| Conference: D1 | Region: CA DFAL | State: CA | Coach: Andrew Welch |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
2/19 | at College Park (10-6) | CA DVAL | 83.7 | | W | 16- | 12 | | 0.275 |
2/24 | at Granada (2-17) | CA EastBay | 79.8 | | W | 16- | 10 | | 0.275 |
2/27 | NORTHGATE (6-10) | CA DVAL | 78.0 | | W | 15- | 3 | | 0.100 |
3/04 | LIVERMORE (5-13) | CA EastBay | 83.0 | | L | 6- | 7 | | -0.250 |
3/10 | at Clayton Valley (18-4) | CA DVAL | 92.5 | | L | 6- | 19 | | 0.000 |
3/12 | SAN RAFAEL (3-11) | CA Marin | 81.4 | | L | 10- | 11 | ot | -0.250 |
3/17 | at Miramonte (13-8) | CA DFAL | 93.1 | | L | 4- | 19 | | 0.000 |
3/20 | at Tamalpais (12-8) | CA Marin | 89.7 | | L | 7- | 18 | | -0.050 |
3/24 | at Dougherty Valley (1-17) | CA DFAL | 68.0 | | W | 14- | 1 | | 0.000 |
3/26 | LAS LOMAS (13-5) | CA DFAL | 92.7 | | L | 2- | 10 | | -0.075 |
4/07 | ACALANES (14-5) | CA DFAL | 94.4 | 7 | L | 4- | 16 | | 0.000 |
4/10 | ALHAMBRA (4-14) | CA DFAL | 73.5 | | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.025 |
4/17 | MIRAMONTE (13-8) | CA DFAL | 93.1 | | L | 2- | 20 | | 0.000 |
4/22 | at Dublin (5-13) | CA DFAL | 75.4 | | W | 13- | 12 | ot | 0.125 |
4/24 | DOUGHERTY VALLEY (1-17) | CA DFAL | 68.0 | | W | 19- | 2 | | 0.000 |
4/29 | at Las Lomas (13-5) | CA DFAL | 92.7 | | L | 4- | 12 | | 0.000 |
4/30 | at Acalanes (14-5) | CA DFAL | 94.4 | 7 | L | 2- | 22 | | 0.000 |
5/05 | at Alhambra (4-14) | CA DFAL | 73.5 | | W | 22- | 13 | | 0.075 |
5/07 | DUBLIN (5-13) | CA DFAL | 75.4 | | W | 18- | 5 | | 0.075 |
| | 83.3 | | | | | | 0.33 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/19 | A | College Park | 16- | 12 | 4 | -1 | ++ | 1.26 | 4.87 | |
2/24 | A | Granada | 16- | 10 | 6 | -1 | +++ | 1.26 | 7.24 | |
2/27 | H | Northgate | 15- | 3 | 12 | 6 | +++ | -1.26 | 6.23 | |
3/04 | H | Livermore | 6- | 7 | -1 | 0 | | -1.26 | -1.12 | |
3/10 | A | Clayton Valley | 6- | 19 | -13 | -11 | | 1.26 | -1.96 | |
3/12 | H | San Rafael | 10- | 11 | -1 | 0 | | -1.26 | -0.90 | |
3/17 | A | Miramonte | 4- | 19 | -15 | -13 | | 1.26 | -1.81 | |
3/20 | A | Tamalpais | 7- | 18 | -11 | -8 | – | 1.26 | -3.38 | |
3/24 | A | Dougherty Valley | 14- | 1 | 13 | 10 | + | 1.26 | 3.15 | |
3/26 | H | Las Lomas | 2- | 10 | -8 | -7 | | -1.26 | -0.67 | |
4/07 | H | Acalanes | 4- | 16 | -12 | -11 | | -1.26 | -0.92 | |
4/10 | H | Alhambra | 8- | 7 | 1 | 9 | ––– | -1.26 | -8.02 | |
4/17 | H | Miramonte | 2- | 20 | -18 | -11 | ––– | -1.26 | -7.32 | |
4/22 | A | Dublin | 13- | 12 | 1 | 5 | – | 1.26 | -3.71 | |
4/24 | H | Dougherty Valley | 19- | 2 | 17 | 12 | ++ | -1.26 | 4.63 | |
4/29 | A | Las Lomas | 4- | 12 | -8 | -10 | | 1.26 | 1.84 | |
4/30 | A | Acalanes | 2- | 22 | -20 | -14 | ––– | 1.26 | -6.41 | |
5/05 | A | Alhambra | 22- | 13 | 9 | 7 | + | 1.26 | 2.49 | |
5/07 | H | Dublin | 18- | 5 | 13 | 7 | ++ | -1.26 | 5.78 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/27 | H | Northgate | 15- | 3 | -2.00 |
3/10 | A | Clayton Valley | 6- | 19 | 1.96 |
3/17 | A | Miramonte | 4- | 19 | 1.81 |
3/20 | A | Tamalpais | 7- | 18 | 1.00 |
3/24 | A | Dougherty Valley | 14- | 1 | -3.15 |
4/07 | H | Acalanes | 4- | 16 | 0.92 |
4/17 | H | Miramonte | 2- | 20 | 7.32 |
4/24 | H | Dougherty Valley | 19- | 2 | -4.63 |
4/30 | A | Acalanes | 2- | 22 | 6.41 |
5/07 | H | Dublin | 18- | 5 | -3.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.35 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 84. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1496 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 83.49 | | Natl Power Rank | 1496 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 83.21 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1559 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.33 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 878 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.47 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1554 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 9-10 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -1.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -16.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -13.4 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.7 |
|
