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Colorado Academy Mustangs (12-4)

Region: CO FRangeState: COCoach: Lance Savage

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/09at Chatfield (12-6)CO Foothil95.09L6-12 -0.250  
3/13GREEN MOUNTAIN (5-9)CO Foothil85.2W16- 1 0.000  
3/17at Douglas County (10-6)CO DougCo94.6L2- 5 -0.250  
3/31at Boulder (9-6)CO North89.9W15- 4 0.125  
4/02BISHOP MACHEBEUF (4-10)CO FRange80.8W15- 5 0.000  
4/04LITTLETON (6-9)CO So-Sub87.1W13- 1 0.050  
4/07DENVER SOUTH (4-11)CO FRange80.7W15- 3 0.000  
4/09WHEAT RIDGE (8-9)CO Foothil90.6W5- 4 0.150  
4/11at Cheyenne Mountain (9-6)CO PikesPk90.2W9- 1 0.125  
4/14GEORGE WASHINGTON (4-10)CO FRange82.6W20- 4 0.000  
4/16at Kent Denver (12-3)CO FRange97.63L6-13 -0.125  
4/21at Denver East (7-8)CO FRange90.6W12- 4 0.200  
4/25at Lewis Palmer (10-7)CO PikesPk91.6W11- 6 0.175  
4/27COLUMBINE (8-7)CO Foothil91.4W6- 4 0.175  
5/01PONDEROSA (11-5)CO DougCo92.2W8- 7 0.125  
5/05at Cherry Creek (11-7)CO Centenn96.05L2- 8 -0.150  
 89.8     0.35  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/09AChatfield6-12-6   0       ––0.49       -5.59
3/13HGreen Mountain16-115   11       +-0.49       3.61
3/17ADouglas County2-5-3   0       –0.49       -2.61
3/31ABoulder15-411   5       +++0.49       6.14
4/02HBishop Machebeuf15-510   15       ––-0.49       -5.06
4/04HLittleton13-112   8       ++-0.49       4.46
4/07HDenver South15-312   14       –-0.49       -2.40
4/09HWheat Ridge5-41   4       –-0.49       -3.36
4/11ACheyenne Mountain9-18   5       +0.49       3.45
4/14HGeorge Washington20-416   13       +-0.49       2.90
4/16AKent Denver6-13-7   -5       –0.49       -2.01
4/21ADenver East12-48   2       ++0.49       5.70
4/25ALewis Palmer11-65   3       +0.49       2.47
4/27HColumbine6-42   3       -0.49       -1.23
5/01HPonderosa8-71   5       ––-0.49       -4.22
5/05ACherry Creek2-8-6   -4       –0.49       -2.24
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/13HGreen Mountain16-1-3.61
3/31ABoulder15-4-1.00
4/02HBishop Machebeuf15-55.06
4/04HLittleton13-1-2.00
4/07HDenver South15-32.40
4/14HGeorge Washington20-4-2.90
10-goal correction: -0.13

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 95.   Natl CCR Rank 266
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 94.97   Natl Power Rank 266
Natl SOS Rating 89.64   Natl SOS Rank 539
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.35   Natl Quality Win Rank 850
W-L Pct Rating 0.75   W-L Pct Rank 412
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 12-4   Ave Goal diff (all ) 4.9
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -6.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -6.3
Wins/Losses (top 20) 3-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -2.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -1.0



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