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Carlisle Thundering Herd (18-8)

Region: PA Mid 1State: PACoach: Steve Kidder

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/20at Penn Manor (11-8)PA LL0190.410L6- 9 -0.250  
3/24SOUTH-WESTERN (4-11)PA York 180.1W9- 1 0.000  
3/27WARWICK (9-9)PA LL0190.87W6- 4 0.275  
3/28at Mechanicsburg (4-12)PA Mid 175.5W17- 1 0.000  
3/30at Northern York (13-6)PA Mid 188.4L4- 5 -0.275  
4/04ST JAMES (11-6)DC MAC89.6W11- 2 0.175  
4/06LOWER DAUPHIN (11-8)PA Mid 185.3W15- 2 0.100  
4/08HERSHEY (22-3)PA Mid 195.23L4-13 -0.200  
4/11vs. Lewisburg # (13-4)PA CSNLL82.3W13- 3 0.025  
4/13at Holy Ghost Prep (13-5)PA Indep90.2L4- 9 -0.250  
4/17CUMBERLAND VALLEY (10-7)PA Mid 187.6W6- 4 0.175  
4/20CHAMBERSBURG (9-6)PA Mid 186.1W9- 2 0.100  
4/22at Central Dauphin East (0-16)PA Mid 171.1W16- 1 0.000  
4/24at Hempfield (20-5)PA LL0196.91L2-10 -0.025  
4/27CENTRAL DAUPHIN (2-10)PA Mid 176.2W14- 0 0.000  
4/29PALMYRA (6-10)PA Mid 181.8W14- 4 0.025  
5/01at Bishop McDevitt (7-7)PA Mid 182.2W9- 4 0.050  
5/02at Harrisburg Academy (6-9)PA Mid 181.4W9- 4 0.075  
5/05CUMBERLAND VALLEY (10-7)PA Mid 187.6W8- 3 0.175  
5/07vs. Hershey # (22-3)PA Mid 195.23L5- 9 -0.175  
5/12at Lewisburg (13-4)PA CSNLL82.3W10- 3 0.050  
5/16vs. Red Lion # (17-1)PA York 192.64W9- 7 0.300  
5/19vs. Manheim Township # (20-6)PA LL0196.32L4-13 -0.100  
5/21vs. Hershey # (22-3)PA Mid 195.23W7- 6 0.325  
5/26vs. Shady Side Academy # (9-11)PA Div1-S291.6W6- 5 0.250  
5/30vs. Springfield-Delco # (19-6)PA Centrl96.2L4- 7 -0.125  
# Neutral site 87.2     0.70  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/20APenn Manor6-9-3   0       0.94       -2.69
3/24HSouth-Western9-18   10       -0.94       -2.07
3/27HWarwick6-42   -1       +-0.94       2.98
3/28AMechanicsburg17-116   13       +0.94       2.93
3/30ANorthern York4-5-1   1       0.94       -2.44
4/04HSt James11-29   3       ++-1.37       5.75
4/06HLower Dauphin15-213   6       +++-0.94       6.58
4/08HHershey4-13-9   -2       –––-0.94       -6.70
4/11NLewisburg13-310   9       0.00       0.74
4/13AHoly Ghost Prep4-9-5   0       ––1.08       -5.26
4/17HCumberland Valley6-42   3       -0.94       -1.40
4/20HChambersburg9-27   6       -0.94       1.23
4/22ACentral Dauphin East16-115   16       0.94       -0.71
4/24AHempfield2-10-8   -9       0.94       0.54
4/27HCentral Dauphin14-014   15       -0.94       -0.59
4/29HPalmyra14-410   9       -0.94       1.46
5/01ABishop McDevitt9-45   8       0.94       -2.58
5/02AHarrisburg Academy9-45   7       0.94       -1.83
5/05HCumberland Valley8-35   3       -0.94       1.60
5/07NHershey5-9-4   -3       0.00       -0.76
5/12ALewisburg10-37   8       0.94       -1.32
5/16NRed Lion9-72   -2       +0.00       3.74
5/19NManheim Township4-13-9   -6       0.00       -2.96
5/21NHershey7-61   -3       ++0.00       4.24
5/26NShady Side Academy6-51   0       0.00       1.11
5/30NSpringfield-Delco4-7-3   -5       0.00       1.69
         0.003.29

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/28AMechanicsburg17-1-2.93
4/06HLower Dauphin15-2-3.00
4/11NLewisburg13-30.00
4/22ACentral Dauphin East16-10.71
4/27HCentral Dauphin14-00.59
4/29HPalmyra14-40.00
10-goal correction: -0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 91.   Natl CCR Rank 591
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 91.50   Natl Power Rank 591
Natl SOS Rating 86.98   Natl SOS Rank 927
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.70   Natl Quality Win Rank 421
W-L Pct Rating 0.69   W-L Pct Rank 627
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 18-8   Ave Goal diff (all ) 3.5
Wins/Losses (top 5) 2-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -4.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 3-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -3.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 9-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 1.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -0.3



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