High School Computer Ratings

Chapel Hill Tigers (18-2)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: Bob Cappelletti

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score			COR
3/03	PANTHER CREEK (4-13)	NC 4A	73.6		W	18-	2	0.000
3/06	GREENSBORO PAGE (10-5)	NC 4A	88.8	6	W	15-	13	0.150
3/10	NORTHERN DURHAM (1-12)	NC 4A	68.1		W	18-	1	0.000
3/14	vs. Charlotte Cou Day # (19-5)	NC Prvate	96.2		W	16-	8	0.300
3/17	vs. McDonogh # (11-7)	MD A MIAA	97.5		L	9-	19	-0.150
3/20	at Northern Durham (1-12)	NC 4A	68.1		W	19-	0	0.000
3/21	vs. Providence Day # (17-6)	NC Prvate	94.2		W	13-	11	0.250
3/24	at Durham Jordan (9-8)	NC 4A	82.7		W	15-	10	0.100
3/31	at Durham Academy (10-6)	NC Prvate	88.8		W	12-	5	0.150
4/02	DURHAM RIVERSIDE (5-10)	NC 4A	78.7		W	18-	4	0.000
4/14	CARRBORO (9-6)	NC 3A/2A	79.5		W	15-	4	0.000
4/15	EAST CHAPEL HILL (14-5)	NC 4A	87.5	7	W	14-	6	0.100
4/18	APEX (11-6)	NC 4A	83.6		W	11-	2	0.000
4/21	DURHAM JORDAN (9-8)	NC 4A	82.7		W	10-	9	0.050
4/24	at East Chapel Hill (14-5)	NC 4A	87.5	7	W	14-	4	0.150
4/30	at Durham Riverside (5-10)	NC 4A	78.7		W	12-	6	0.000
5/07	DURHAM JORDAN (9-8)	NC 4A	82.7		W	17-	5	0.050
5/11	NORTHWEST GUILFORD (12-6)	NC 4A	85.8		W	17-	5	0.075
5/13	EAST CHAPEL HILL (14-5)	NC 4A	87.5	7	W	16-	4	0.100
5/16	vs. Charlotte Providence # (22-1)	NC 4A	96.7	1	L	13-	19	-0.200
# Neutral site			84.5					1.13

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/03	H	Panther Creek	18-	2	16	16		-0.95	0.42
3/06	H	Greensboro Page	15-	13	2	4	–	-0.95	-2.25
3/10	H	Northern Durham	18-	1	17	21	––	-0.95	-4.19
3/14	N	Charlotte Cou Day	16-	8	8	-2	+++	0.00		10.28
3/17	N	McDonogh	9-	19	-10	-4	–––	0.00		-6.45
3/20	A	Northern Durham	19-	0	19	19		0.95	-0.29
3/21	N	Providence Day	13-	11	2	0	+	0.00		2.20
3/24	A	Durham Jordan	15-	10	5	6		0.95	-1.19
3/31	A	Durham Academy	12-	5	7	4	+	1.12		2.96
4/02	H	Durham Riverside	18-	4	14	12	+	-0.95	2.33
4/14	H	Carrboro	15-	4	11	12		-0.95	-1.39
4/15	H	East Chapel Hill	14-	6	8	6		-0.95	1.76
4/18	H	Apex	11-	2	9	10		-0.95	-0.77
4/21	H	Durham Jordan	10-	9	1	8	–––	-0.95	-7.09
4/24	A	East Chapel Hill	14-	4	10	4	++	0.95	5.66
4/30	A	Durham Riverside	12-	6	6	10	–	0.95	-3.77
5/07	H	Durham Jordan	17-	5	12	8	+	-0.95	3.91
5/11	H	NorthWest Guilford	17-	5	12	7	++	-0.95	4.96
5/13	H	East Chapel Hill	16-	4	12	6	++	-0.95	5.76
5/16	N	Charlotte Providence	13-	19	-6	-2	–	0.00	-3.87
									0.00	8.99