High School Computer Ratings

Chelmsford Lions (11-8)

Conference: Merrimack

Region: MA 1

State: MA

Coach: Tom Gallagher

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
4/04	vs. Billerica # (16-4)	MA 1	97.8	8	L	7-	13		-0.100
4/11	ANDOVER HS (12-8)	MA 1	96.7		L	6-	12		-0.200
4/14	LONDONDERRY (7-11)	NH 1	89.6		W	10-	9		0.050
4/17	TEWKSBURY MEMORIAL (8-11)	MA 2	92.7		W	14-	5		0.125
4/21	at Malden Catholic (11-10)	MA 1	96.3		L	3-	9		-0.225
4/23	at Acton Boxborough (11-9)	MA 1	96.0		W	10-	4		0.225
4/25	SALEM (11-8)	MA 1	91.8		W	14-	3		0.050
4/27	LOWELL (3-15)	MA 1	89.9		W	9-	8	ot	0.075
4/29	WESTFORD ACADEMY (11-9)	MA 1	95.9		L	8-	9	ot	-0.325
5/01	at Billerica (16-4)	MA 1	97.8	8	L	7-	12		-0.075
5/06	at Haverhill (12-5)	MA 1	95.9		W	13-	8		0.200
5/08	at Andover HS (12-8)	MA 1	96.7		L	5-	17		-0.150
5/11	at Wakefield (6-14)	MA 2	89.9		W	14-	1		0.050
5/13	at Central Catholic (7-9)	MA 2	94.4		W	11-	7		0.200
5/15	DRACUT (7-11)	MA 2	91.2		W	12-	0		0.050
5/18	at Xaverian Bros (13-8)	MA 1	97.4	10	L	8-	15		-0.100
5/20	WALTHAM (4-12)	MA 1	93.6		W	9-	7		0.175
5/28	BEVERLY (8-10)	MA 1	92.0		W	15-	9		0.075
5/30	at Billerica (16-4)	MA 1	97.8	8	L	6-	10		-0.075
# Neutral site			94.4						0.03

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/04	N	Billerica	7-	13	-6	-6		0.00	-0.37
4/11	H	Andover HS	6-	12	-6	-2	––	-0.91	-4.31
4/14	H	Londonderry	10-	9	1	8	–––	-1.00		-6.56
4/17	H	Tewksbury Memorial	14-	5	9	5	+	-0.91	3.80
4/21	A	Malden Catholic	3-	9	-6	-1	––	0.91	-4.74
4/23	A	Acton Boxborough	10-	4	6	1	++	0.91	5.31
4/25	H	Salem	14-	3	11	8	+	-0.91	3.11
4/27	H	Lowell	9-	8	1	7	–––	-0.91	-6.01
4/29	H	Westford Academy	8-	9	-1	3	–	-0.91	-3.93
5/01	A	Billerica	7-	12	-5	-7		0.91	1.54
5/06	A	Haverhill	13-	8	5	2	+	0.91	3.37
5/08	A	Andover HS	5-	17	-12	-4	–––	0.91	-8.49
5/11	A	Wakefield	14-	1	13	8	++	0.91	4.85
5/13	A	Central Catholic	11-	7	4	2	+	0.91	2.02
5/15	H	Dracut	12-	0	12	8	++	-0.91	4.11
5/18	A	Xaverian Bros	8-	15	-7	-6		0.91	-1.13
5/20	H	Waltham	9-	7	2	3		-0.91	-1.00
5/28	H	Beverly	15-	9	6	7		-0.91	-0.67
5/30	A	Billerica	6-	10	-4	-7	+	0.91	2.54
									0.00	-6.56