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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Cordova-Folsom Lancers (12-4)

Conference: D2

Region: CA NCLA-E

State: CA

Coach: Mike Messersmith

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/06	SIERRA FOOTHILLS (0-11)	CA NCLA-E	61.9		W	20-	0		0.000
3/07	at Pleasant Grove (6-9)	CA NCLA-E	76.1		W	13-	5		0.050
3/14	vs. Napa # (7-10)	CA NCLA-N	77.6		W	14-	4		0.050
3/14	vs. Palo Alto (THLC) # (12-5)	CA NCLA-S	88.1	6	L	5-	10		-0.250
3/15	vs. Morgan Hill # (5-8)	CA NCLA-S	75.4		W	22-	3		0.000
3/15	vs. Stockton # (0-12)	CA NCLA-S	62.9		W	19-	1		0.000
3/21	at Redding (4-7)	CA NCLA-E	74.3		W	9-	2		0.025
3/25	GOLD COUNTRY (10-9)	CA NCLA-E	82.1		W	9-	2		0.100
3/30	PLEASANT GROVE (6-9)	CA NCLA-E	76.1		W	9-	1		0.000
4/01	ORANGEVALE (10-4)	CA NCLA-E	85.1	9	L	10-	14		-0.375
4/18	CHICO (8-3)	CA NCLA-E	87.5	8	W	12-	2		0.175
4/21	at Gold Country (10-9)	CA NCLA-E	82.1		W	11-	7		0.125
4/26	CASA GRANDE (18-4)	CA NCLA-N	91.2	2	L	7-	10		-0.150
5/01	vs. Orangevale # (10-4)	CA NCLA-E	85.1	9	W	16-	5		0.150
5/09	SAN FRANCISCO CITY (5-8)	CA NCLA-S	77.0		W	16-	5		0.000
5/16	vs. Petaluma # (18-3)	CA NCLA-N	90.2	3	L	4-	15		-0.200
# Neutral site			79.5						-0.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/06	H	Sierra Foothills	20-	0	20	20		-0.60	0.22
3/07	A	Pleasant Grove	13-	5	8	8		0.60	-0.35
3/14	N	Napa	14-	4	10	8		0.00	1.76
3/14	N	Palo Alto (THLC)	5-	10	-5	0	––	0.00	-4.53
3/15	N	Morgan Hill	22-	3	19	11	+++	0.00	8.15
3/15	N	Stockton	19-	1	18	18		0.00	0.17
3/21	A	Redding	9-	2	7	9	–	0.60	-2.45
3/25	H	Gold Country	9-	2	7	6		-0.60	1.08
3/30	H	Pleasant Grove	9-	1	8	10		-0.60	-1.55
4/01	H	Orangevale	10-	14	-4	5	–––	-0.60	-8.69
4/18	H	Chico	12-	2	10	3	+++	-0.60	7.09
4/21	A	Gold Country	11-	7	4	5		0.60	-0.71
4/26	H	Casa Grande	7-	10	-3	-4		-0.60	0.87
5/01	N	Orangevale	16-	5	11	4	+++	0.00	6.91
5/09	H	San Francisco City	16-	5	11	10		-0.60	1.41
5/16	N	Petaluma	4-	15	-11	-2	–––	0.00	-9.37
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/06	H	Sierra Foothills	20-	0	-0.22
3/14	N	Napa	14-	4	0.00
3/15	N	Morgan Hill	22-	3	-8.15
3/15	N	Stockton	19-	1	-0.17
4/18	H	Chico	12-	2	0.00
5/01	N	Orangevale	16-	5	-1.00
5/09	H	San Francisco City	16-	5	-1.41
5/16	N	Petaluma	4-	15	1.00
10-goal correction: -0.62

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	88.		Natl CCR Rank	1000
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.94		Natl Power Rank	1000
Natl SOS Rating	79.17		Natl SOS Rank	2176
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.30		Natl Quality Win Rank	2108
W-L Pct Rating	0.75		W-L Pct Rank	409
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	3.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.7

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