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Chaparral Firebirds (15-1)

Region: AZ 1 Div-1State: AZCoach: John Silkey

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/14CORONA DEL SOL (9-5)AZ 1 Div-187.03W14- 2 0.100  
3/17DESERT VISTA (8-8)AZ 1 Div-184.16W16- 2 0.000  
3/21TUCSON TANQUE VERDE (3-8)AZ 1 Div-179.310W15- 6 0.000  
3/27at Desert Mountain (8-4)AZ 1 Div-185.64W12- 5 0.075  
3/30CHATFIELD (12-6)CO Foothil95.0W12- 3 0.250  
4/01ST FRANCIS XAVIER (4-1)CN FarWest87.9W18-11 0.050  
4/03HIGHLAND-EAST VALLEY (0-11)AZ 1 Div-171.8W16- 3 0.000  
4/07at Hamilton (1-10)AZ 1 Div-173.7W14- 4 0.000  
4/14at Gilbert I (3-9)AZ 1 Div-179.69W10- 3 0.025  
4/15SEATTLE PREP (7-11)WA 1 Div-186.2W16- 8 0.000  
4/17CHANDLER (6-7)AZ 1 Div-183.78W15- 7 0.075  
4/22at Brophy Prep (14-5)AZ 1 Div-191.32L5- 7 -0.275  
4/27at Mountain Pointe (6-7)AZ 1 Div-183.87W15- 9 0.100  
5/01SAGUARO (7-5)AZ 1 Div-184.85W16- 3 0.025  
5/08DESERT VISTA (8-8)AZ 1 Div-184.16W13- 5 0.000  
5/16vs. Brophy Prep # (14-5)AZ 1 Div-191.32W10- 7 1.200  
# Neutral site 84.3     1.62  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/14HCorona del Sol14-212   6       +++-0.84       6.30
3/17HDesert Vista16-214   10       ++-0.84       4.03
3/21HTucson Tanque Verde15-69   10       -0.84       -1.40
3/27ADesert Mountain12-57   7       0.84       0.38
3/30HChatfield12-39   0       +++-0.67       8.55
4/01HSt Francis Xavier18-117   8       -1.03       -0.88
4/03HHighland-East Valley16-313   17       -0.84       -3.51
4/07AHamilton14-410   14       0.84       -3.86
4/14AGilbert I10-37   9       0.84       -1.82
4/15HSeattle Prep16-88   10       -1.42       -1.98
4/17HChandler15-78   7       -0.84       0.54
4/22ABrophy Prep5-7-2   1       0.84       -3.49
4/27AMountain Pointe15-96   6       0.84       -0.30
5/01HSaguaro16-313   9       ++-0.84       4.43
5/08HDesert Vista13-58   10       -0.84       -1.97
5/16NBrophy Prep10-73   2       0.00       0.66
         0.005.70

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/14HCorona del Sol14-2-2.00
3/17HDesert Vista16-2-4.03
4/03HHighland-East Valley16-33.51
4/07AHamilton14-43.86
5/01HSaguaro16-3-3.00
10-goal correction: -0.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 95.   Natl CCR Rank 277
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 94.75   Natl Power Rank 277
Natl SOS Rating 84.10   Natl SOS Rank 1390
Natl Quality Win Rating 1.62   Natl Quality Win Rank 102
W-L Pct Rating 0.94   W-L Pct Rank 49
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 15-1   Ave Goal diff (all ) 8.2
Wins/Losses (top 5) 4-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 6.6
Wins/Losses (top 10) 10-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 7.7
Wins/Losses (top 20) 12-1   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 8.3
Wins/Losses (last 3) 3-0   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 8.0



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