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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Carlsbad Lancers (7-8)

Conference: D1

Region: CA North

State: CA

Coach: Chris Sheriff

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/13	at Canyon Crest (2-16)	CA Coastal	84.1		W	9-	0		0.050
3/19	at El Capitan (4-16)	CA Grosmnt	81.9		W	12-	2		0.000
3/20	at Mira Mesa (6-8)	CA City	89.0		W	14-	6		0.150
3/24	at Temecula Great Oak (10-5)	CA Indep	92.2	9	L	9-	11		-0.200
3/31	at La Jolla HS (15-5)	CA City	93.2	7	L	7-	9		-0.200
4/11	TEMECULA GREAT OAK (10-5)	CA Indep	92.2	9	L	9-	10		-0.250
4/17	at Poway (11-6)	CA North	93.7	5	L	6-	9		-0.150
4/20	RANCHO BERNARDO (16-4)	CA North	95.7	3	L	1-	11		-0.100
4/25	at La Costa Canyon (17-4)	CA North	97.1	2	L	3-	15		0.000
4/29	at Westview (7-11)	CA North	90.0		W	9-	5		0.200
5/06	at Mount Carmel (5-13)	CA North	86.7		W	15-	4		0.100
5/12	TORREY PINES (10-9)	CA North	93.0	8	L	7-	13		-0.150
5/13	at Fallbrook (9-9)	CA North	89.7		W	9-	6		0.150
5/18	at San Marcos (8-10)	CA North	90.8		W	12-	10		0.250
5/23	at La Jolla HS (15-5)	CA City	93.2	7	L	5-	8		-0.200
			90.8						-0.35

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	A	Canyon Crest	9-	0	9	8		0.99	0.94
3/19	A	El Capitan	12-	2	10	12		0.99	-1.84
3/20	A	Mira Mesa	14-	6	8	4	+	0.99	3.64
3/24	A	Temecula Great Oak	9-	11	-2	-2		0.99	-0.46
3/31	A	La Jolla HS	7-	9	-2	-2		0.99	0.28
4/11	H	Temecula Great Oak	9-	10	-1	0		-0.99	-1.45
4/17	A	Poway	6-	9	-3	-4		0.99	1.46
4/20	H	Rancho Bernardo	1-	11	-10	-6	––	-0.99	-4.48
4/25	A	La Costa Canyon	3-	15	-12	-10	–	0.99	-2.19
4/29	A	Westview	9-	5	4	2		0.99	1.71
5/06	A	Mount Carmel	15-	4	11	6	++	0.99	4.53
5/12	H	Torrey Pines	7-	13	-6	-4	–	-0.99	-2.09
5/13	A	Fallbrook	9-	6	3	4		0.99	-1.09
5/18	A	San Marcos	12-	10	2	0		0.99	1.75
5/23	A	La Jolla HS	5-	8	-3	-2		0.99	-0.72
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/19	A	El Capitan	12-	2	1.84
4/20	H	Rancho Bernardo	1-	11	0.00
4/25	A	La Costa Canyon	3-	15	2.00
5/06	A	Mount Carmel	15-	4	-1.00
10-goal correction: 0.19

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	92.		Natl CCR Rank	572
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	91.58		Natl Power Rank	572
Natl SOS Rating	90.77		Natl SOS Rank	366
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.35		Natl Quality Win Rank	2240
W-L Pct Rating	0.47		W-L Pct Rank	1608
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.7

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