13-	12		0.250
4/29	WILMINGTON ASHLEY (7-9)	NC 4A	78.4		W	21-	9		0.025
5/04	at Cary Christian (3-6)	NC Prvate	74.7		W	19-	8		0.000
5/12	at Charlotte Latin (10-10)	NC Prvate	88.9	3	L	9-	18		-0.150
# Neutral site			82.5						-0.13

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/27	A	A.C. Flora	15-	2	13	8	++	1.35		4.80
2/28	A	Bolles	4-	12	-8	-9		1.70		0.72
3/02	N	Stanton Prep	15-	1	14	10	++	0.00		4.17
3/03	A	Oviedo	13-	4	9	6	+	1.70		3.35
3/11	H	Cary Academy	10-	13	-3	1	––	-1.28	-4.27
3/13	A	Wilmington Ashley	13-	7	6	7		1.12		-0.68
3/14	H	Charlotte Latin	7-	10	-3	-2		-1.28	-1.12
3/24	H	Providence Day	7-	11	-4	-5		-1.28	1.09
3/27	H	Kiski Prep	13-	14	-1	-5	+	-1.02		3.89
3/28	H	Virginia Episcopal	13-	14	-1	-1		-1.48		-0.28
3/28	H	Forsyth Cou Day	5-	3	2	4	–	-1.28	-2.26
4/01	H	Wilmington New Hanover	12-	3	9	12	–	-1.12		-2.66
4/09	H	Ravenscroft School	15-	3	12	7	++	-1.28	5.07
4/15	A	Wilmington New Hanover	17-	5	12	9	+	1.12		2.57
4/17	A	Greensboro Day	16-	3	13	10	+	1.28	3.13
4/18	A	Cannon School	13-	8	5	1	++	1.28	4.06
4/21	A	Cary Academy	14-	10	4	-1	++	1.28	5.29
4/23	H	Durham Academy	7-	14	-7	0	–––	-1.28	-6.88
4/25	H	Cary Christian	17-	4	13	13		-1.28	-0.07
4/27	H	Wilmington Hoggard	13-	12	1	0		-1.12		1.02
4/29	H	Wilmington Ashley	21-	9	12	9	+	-1.12		3.09
5/04	A	Cary Christian	19-	8	11	11		1.28	0.50
5/12	A	Charlotte Latin	9-	18	-9	-4	––	1.28	-4.55
									0.00	19.99